Thread on #InsurrectionAct. After Hurricane Katrina, when civil society had broken down and basic food and water needs not addressed, Pres. Bush was presented with the option to invoke the #Insurrection Act to deploy active military. The merits were strong. Still, he declined 1/
It will go down as one of the most "what if" questions of that era. Deployments like that are complicated and it is naive to think the military would have solved everything.
But perhaps they could have solved more. And Bush liked military efforts, after all. 2/
In his recollections, and others, it was the idea of deploying active military, not trained for such efforts, opposed by the Governor (a Democrat then), and the precedent it would set for the nation that got him to no. 3/
Tens of thousands of troops were in fact deployed from dozens of states but they were National Guard (not active duty under Pentagon control) and that was because of the Guard's greater training with civilian society. 4/
Looking back and writing about it in his memoir, Bush thought he should have invoked the Insurrection Act. Who knows? But active military in homeland was such a last resort measure that presidents have held off even under circumstances much greater than what Trump ever faced. 5/
So don't just dismiss this story as "Trump being Trump." His authoritarian tendencies were extreme, ahistorical. I remember a GOP leader being quoted "What's the downside for humoring him?" about his election lies. It turns out Trump wasn't joking, ever. @nytmike@maggieNYT 6/6
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How to measure success? On ransomware, the goal is delay and disruption; stopping Putin isn't about some legal action. So, some wins #GenevaSummit for US have already happened at G7 and NATO with greater focus and cooperation against Russia. Also 1/
Attribution isn't nothing. Calling out Putin's acceptance of criminal enterprises that target US networks is a positive step SINCE the opposite was occurring before (remember Trump focused on China and Iran). 2/
Those criminal enterprises will be less confident of continuing their mayhem against US civilians if they think either Putin might go after one or more of them as a public gesture to curb continuing international pressure or DOJ continues to disrupt their access to currency. 3/
NEW: The National Strategy for Countering Domestic Terrorism is out. Importantly, it distinguishes our focus on 1/6 from the larger issue of white supremacy, which predates it. Some of it is familiar, but there are also some important new highlights. 1/ whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Before getting into the details, it is essential that the WH owns this issue, and owns it for us. While there is evidence of foreign countries amplifying our hate, this is an American problem. We have to embrace it to try to expel it. And that is a start. 2/
Details. First, it focuses on a specific issue: violence. While it gives due course to underlying hate, it also recognizes that the use of violence, or threat of it, is of primary importance. That is key because it opens up a conversation about guns, which are hard to ignore. 3/
Thread about MAGA violence and calling it out. MTG's comments aren't just about Nazis. Her words are in line with a narrative of Trumpism: endorsing violence or threat of violence for political gain, a throughline from 2016 to 1/6 to disenfranchisement efforts. 1/
Greene is disturbed. She is also promoting a familiar violent narrative meant to incite. Greene is equating those who support masking with Nazis. That's obvious. But it is more than horrifying. It is code. If we are Nazis, then violence towards us is justified. Wink and nod. 2/
It's a technique Trump mastered; promote violence without saying so, a sophisticated use of stochastic (inciting for random acts of violence) terrorism. "Liberate Michigan!" and they tried to kidnap the Gov. He would deny it. Just a joke, his people would say.
3/
The "vaccine wall" I've been describing is distressing but also not surprising. We go from riding a wave to walking through molasses as we hit demand issues related to access and hesitancy. Requires comms and delivery shifts at tactical level. Big is no longer best. 1/
.@erictopol is pointing out here the reality we knew was coming. So we pivot. There are other commentators (not Eric!) freaking out about this, saying the WH is trying to spin the numbers. I don't get that "take" however satisfying it may be for folks to just complain. 2/
Every major logistics challenge follows the same path: rough start, oil to the engine, then a surge and wave, then molasses. Thankfully, the WH got us to this slower stage sooner than we could have ever hoped under Trump. 3/
To science friends: @ScienceMagazine@hholdenthorp asked me about public health comms and lessons learned. As a mere consumer of health intelligence to guide things I do -- assist state, local and private entities and public how to respond -- I have some (hard) takes. Thread. 1/
Health intelligence is like other intelligence: imperfect, changing as we learn, looks solely through one lens. It provides insights into the "what," but the ultimate decisions often have to take into account costs and benefits that aren't necessarily "scientific" in nature. 2/
Thorp's editorial from the interview lays out the key takeaway: in a national crisis, there are many lanes, all relevant for a nation suffering. We could blame Trump and, while correct, that is too easy. 3/ science.sciencemag.org/content/372/65…
The "replacement theory" isn't just Tucker's usual racism. It is different. The theory -- that space is limited b/c displacement is occurring -- is used as justification for violence to protect a limited resource. It is a promotion and defense of violence. 1/
Also known as "the great replacement," the ideology was first introduced in France about fears of Arab and Muslim immigrants who were allegedly overwhelming the "elite." But Tucker clearly is focused on Hispanics, Jewish Americans and other minorities here. 2/
Tucker is coy because he is also correct in one sense. Replacement is occurring. Young white men today are the last generation of Americans born when Caucasian births outnumbered those of nonwhites. This trend will continue and it animates the racist violence. 3/