#Bitcoin mining punches above its weight class wrt renewables adoption
It's also better able to transition to low carbon vs traditional industry
👇🏼🧵 will dive into:
🔸️how miners are decarbonizing
🔸️what's carbon negative vs neutral
🔸️context wrt trad industry
1/
#Bitcoin mining is unique: it's the only industry w/ an industrial footprint that produces a digital good. Further, production cost cannot be passed to consumers
As such, mining is an energy intense trade exposed industry like steel or cement, & locates where most competitive
2/
Green makes economic sense: energy & carbon emissions are cost centers
Green mining is accelerating b/c it has a competitive edge
✅ Lower marginal cost of power
✅ Added revenue streams (heat, byproducts)
❌ No carbon costs
Similar to trad industry, mining is decarbonizing
3/
"Carbon neutral" (or net zero) emissions are what we hear about most
Neutral means to eliminate or offset all fossil based emissions
Many countries or companies target "0" by 2050 or 2060
4/
Carbon negative takes neutral a step further - it's removing more carbon than is emitted
Carbon negative reverses the carbon positive state most economies operate on (except Bhutan & Suriname 🏆); usually we're emitting more than removals (ie CO2e emissions > sequestration)
5/
Industries (or economies), can work towards carbon neutrality by:
🔸️fuel switching (to less carbon intensive fuels)
🔸️process switching (diff process w/ lower emissions)
🔸️carbon capture & storage/sequestration (CCS)
🔸️offsets
Trad industry examples for context 👇🏼
6/
Big emitters in trad industries like steel & cement can switch to bio-based coke/charcoal to lower process (chemistry) or fuel (combustion) emissions
Or they can switch manufacturing processes, eg coke ovens vs DRI 4 steel
(Note there are limits, changes can affect quality)
7
Alternatively 🏭 can buy offsets; ie ⬇️ emissions elsewhere to offset combustion or process emissions at the site (eg 🌳 planting, lowering landfill methane emissions)
(Compliance offsets can be capped at a % of emissions reductions to meet regs. Voluntary may not be capped)
8/
CCS is capturing carbon & storing it permanently & long term (centuries+)
It's for heavy industry (steel, cement, O&G, power gen) as they're large point sources of emissions (vs transportation or households)
But CCS is 💰 & needs a lot of energy, so it's uncommon in the wild
9/
Diff types of CCS:
Geological: inject CO2 into geo formations like oil & gas fields, saline aquifers. CO2 injection can even enhance oil recovery
Mineral: CO2 can be converted chemically to stable carbonates (rocks)
Biogenic: CO2 is taken up by alage or bacteria & destroyed
10
Trad industries have choices to lower carbon. Depending on the combo of tech, they can hit neutral or even negative
Cost is usually the biggest factor, but others incl lifetime of equipment (won't change process/equipment until end of life due to sunk costs)
11/
#Bitcoin miners have an advantage over trad industry
🔸️mobile: can locate to renewables (can't move steel plant)
🔸️short upgrade cycles to more productive & energy efficient equipment (kilns & coke ovens last decades)
🔸️high margins: $ to innovate, deploy lowcarbon tech
12/
#Bitcoin miners can lower carbon footprint several ways
🔸️renewables & nuclear
🔸️fuel switching from fossil to biomass (biomethane from landfills, anaerobic digesters)
🔸️more efficient or productive miners (less ⚡)
🔸️offsets
🔸️carbon capture & storage/sequestration
13/
Eg 2: Combust biofuel (biomethane, biomass) + capture & sequester CO2
🔸️CO2 could be captured by alage & made into neutraceuticals, animal/fish feed, biomaterials
🔸️CO2 could be injected into greenhouses
Plausible due to addnl revenue streams & byproducts; exists outside ⛏
Example 2: Renewable or ☢ miners sell heat offtake to heat load
Heat is recovered & used in an application that would otherwise burn coal or natural gas, offsetting fossil emissions
Imo, this is expensive & would only be used in a *high* carbon price jurisdiction. Miners would relocate first
(Note, I can see O&G using CCS for enhanced oil recovery; but since oil is burned, it's not carbon negative) 19/
Example 4: Theoretically, renewable or nuclear ⚡ could be coupled w/ offsets to achieve carbon negative operations
I question *why* due to unnecessary cost, but it's doable
Regardless, there are several pathways to carbon negative; & there will be miners that pursue them
/20
That sums up how #Bitcoin mining is decarbonizing. Hopefully, you learned something new
Further analysis that could build on this 🧵: adding CO2 reduction estimates for green mining options; timelines for adoption to get to net zero
As for sustainability more broadly...
21/
The future of #Bitcoin mining is green:
⬆️ integration w/ clean, modern power grids: provide ancillary services & subsidize renewable infra
⬇️ waste: plastics & tires (PRTI @GoingParabolic) for energy
⬆️ industrial synergies: heat offtake, flare gas use, & saleable byproducts
22/
Considering we overachieve vs trad industry, #Bitcoin is unfairly held to impossible ESG standards
The headlines don't cover our success stories w/ the same fanfare, but the #Bitcoin mining industry is BUIDLing a better future in the background & I'm proud to be a part of it!
We're a 💎 in the rough rn, but don't count us out!
24/ fin
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China's #Bitcoin mining ban likely has multiple objectives:
🔸️ builds on top of prior ban to protect investors & financial markets
🔸️ closes a loophole as people invested in Bitcoin mining farms to aquire bitcoin
🔸️ helps China attain its carbon neutrality goals
2/
Despite banning #bitcoin mining in Mongolia, concerns remain wrt China's ability to meet its carbon neutrality targets by 2060
There's still too much reliance on coal in other provinces & China will be careful about allocating renewables across its industrial base 3/