Thread by @AWokeZombie

#NJ #COVID19

Took me awhile to get the data together for this. So here it goes.

If you didnt realize it when you saw these bullshit numbers. They are all a guise to push vaccines. Thats it.

I'll try to walk through this in as few tweets as possible.

/1

https://twitter.com/GovMurphy/status/1417168790366851075

First up, nowhere does it make any sense to push population level numbers. Reporting these as 'effective' is just a disgusting mis-appropriation of the math. Today, 324 people tested positive. That means 8,999,676 didnt, or 99.9964%. Idiotic to present it that way? Of course.

/2

Yet, somehow the Gov and his DOH thinks it ok to just pull that out of their ass and claim it means that the vaccine is 99.99999999% effective. Here's the truth. its not.

What they failed to realize is they gave us some important data today that made this easy to fact check

/3

By giving us the dates of the two breakthrough reports, they gave us the deltas, and made it possible to calculate true breakthrough cases/hospitalizations/deaths.

Here's how that rolls up. There's 2 nuggets of info in this data they gave us, so allow me to explain

/4

One, they admit that in the April report out on breakthroughs that only 30 of the 92 Breakthrough hospitalizations were "FROM" Covid, which means 62, or ~66% of all cases were "WITH".

/5

nj.gov/governor/news/…

So, this is an admission that WITH/FROM is real, and the MAJORITY of cases that we count as covid hospitalizations in NJ actually have NOTHING to do with covid. So why are they being counted as such but excluded for breakthrough? Things that make you wonder...

/6

Two, they also admitted during this report that of the 14 Covid deaths, only 7 of them were FROM COVID. That means 50%, or HALF had NOTHING to do with Covid. So, why are they being counted as such but excluded from breakthrough?

/7

So this begs the question: Why are we applying one set of criteria for exclusion, but not doing using the same rigor to count both covid hospital and deaths? How many pregnancies are popping positive, for example, in NJ every day? What % of our total covid hospitalizations?

/8

Next, I determined the number of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths (based on IO) that occurred during those two blocks of time. That rolls up as follows.

/9

With cases between the two points in time, and the Change in breakthrough cases/hospitalizations/deaths from one report to the next, we can calculate the # of Breakthroughs that just occurred.

BT Cases: 2,155
BT Hosp: 54
BT Deaths: 24

/10

Finally, knowing the Change in breakthrough and change in Cases/Hosp/Deaths, we can calculate % of Breakthrough.

Now we can compare that actual result to Murphy's bullshit number.

How many media members pushed back on this? How many wrote about how great Murphy did?

/11

Not a thread to discuss if vaccines work or not, but I will add some of my own context:

* The Breakthrough cases seems in line to me. Its probably being understated

* The Breakthrough deaths to me is NOT good. 7.6% death breakthru? Seems very high.

/12

What would all of this data show if we DIDNT exclude cases/hospitalizations and deaths, like we do with counting covid cases, hospitalizations and deaths? Answer: It would be even worse.

Why do accept the one and not the other?

/13

At the end of the day, not only did Murphy try to pull this over on NJ residents, but the media was all but absent in actually being investigative journalists and call this out. Why does it always fall on others?

/14

This is being done to push vaccine uptake. To scare people, and make the vaccines seems as if they are the way out, all while ignoring natural immunity (Have you ever heard anyone who works for the DOH say those words? Murphy?)

/15

When will politicians and public health realize that people deserve facts, and REAL data, not getting lied to under the guise that its for their own good and they know no better.

Be honest with the data. Stop lying.

/end rant.