Motivated by tweets from @DavidHenigUK this morning, a challenge:

How could we establish a *fair* picture of where there are supermarket shortages in the UK?

Quick 🧵
David is right to say that it’s not all as catastrophic as some say, nor not a problem at all as some others do. It’s something in between.
Further as we’ve seen throughout Brexit, some firms cope better with disruption than others (think of EasyJet re-registering planes to Austria very swiftly, while British Airways dithered)

Some firms, maybe some regions, cope better?
The problem would be that a systematic crowd sourcing of information - submit pics of your local supermarket, dated etc. would be too open to be gamed and manipulated.
The tech to do that is easy enough - think of the crowd sourced #uksnow maps of the past.

But no one has an incentive to game a snow map. They do with this, because it’s political.
Which leaves us with this weird situation where we know there are problems, but nothing to help us really understand them, or be able to know what to do about them. It’s frustrating.
Would there be a way to use some wisdom of the crowds here rather than a bias of the crowds, to understand this?

/ends

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More from @jonworth

22 Jul
🇬🇧 has a vaccine supply problem

It's important

A 🧵
Back in the winter and early spring, Johnson was crowing about how brilliant 🇬🇧 vaccine procurement rollout had been, and how - by comparison - 🇪🇺 was struggling

Now - in mid July - it is precisely the opposite
🇬🇧 bet on 8 vaccines in 2020 - AZ, BioNTech, Moderna, J&J, Valneva, Novavax, GSK-Sanofi and Curevac - and notably ordered and approved AZ and BioNTech sooner than 🇪🇺 did
Read 19 tweets
21 Jul
So the guys at @SmarketsPol asked me yesterday if I could make a kind of Brexit diagram for German government coalition options post-Bundestag election

I've not got a diagram together *yet*, but I have done some workings, and it's pretty interesting

#BTW21 🧵
Wikipedia's German polling page has a table called "Monatliche Mittelwerte" - basically an average of all the month's polls
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bundestag…

I've taken these numbers, and used them for this work, and have made my own July-so-far calculation as well
The overall state of the polling is shown in this graph

CDU did v well through the main part of the pandemic, lost 10 points, and have recovered a bit. Greens back to trend. FDP now up a good bit
Read 19 tweets
20 Jul
OK, all previous tweets about UK COVID QR codes and 🇩🇪🇫🇷🇮🇪 apps *deleted*, because this situation is so very messy... and I am going to try to set the record straight in this thread instead

This stuff is important, and understanding it is complex, so bear with me

🧵
This applies to people vaccinated by the NHS in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 only. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and Northern Ireland do not issue QR codes to those vaccinated, so this is not applicable to them

It applies to those people travelling 🇬🇧 to 🇪🇺 & 🇨🇭, and NOT to people travelling to 🇬🇧
Scan NHS 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 vaccination cert QR with:

🇩🇪 Corona-Warn-App
🤖 play.google.com/store/apps/det…
iOS apps.apple.com/de/app/corona-…

🇮🇪 COVID Tracker Ireland
🤖 play.google.com/store/apps/det…
iOS apps.apple.com/de/app/covid-t…

🇫🇷 TousAntiCovid
🤖 play.google.com/store/apps/det…
iOS apps.apple.com/us/app/tousant…

it IMPORTS
Read 13 tweets
20 Jul
All this mapping Eiffel Towers leads you to discover strange towers in strange places...

And Serbia 🇷🇸 has an Eiffel Tower strip, south east of Belgrade and north of Kragujevac

There are towers in:
Lozovik
Velika Plana
Markovac

🧵
Why are there Eiffel Towers in this area of Serbia you might ask?

Because lots of people from there went to work in France, or had a connection to France, as this story of the Markovac tower builder explains 👇
blic.rs/vesti/srbija/a…
"I worked in Paris in paris in the 1970s as a car mechanic. It wasn't so bad, but I didn't even like it too much. I returned home and made the Eiffel Tower as a memory" says Milutin Damjanović who built it
Read 9 tweets
19 Jul
OK, so I think I am done for now

2 more Eiffel Towers (in 🇳🇱, 🇦🇹) added to @Geoguessr map - so now 116 towers in 49 countries there 👇
geoguessr.com/maps/60451069a…

But there are 75 towers I cannot find in Google Street View!

So 191 replicas total!

More detail in 🧵
All the details of the towers are in this blog post 👇
jonworth.eu/the-weird-and-…

As well as the 116 towers I have been able to find, there are 75 more whether either the location is not known, or it is and there is nothing on Google Street View
In some places this is due to Street View being outdated, or towers having been built very recently

In other places it's because the tower cannot be seen from the road and there is no Google Photo Sphere close by
Read 5 tweets
15 Jul
So rail nerds @TrainTracksEU @Koelschlenny @vorortanleiter @AndyBTravels @seatsixtyone @AnnaDeparnay @PaliparanDotCom @LenaDonat - let's plan @AdinaValean and @MarianMarinescu a nice rail route Bruxelles-Bucharest arriving latest morning of 17 Sept un Bucuresti Nord!
Perfect! Here we go...

Just 2 changes (in Vienna and Budapest), and time for a coffee with @lgewessler @MartinSelmayr at Wien Hbf en route!

Trip time 35 hrs 58 mins...

Now how best to book that? 🤔
OK, so we can book Bruxelles Midi - Wien Hbf - Budapest Keleti with ÖBB, €219,80 in a single compartment in the NightJet and a regular seat in the RailJet for the last bit...
Read 16 tweets

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