What is popular and sexy is often not very profitable (questionable whether you'll even break even?).
Glance over the statistics for start-up, angel & venture capital returns. You'll realize you might as well donate your capital to a charity — better use of it.
Another oldie worth reading, since not much has changed.
An investment strategy that loses money broadly speaking, inability to outperform even an index fund, awful alignment of interest, long lock-up periods, with very high fees.
"Given the persistent poor performance of the industry, there are many VCs who haven’t received a carry check in a decade, or if they are newer to the industry, ever.
These VCs live entirely on the fee stream. Fees, it turns out, are the lifeblood of the VC industry..."
Watch what they do, not what they say.
"VCs don’t ask how much they can invest, but rather, how little. They seek a minimum, not a maximum.
When it comes time to put their own money where their mouth is, there’s a surprising lack of both interest & capital."
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Why: carefully selected & diversified portfolio of litigation cases can return 30%+ annually while being totally uncorrelated to traditional assets during a potential crash, plus Pound might rise vs $USD giving additional returns
Litigation funding is outperforming all other asset classes including private equity, real estate, private debt, hedge funds, and the stock index funds.
Yet it still remains very unsexy due to a high barrier of entry (expertise & know-how, large minimum ticket sizes, etc).
Additionally, the UK litigation cases are denominated in British Pounds — has recently broken out of its 13-year downtrend against the greenback.
We are hopeful the Pound might continue appreciating, gifting investors a double return (underlying ROI + exchange rate carry).
Swensen's portfolio allocation weighting over the years.
"Mr. Swensen often blasted the excessive costs of the mutual-fund industry and the conflicts of interest on Wall Street. He bashed activist investors as value-destroying and asset-gathering managers as out for themselves."
we were told many US states (California, Nevada, Florida, etc) and various countries around the world (Spain, Ireland, etc) were suffering from property shortages.
2/ Once artificial demand pulled back as the downturn started, it turned out we never had any shortages at all.
Many were just buying their 3rd, 5th or 13th investment property by using excessive leverage.
I assume we will get a similar, or worse outcome in the next 5 years.
3/ Excessive leverage fuels booms like nothing else,
and it typically create enormous oversupply (mortal enemy of long term prices).
I can only imagine how much malinvestment we will have to deal with once the tide pulls back and we notice many are swimming without shorts.