🧵 [Thread] 1/ This thread is about some attempts to manipulate the Arabic hashtag "boycott elections". The trend refers to upcoming Shura council elections in Qatar. It's currently the number one trend in Qatar. There is clear manipulation + outside influence. Read on>
2/ First, while the topic of Shura elections has generated much debate, it is clearly going to be an issue of international scrutiny. So at these times looking at social media commentary and manipulation will be key, especially with democratic backsliding in the region #Qatar
3/ It's not a big hashtag. Only around 300 interactions from around 250 unique accounts. However, the most retweeted account is a digital marketing account that literally offers trend promoting services. > noof30304. 100 RTs and 40 likes cost 10 Riyals! This account
4/ This marketing account accounts for 116 RTs and 47 likes on the hashtag, already a large proportion. We should probably assume that those RTs are also from fake accounts 9 (at least initially because real accounts will RT when the tweet become more prominent).
5/ Here's one of the accounts retweeting the marketing accounts > @JimmyRuff77 - Yeah I am pretty sure this Jimmy Ruff is not really following Qatar's Shura elections... Same with Becky Mills....
6/ What's more, the most 'influential' account on the hashtag is EdyCohen an Israeli account who has tweeted disinformation about Qatar and the Muslim Brotherhood before. He is often in lock step with Emirate influencer account. Edy has around 4300000 followers.
7/ Edy is spreading information about women not being able to participate in elections. Not quite clear what he is talking about, since women can run for the Shura council. A lot of retweets from Emirate and Saudi accounts by the looks of it... #Qatar
8/ It's also worth noting some of the tweets aren't actually about Qatar, but Lebanon and Iraq...
9/ A lot of the signal boosting also comes from accounts that are criticising the trend as supposed to supporting it...
9/ Another influential node is an apparently Emirate account called Emarate_Shield who is again accusing the Qatar government of being Muslim Brotherhood terrorists. Incidentally, the Emarate_Shield account was very influential on a hashtag about Tunisia a few days ago...
10/ One of the accounts kuwarimud is again spreading disinformation saying the election is for men only and not women. The account 'royal qatar' replies seems to be saying women aren't suitable for leadership, presumably this is to make Qataris look more misogynistic?
11/ Anyway that's enough for now. While there are many genuine discussions, including praise and criticism of the upcoming elections, this is not one. This trend is clearly misleading, mostly dominated by disinformation, paid spambots, non-Qataris (UAE/Saudi) and an Israeli
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[Thread] 1/ Good evening, afternoon, or morning all! Tonight's thread is on #Turkey, and it will be a big one. Many have commented on the massive hashtag "Help Turkey" that rapidly reached 2.5 million tweets today. Read on for an in depth Twitter analysis > #Disinformation
2/ 1st, some brief context. The hashtag "help turkey" involved people calling for international help to combat Turkey's wildfires. Images like the one below were common. The tweet storm prompted reactionary nationalistic hashtags including "Strong Turkey" & "We Dont Need Help"
3/ Some felt the message being generated on the hashtag was designed to make Turkey look weak, incompetent and desperate. This, coupled with the scale of the campaign, suggested a possible influence operation. To be clear though. The hashtag had many real users. See below.
An interesting aspect of the Shura Elections is that candidates must be from a family that resided in Qatar prior to 1930. Article 80 of the #Qatar constitution as far as I can tell does not provide this requirement, simply that they be Qatari nationals. 1930 is mentioned in
the nationality law of 2005. 1930 is a date mentioned in the nationality law as the key date for which those residents and descendants of those residents have nationality. There are many other roads to obtaining Qatari nationality however, but the almeezan.qa/LawView.aspx?o…
law on candidates for the Shura council does make a distinction between those with pre-1930 nationality and post 1930 nationality. As far as I know there is no formal distinction between citizen and national. Also I am not sure if there are numbers out there defining the
Thread 1/ This is a thread on the hashtag 'Tunisia is safe', which has been trending in #Tunisia for the past two days or so, and was the top trend for some time. This thread highlights the contents of the hashtag, its influencers, its seeming purpose, and any potential anomalies
2/ The sample includes about around 7000 interactions involving around 3500 unique accounts (this number also includes accounts that did not tweet the term, but were mentioned or replied to) Sample ranges from 7pm 28th July to 6am 31st July. #Tunisia
3/ First, who was tweeting and who was the composition. The most influentional and retweeted account was popular Tunisian influencer Louay Cherni. Also influential and heavily RT's was Tunisian model and actress Azza Slimene. Cherni's tweet criticizing Ennahda was the most
[Thread] 1/ I did another Twitter analysis. This time I searched for tweets using the term 'Tunis' (in Arabic). This is somewhat agnostic, so anyone mentioning '#Tunisia' will be analysed. The results are striking, & you give a clear image of polarisation. Will explain more
2/ What this image shows is to distinct clusters (the pink one, and the green one). Each cluster represents a community, a group of accounts that tend to interact more with each other. The fact they are separate indicates there is little interaction between the communities >
3/ What is evident is that the green community is essentially 4-5 Saudi nationalists (halgawi, s_hm2030, monther72, cressfiles) & their retweeters, while the pink cluster is mostly 2 Mauritanian/Qatar - (mshinqiti. Turkialshoub commentators/journalists and those retweeting them.
[Thread] Thanks to all the good faith response to this thread. I am just addressing some responses about what this thread is not, and never claimed to be.
1) It is not saying what Tunisians do and do not think, nor making a claim to what they want
[Thread] 1/ This is a thread on Twitter manipulation around #Tunisia, where the current President is accused of instigating a coup. One Arabic trend translates as "Tunisians revolt against the Brotherhood". I analysed around 12000 tweets from 6800 unique accounts #disinformation
2/ The trend is interesting primarily because (regardless of what one thinks of #Tunisian politics or indeed, the Muslim Brotherhood), the Muslim Brotherhood has been the bogeyman for the UAE, Egypt and Saudi, and invoked to justify authoritarian and unconstitutional measures
3/ Firstly, who is tweeting on the hashtag? Well network analysis shows it is mostly Emirate and Saudi influencers. The most retweeted and influential accounts are monther72, faljubairi and s_hm2030 and emarati_shield. See below for some screenshots. #Tunisia