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Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
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3 Aug, 16 tweets, 5 min read
📍 LGA Profiles

Focus - Creep. Areas not in hard lockdown but flagged by CHO

- Penrith
- Strathfield
- Bayside
- Inner West
- Burwood
- Camden

Below, for each:
1. Cases
2. Under Investigation
3. Testing rates*

w/ @datapossum @DeadInLongRun

#covid19nsw #covid19aus
*Quick testing rates primer ... below are tests it took to find one positive case (over14 days). What's good and bad?

More tests / 1 positive is good. Compare with 8 hard lockdown LGAs -

Cumberland (worst of 8) = 213 tests / 1 positive
Blacktown (best of 8) = 457 tests / 1
📍 Penrith

Cases 14-day total = 30 (+11 today)
Under investigation = 19 (+9 today) ⚠️
1,148 tests / 1 positive

True daily cases. Pink is under investigation. Note each chart has a different y-axis
📍 Strathfield

Cases 14-day total = 37 (+12 today)
Under investigation = 7 (-6 today)
306 tests / 1 positive ⚠️

📍 Bayside

Cases 14-day total = 49 (+3 today)
Under investigation = 12 (+0 today)
509 tests / 1 positive

📍 Inner West

Cases 14-day total = 41 (+4 today)
Under investigation = 11 (-1 today)
630 tests / 1 positive

📍 Burwood

Cases 14-day total = 7 (+1 today)
Under investigation = 5 (+1 today)
704 tests / 1 positive

📍 Camden

Cases 14-day total = 20 (+3 today)
Under investigation = 7 (+0 today)
1,210 tests / 1 positive

More -

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More from @juliette_io

Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
4 Aug
1,215 Cases 🔎 Under Investigation in ⚫️NSW
= 30% of outbreak cases (4,056)

🧭 Where they live

1. Lock-in LGAs -
Canterbury-Bankstown +27 = 315
Cumberland +18 = 170
Liverpool +16 = 119
Blacktown +8 = 88
Campbelltown +7 = 56
Parramatta +4 = 49
...
#covid19nsw #covid19aus Image
Fairfield +3 = 269
Georges River -1 = 10

2. Lockdown LGAs -
Penrith +8 = 27
Camden +3 = 10
Unknown + 2 = 7
Sydney +1 = 15
Inner West +1 = 12
Waverley +1 = 9
Strathfield +1 = 8
Wollongong +1 = 4
Bayside +1 = 12
Randwick -1 = 4
Northern Beaches -4 = 0
Ryde -4 = 0
...
Lane Cove -2 = 0
Willoughby -2 = 0
(no change)
The Hills Shire 9
Burwood 5
Sutherland Shire 4
Canada Bay 3
Wollondilly 3
Woollahra 2
Wingecarribee 2
Blue Mountains 1
Central Coast 1
Goulburn Mulwaree 1
Read 5 tweets
Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
4 Aug
Is this outbreak under control?

That's the question* we're trying to answer with all this data

So let's look at Canterbury-Bankstown and Cumberland

1. The curve via @datapossum - no bend

1/6
*Q articulated perfectly by @DeadInLongRun
#COVID19nsw #covidnsw #covid19aus
2. Daily case numbers via @DeadInLongRun

2/6
3. Daily transmission sources

📍 Canterbury-Bankstown
All local: 642 (+74 today)
Under Investigation: 315 (+27 today)

3/6 Image
Read 7 tweets
Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
4 Aug
👩‍🏫 Covid Data Words Explainer - 'Under Investigation'

What are all these cases Under Investigation we hear about?

It's confusing bc NSW Health now announces 2 different categories of cases 'Under Investigation' that mean different things

1/6
#covidnsw #covidvic #covid19aus
1. Cases with an unknown source

They indicate undetected chains of transmission - outside the households and workplaces we know about

Contact Tracers are trying to solve these over the coming days and weeks

2/6
2. Cases 'under investigation' with respect to the question, were they in the community while infectious?

We data nerds call cases in community while infectious 'Wild'

So cases under investigation are Wild TBD (To Be Determined)

Read 9 tweets
Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
2 Aug
1,071 cases 🔎 Under Investigation in ⚫️ NSW

🧭 LGAs in hard lockdown

Canterbury-Bankstown +17 = 266
Campbelltown +15 = 50
Cumberland +14 = 137
Blacktown +6 = 70
Parramatta +2 = 44
Georges River +2 = 11
Liverpool +1 = 98
Fairfield -5 = 262

#COVID19nsw #covidnsw #covid19aus
🧭 LGAs not in hard lockdown

Canada Bay +3 = 4
Bayside +2 = 12
Strathfield +1 = 13
Waverley +1 = 9
The Hills Shire +1 = 9
Northern Beaches +1 = 5
Sydney 13
Penrith 10
Randwick 5
Burwood 4
Ryde 4
Sutherland Shire 4
Wollongong 3
Wollondilly 3
Woollahra 2
Lane Cove 2
Willoughby 2
Wingecarribee 2
Blue Mountains 1
Central Coast 1
Goulburn Mulwaree 1
Read 4 tweets
Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
2 Aug
The awaited NSW Surveillance Report has arrived. Data covers Sydney outbreak to July 17

1. Wilds updates -

The good news it clarifies the daily data

The bad news is it only goes to July 17, leaving the status of 589 unknown

#covid19nsw #covid19aus Image
Vaccination rates of cases - Image
Vaccination rates in hospitalisations / ICU -

1. Full vax
2. Part vax
3. No vax
4. Total Image
Read 5 tweets
Juliette O'Brien Profile picture
2 Aug
⚫️🐦 NSW wild cases

Monday: 72 - 118
🐦 Full wild: 51
🏃‍♂️ Partial wild: 21
❔ TBD: 46

New daily wilds -

#covidsydney #covid19nsw #COVID19Aus #SydneyLockdown #covidnsw Image
7-day trend - Image
14-day sum - Image
Read 4 tweets

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