👩‍🏫 Covid Data Words Explainer - 'Under Investigation'

What are all these cases Under Investigation we hear about?

It's confusing bc NSW Health now announces 2 different categories of cases 'Under Investigation' that mean different things

1/6

#covidnsw #covidvic #covid19aus
1. Cases with an unknown source

They indicate undetected chains of transmission - outside the households and workplaces we know about

Contact Tracers are trying to solve these over the coming days and weeks

2/6

2. Cases 'under investigation' with respect to the question, were they in the community while infectious?

We data nerds call cases in community while infectious 'Wild'

So cases under investigation are Wild TBD (To Be Determined)

Wild TBD simply means the case has not yet been interviewed

Once they're interviewed, the wild status is known (it will be Wild, Partial Wild or in Isolation for full infectious period)

But WE we don't get updated until the surveillance report tells us in a few weeks 👎
FAQ: Are cases under investigation 'mystery cases'?

Mystery cases refer to the first category - we don't know the source of infection

NSW and VIC use different words

NSW -
1. Cases go Under Investigation
2. If we can't find the source they're reallocated 'unknown source'
VIC - coined the term 'mystery case'

My interpretation is this is lay language that refers to *both* under investigation and from an unknown source

Cue differing interpretations ...
Thank you for your time! Hope this helps. That concludes the class 🌞
ps. this thread inspired by @Valentine702 with whom I chatted yday (about 6 mins into ep)

abc.net.au/radio/sydney/p…
Ok, even though the lines are blurred, I think this is more correct that my interpretation. How mystery cases fits in with the NSW language -

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Juliette O'Brien

Juliette O'Brien Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @juliette_io

4 Aug
1,215 Cases 🔎 Under Investigation in ⚫️NSW
= 30% of outbreak cases (4,056)

🧭 Where they live

1. Lock-in LGAs -
Canterbury-Bankstown +27 = 315
Cumberland +18 = 170
Liverpool +16 = 119
Blacktown +8 = 88
Campbelltown +7 = 56
Parramatta +4 = 49
...
#covid19nsw #covid19aus
Fairfield +3 = 269
Georges River -1 = 10

2. Lockdown LGAs -
Penrith +8 = 27
Camden +3 = 10
Unknown + 2 = 7
Sydney +1 = 15
Inner West +1 = 12
Waverley +1 = 9
Strathfield +1 = 8
Wollongong +1 = 4
Bayside +1 = 12
Randwick -1 = 4
Northern Beaches -4 = 0
Ryde -4 = 0
...
Lane Cove -2 = 0
Willoughby -2 = 0
(no change)
The Hills Shire 9
Burwood 5
Sutherland Shire 4
Canada Bay 3
Wollondilly 3
Woollahra 2
Wingecarribee 2
Blue Mountains 1
Central Coast 1
Goulburn Mulwaree 1
Read 5 tweets
4 Aug
Is this outbreak under control?

That's the question* we're trying to answer with all this data

So let's look at Canterbury-Bankstown and Cumberland

1. The curve via @datapossum - no bend

1/6

*Q articulated perfectly by @DeadInLongRun
#COVID19nsw #covidnsw #covid19aus
3. Daily transmission sources

📍 Canterbury-Bankstown
All local: 642 (+74 today)
Under Investigation: 315 (+27 today)

3/6
Read 7 tweets
3 Aug
📍 LGA Profiles

Focus - Creep. Areas not in hard lockdown but flagged by CHO

- Penrith
- Strathfield
- Bayside
- Inner West
- Burwood
- Camden

Below, for each:
1. Cases
2. Under Investigation
3. Testing rates*

w/ @datapossum @DeadInLongRun

#covid19nsw #covid19aus
*Quick testing rates primer ... below are tests it took to find one positive case (over14 days). What's good and bad?

More tests / 1 positive is good. Compare with 8 hard lockdown LGAs -

Cumberland (worst of 8) = 213 tests / 1 positive
Blacktown (best of 8) = 457 tests / 1
📍 Penrith

Cases 14-day total = 30 (+11 today)
Under investigation = 19 (+9 today) ⚠️
1,148 tests / 1 positive

Read 16 tweets
2 Aug
1,071 cases 🔎 Under Investigation in ⚫️ NSW

🧭 LGAs in hard lockdown

Canterbury-Bankstown +17 = 266
Campbelltown +15 = 50
Cumberland +14 = 137
Blacktown +6 = 70
Parramatta +2 = 44
Georges River +2 = 11
Liverpool +1 = 98
Fairfield -5 = 262

#COVID19nsw #covidnsw #covid19aus
🧭 LGAs not in hard lockdown

Canada Bay +3 = 4
Bayside +2 = 12
Strathfield +1 = 13
Waverley +1 = 9
The Hills Shire +1 = 9
Northern Beaches +1 = 5
Sydney 13
Penrith 10
Randwick 5
Burwood 4
Ryde 4
Sutherland Shire 4
Wollongong 3
Wollondilly 3
Woollahra 2
Lane Cove 2
Willoughby 2
Wingecarribee 2
Blue Mountains 1
Central Coast 1
Goulburn Mulwaree 1
Read 4 tweets
2 Aug
The awaited NSW Surveillance Report has arrived. Data covers Sydney outbreak to July 17

1. Wilds updates -

The good news it clarifies the daily data

The bad news is it only goes to July 17, leaving the status of 589 unknown

#covid19nsw #covid19aus Image
Vaccination rates of cases - Image
Vaccination rates in hospitalisations / ICU -

1. Full vax
2. Part vax
3. No vax
4. Total Image
Read 5 tweets
2 Aug
⚫️🐦 NSW wild cases

Monday: 72 - 118
🐦 Full wild: 51
🏃‍♂️ Partial wild: 21
❔ TBD: 46

New daily wilds -

#covidsydney #covid19nsw #COVID19Aus #SydneyLockdown #covidnsw Image
7-day trend - Image
14-day sum - Image
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(