So @PowerUSAID missed out on a meeting with @AbiyAhmedAli in the end. She flew in late at night, and it’s not clear who she did meet. But in the annals of diplomatic snubs this one is pretty epic.
Her diplomatic failure is already being compared to an incident in the same region involving Sudan Rice which some think led to the war between Eritrea claiming an additional 100,000 lives.
. @SamanthaJPower had been expected in Addis Ababa on Monday or Tuesday. Instead she spent her visit in Sudan heaping praise on the not yet elected govt. before flying in to Addis late at night to avoid protests. Her visit was always scheduled to end today.
It’s hard to pinpoint exactly how her trip fell off the rails as there are several candidate moments. But three will suffice for now. In the early hours Tuesday morning she posted this tweet.
The @AP report, was very widely carried, and the bodies are real but Is considered in Ethiopia, for a variety of credible reasons, to be a piece of engineered TPLF Propaganda. Given that this was probably her opportunity to visit, the tweet could have waited.
Then yesterday the @StateDept changed its public position on the basis for a ceasefire, reversing a position adopted on Friday calling on the TPLF to accept the ceasefire with no preconditions and cease their invasion of Ethiopia.
The statement was also delivered in Washington by the @StateDeptSpox. The problems with this new position for @AbiyAhmedAli and #ethiopia are serious and numerous. And it also looked deeply disrespectful.
And then this morning after she arrived in Addis a video clip surfaced of Power speaking to African @USAID fellows on video link yesterday (August 3) while she was in Sudan. She tweeted the full video at 4pm.
Very quickly the video became an issue. Again not a very diplomatic move. Unless the objective is to piss your interlocutor off, or in this case get your meeting with the Prime Minister cancelled.
Judging by the Twitter reaction few people in Ethiopia are disappointed that @PowerUSAID failed to get her meeting.

The full story is longer and has numerous additional gaffes, including at the outset announcing she would be meeting Abiy and having to walk that back.
Obviously the abject failure of Powers’ mission is nothing to celebrate as it is not good for peace, security, or the 100s of thousands of starving children in Tigray.
But there could be a silver lining if reporting about Powers’ spectacular diplomatic self immolation leads to more attention being paid to a security crisis in Ethiopia that is growing more serious by the day, and it’s real cause: ill-informed Western foreign policy positions.
/ENDS

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More from @althecat

6 Aug
Unfortunately @PowerUSAID @SamanthaJPower appears to have learned absolutely nothing from her visit. This interview with NPR is self-regarding and childish.

This IV undermines an positivity from her somewhat conciliatory remarks at her press conference in Addis.
The delegation of responsibility for diplomacy over the #HornOfAfrica made to the @USAID agency needs to be revoked. The @StateDept will struggle to disentangle @PowerUSAID's ego from this conflict if she remains in any manner associated with it.
The U.S Govt. needs to now make a bold step if there is to be any hope of restoring any order to the #HornOfAfrica. At this stage it is unclear that they wish to do so, and inside Ethiopia their credibility has been deeply undermined by @PowerUSAID's visit.
Read 13 tweets
5 Aug
It appears that @PowerUSAID heard the request from Addis media (e.g. @GetachewSS) to hold a press conference and the transcript has now been published.

It is revealing in interesting ways and a lot more diplomatic than her recent tweets/videos.
usaid.gov/news-informati…
Some initial thoughts:
- She stays within her role as Secretary of @USAID, focusing on humanitarian issues.
- She warns about dangerous rhetoric without being offensive.
- She says she expects to meet with @AbiyAhmedAli soon.
- She refers to HoA envoy Jeffrey Feltman.
She took four questions. All of which addressed the TPLF directly.

In her answers she is more critical of the TPLF than she has been previously, and that is what this thread will focus on.

She was not asked about and does not mention the alleged #HumeraMassacre
Read 46 tweets
5 Aug
I will comment. This follows similar sane and sensible remarks on this issue from the former Trump @StateDept Undersecretary for African Affairs, who succeeded @USAmbUN in the role.
That said the Trump Admin. played a massive part in bringing this catastrophe about by:
1. Tipping the scales in #GERD filling negs. (2019-20)
2. Sanctioning Ethiopia over #GERD filling. (Aug 20)
3. Trump green-lighting Egyptian military belligerence over #GERD. (Oct 20.)
Read 5 tweets
4 Aug
One final thought for tonight. My reasons for being concerned about #CDFC and the site edited by @GPEditor.

The term "Lethal Journalism" is itself lethal to the truth. It tars all journalism with falsehood. And naming things is very important.
The term is also dangerous to journalists. cpj.org

32 journalists were killed in 2020 cpj.org/data/killed/20…
And 13 so far in cpj.org/data/killed/20…

Good journalism is utterly vital in the fight for peace. And without journalism democracy cannot function.
The documented use and abuse of journalism in war is also a very serious problem. Especially by the United States but not exclusively.

Information warfare is accelerating at massive pace via social media, and the U.S. is ground zero for its innovation and deployment.
Read 10 tweets
4 Aug
Listening to it feels like encountering a completely alternative reality. Seriously WTAF. @AnnGarrison @EugenePuryear @wdavison10
The comments from the person from the @USIP interviewee stand out for their in-congruence and disconnection with all that has happened in the past month.

And draw even more attention to this: usip.org/publications/2…

@BronwynBruton @jeffpropulsion
I have close to zero confidence that @PowerUSAID is in Ethiopia to do anything other than apply coercive pressure on @AbiyAhmedAli and Ethiopia at this point.
Read 8 tweets

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