Thread by @GosiaGasperoPhD

Here are projections I made in May/June

Note: AH has access to data, computers, and internet even more than me. I have 1 brain. They have many brains to work on models and monitor global situation

We could have A (no COVID→normalcy back)
But GOA and AH chose B for all of us
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Please note how close the reality is to the centre trajectory projected 8 weeks ago, when overall cases were still going down
The spread of SARS-CoV-2 is HIGHLY predictable.
(If someone tells you otherwise, that only means that it is beyond their personal analytical abilities)
2/

Others have been saying the same thing as me. Below are models by Prof. Colijn. From *May 31* (!).

GOA and AH and some advisors must have seen them (that’s their job), but they did this: 🙈🙉 lalalala!, while implying that “the pandemic is over”.

theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…

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GOA and AH lifted mask mandates & allowed large gatherings. That ensured that vaccines, in-person school break & warm weather won’t have a chance to stop the spread “by accident”. And they didn’t.
Spread must go on.🎶

Since 14 months we are being forced to live with COVID.

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For how many years more?

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A reminder:
“Living with COVID” is a decision, not a biological inevitability.
W/ elimination strategy, a region can stop community transmission in just 5-10 weeks, and get back to a relative normalcy, which is sustainable

Grey: “Living w/ COVID"
Colour: Atl Canada/Elimination

For great daily reports from Atlantic Canada, please follow @WilsonKM2

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https://twitter.com/WilsonKM2/status/1426669177704747008?s=20