But first, my daughter just graduated from college. If she was in school this year, I will not send her with the current planned precautions. 2/
In the US, over 17,000 children have been hospitalized, over 4,000 have suffered from Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (MIS-C) and more than 400 have died due to #COVID19. 3/ sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Vaccines and masks are our most effective tools to protect those who cannot be vaccinated, including children under the age of 12. 4/
Recent data on Delta, the new escape variant circulating in the US is alarming. Delta is twice as infectious. 5/ cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Multiple studies show that while vaccines protect against severe disease, hospitalizations, and deaths the protection against infection from Delta wane within months. 6/ medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Viral loads are similar in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals infected with Delta. Basically, an infected vaccinated person can infect others. The Delta variant also leads to higher rates of hospitalization. 7/ medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
In Seattle and around the country, we are at risk of failing our children again if we don’t properly deal with the Delta variant. 8/
We need better measures to protect our children. For example, the 3 feet of physical distancing recommended by @CDCgov, which @SeaPubSchools is following “to the extent possible”, is an outdated standard based on less transmissible variants. 9/ cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Seattle-area employers have adapted plans, delaying office returns and tightening requirements such as vaccination and testing. For our children, we are going in the opposite direction and relaxing measures in schools. 10/ npr.org/2021/07/30/102…
Early data from other states where schools have started in-person indicate this is a mistake. In Scottsdale AZ, there was more transmission in the first 7 days this year than the entire previous school year. 11/ abcnews.go.com/Health/20000-m…
In-person school is critical for children’s development and health, but in the face of the Delta variant we need more mitigation measures, not fewer. Let us protect our children. end/
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.@IHME_UW extended its forecast to Jan 1, 2022 and now predicts 777,000 cumulative reported #COVID19 deaths by the end of the year. 1/
.@IHME_UW predicts that the US will see a #COVID19 death toll of 423,000 in 2021. That number far surpasses the 354,000 reported #COVID19 deaths in 2020, despite vaccination campaigns and a better understanding of the virus. 2/
The Delta variant was a major factor in 2021. .@IHME_UW models suggest that the decline off the Delta peak will continue to mid-October, with daily deaths reaching below 1,000. 3/
الحالات المبلغ عنها ، والاستشفاء ، والوفيات من #كوفيد١٩ آخذة في الانخفاض في منطقة الشرق الاوسط. 1/ @IHME_UW@WHOEMRO
يجب الانتباه والتذكير ان #كوفيد١٩ هو السبب الاول للوفيات في المنطقة الاسبوع السابق وما زال يشكل خطر كبير على الصحة والجهاز الطبي. هذا الفيروس خطير وانتهازي اذا سمحنا له بالانتشار. 2/
طبعا يخفي هذا الانخفاض الإقليمي فروقات مميزة بين الدول مع وصل الى قمة الاصابات والتراجع الواضح في العديد من البلدان (إيران والعراق ، على سبيل المثال) ، واحتمال الوصول الى القمة في لبنان والإمارات والأردن. 3/
In a small number of @europeanunion countries, the Delta surges seem to have peaked and are declining, including Cyprus, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, and many regions of Spain. 1/
In the rest of @europeanunion, transmission is intensifying, with Delta waves finally emerging clearly in many countries in Central Europe, with the exception of Czechia. 2/
.@IHME_UW estimates that about half the population is susceptible to Delta infection, taking into account past infection and vaccination, providing plenty of opportunities for continued transmission. 3/
.@IHME_UW projects that daily infections will begin increasing in late August, and daily deaths corrected for under-reporting, will drop below 250 by mid-August, but then begin to increase slowly. 1/8
Despite increasing vaccination and declining seasonality, five states have increasing transmission, based on hospitalization data. 2/8
Given over one third of the population has been previously infected with COVID-19, vaccination with two doses is nearing 55% of adults, and seasonality is declining, the increases in transmission in these states is surprising. 3/8
#COVID19 surge in the African Region continues to worsen – reported daily cases increased by 25% this week, from 7,100 per day on average to 8,900 per day. Daily deaths increased to 500 per day, compared to 470 last week. 1/6
Winter in southern Africa and the circulation of escape variants (B.1.351 and B.1.617) coupled with the slow pace of vaccination will continue to drive spikes in cases and deaths. 2/6
Sustained increases in reported cases in South Africa as well as sharp rises in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Liberia, Namibia, Uganda, and Zambia are of particular concern. 3/6
Global #COVID19 infections at this point have likely exceeded 15 million a day, marking the worst phase of the pandemic by a factor of three or more. 1/6
The global daily reported #COVID19 cases in the last week increased to 726,300 per day on average compared to 641,000 the week before. This is a 13% increase over the last week. 2/6 covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=to…
The global daily COVID19 deaths in the last week increased to 14,400 per day on average compared to 13,200 the week before, a 9% increase. 3/6