Tweet

Maybe Scrolly?

Ali H. Mokdad

Follow @AliHMokdad

15 Sep, 7 tweets, 4 min read

@IHME_UW

الحالات المبلغ عنها ، والاستشفاء ، والوفيات من #كوفيد١٩ آخذة في الانخفاض في منطقة الشرق الاوسط. 1/ @IHME_UW @WHOEMRO

يجب الانتباه والتذكير ان #كوفيد١٩ هو السبب الاول للوفيات في المنطقة الاسبوع السابق وما زال يشكل خطر كبير على الصحة والجهاز الطبي. هذا الفيروس خطير وانتهازي اذا سمحنا له بالانتشار. 2/

طبعا يخفي هذا الانخفاض الإقليمي فروقات مميزة بين الدول مع وصل الى قمة الاصابات والتراجع الواضح في العديد من البلدان (إيران والعراق ، على سبيل المثال) ، واحتمال الوصول الى القمة في لبنان والإمارات والأردن. 3/

من المحتمل أن تستمر الزيادات في انتقال العدوى في كل من مصر وسوريا وفلسطين واليمن و الصومال. 4/

متغير دلتا هو سبب زيادة العدوى في بعض دول المنطقة وازدياد التخالط بين الناس ، حيث يستخدم 40 ٪ فقط الكمامة والحركة هذه الايام هي بالقرب من مستويات ما قبل الجائحة في العديد من البلدان. 5/

قد يؤدي افتتاح المدارس والعودة إلى العمل الشخصي للكثيرين إلى تسريع انتقال العدوى. 6/
bbc.com/news/health-58…

بالنظر إلى الأدلة المتاحة على ضعف المناعة وانخفاض فعالية اللقاحات مع مرور الوقت التي تمنع العدوى مقارنة بفعاليتها بمنع الاستشفاء والوفاة ، فمن غير المرجح أن تنجح استراتيجيات تقليل انتقال العدوى إلى الصفر و أن يمتد انتشار هذا الفيروس والعبء على النظام الصحي إلى ما بعد 2022. end/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

More from @AliHMokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

17 Sep

@IHME_UW

.@IHME_UW extended its forecast to Jan 1, 2022 and now predicts 777,000 cumulative reported #COVID19 deaths by the end of the year. 1/

@IHME_UW

.@IHME_UW predicts that the US will see a #COVID19 death toll of 423,000 in 2021. That number far surpasses the 354,000 reported #COVID19 deaths in 2020, despite vaccination campaigns and a better understanding of the virus. 2/

@IHME_UW

The Delta variant was a major factor in 2021. .@IHME_UW models suggest that the decline off the Delta peak will continue to mid-October, with daily deaths reaching below 1,000. 3/

Read 11 tweets

Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

22 Aug

@europeanunion

In a small number of @europeanunion countries, the Delta surges seem to have peaked and are declining, including Cyprus, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, and many regions of Spain. 1/

@europeanunion

In the rest of @europeanunion, transmission is intensifying, with Delta waves finally emerging clearly in many countries in Central Europe, with the exception of Czechia. 2/

@IHME_UW

.@IHME_UW estimates that about half the population is susceptible to Delta infection, taking into account past infection and vaccination, providing plenty of opportunities for continued transmission. 3/

Read 4 tweets

Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

19 Aug

@IHME_UW

I totally agree with my @IHME_UW colleague that we have failed to protect our youngest kids from #COVID19 and that we are about to fail them again. I will list his points below. 1/
seattletimes.com/opinion/we-fai… via @seattletimes

But first, my daughter just graduated from college. If she was in school this year, I will not send her with the current planned precautions. 2/

In the US, over 17,000 children have been hospitalized, over 4,000 have suffered from Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (MIS-C) and more than 400 have died due to #COVID19. 3/
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Read 12 tweets

Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

20 Jun

@IHME_UW

.@IHME_UW projects that daily infections will begin increasing in late August, and daily deaths corrected for under-reporting, will drop below 250 by mid-August, but then begin to increase slowly. 1/8

Despite increasing vaccination and declining seasonality, five states have increasing transmission, based on hospitalization data. 2/8

Given over one third of the population has been previously infected with COVID-19, vaccination with two doses is nearing 55% of adults, and seasonality is declining, the increases in transmission in these states is surprising. 3/8

Read 8 tweets

Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

12 Jun

#COVID19 surge in the African Region continues to worsen – reported daily cases increased by 25% this week, from 7,100 per day on average to 8,900 per day. Daily deaths increased to 500 per day, compared to 470 last week. 1/6

Winter in southern Africa and the circulation of escape variants (B.1.351 and B.1.617) coupled with the slow pace of vaccination will continue to drive spikes in cases and deaths. 2/6

Sustained increases in reported cases in South Africa as well as sharp rises in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Liberia, Namibia, Uganda, and Zambia are of particular concern. 3/6

Read 6 tweets

Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

24 Apr

Global #COVID19 infections at this point have likely exceeded 15 million a day, marking the worst phase of the pandemic by a factor of three or more. 1/6

The global daily reported #COVID19 cases in the last week increased to 726,300 per day on average compared to 641,000 the week before. This is a 13% increase over the last week. 2/6
covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=to…

The global daily COVID19 deaths in the last week increased to 14,400 per day on average compared to 13,200 the week before, a 9% increase. 3/6

Read 6 tweets

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Share this page!

Ali H. Mokdad

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

More from @AliHMokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

Ali H. Mokdad

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Like this author's thread?