The study compared people who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 to those who tested negative
They looked at symptoms at the time of testing, and then 3 months later
The differences are then presumably due to one group having covid
They surveyed children aged 11 - 17
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What did they find?
At time of testing, 35% of test positives had symptoms compared to only 8% of test negatives
Astoundingly, 3 months later 67% of test positives had any symptoms, and *53% of test negatives* had symptoms
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This is why studies of persistent symptoms after covid which don't have a control group are almost completely useless
Over HALF of children who didn't have SARS-CoV-2 had symptoms 3 months later (despite only 8% having symptoms at baseline!)
These symptoms are SO common
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More symptoms were found in the positive group, which is what we would expect
These were most commonly tiredness, headaches, loss of smell, and shortness of breath
Test positives were more likely to have multiple (3+ symptoms) too (30% v 16%)
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Interestingly, there was almost no difference in any score on mental health, well being or quality of life assessments (including fatigue) for those who tested positive vs negative
There were small differences in problems with mobility and pain/discomfort
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As the paper notes, strikingly 40% of test positives and 39% of test negatives reported feeling "worried, sad or unhappy" on the QoL questionnaire
Whatever else is going on, our children and young people are not in a good place currently
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The team identified a cluster of children who had several symptoms ("class 2")
Risk factors for being in this cluster included testing positive for covid, being female, being older, and having worse pre-test physical and mental health
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Some important biases:
Responder bias: 13% of people invited to the survey responded. Families with something to report are more likely to respond
Detection bias: only children who got tested enter the study, and we know many with covid don't get tested due to mild symptoms
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These are important as the study will likely overestimate the proportion of children infected with covid who go on to have longer symptoms
Fortunately, it appears even for those who do, the impact on life is very limited for most, compared to children without covid
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We do know there are some children who do go on to have more debilitating symptoms after #COVID19, and they need support and help to recover
Fortunately, this appears rare
Most children recover quickly, and ongoing symptoms do not appear to significantly impair QoL
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Hopefully we can move forward soon from putting all manner of symptoms into a single basket, and separate out distinct syndromes (post viral cough, anosmia, post viral fatigue, autoimmune etc) to give each of them specific focus
Loads of people will now have heard of RSV for the first time
Here is a quick thread on the disease it causes (bronchiolitis) and why we DONT use salbutamol inhalers/nebulisers to treat it - they can even make it worse!
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Bronchiolitis does what is says on the tin
It’s infection with a virus (usually RSV, but can be others) affecting the small airways (“bronchioles”) causing inflammation (“itis”)
It causes wheezing, coughing, and difficulty breathing
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Usually it affects babies <1y of age (although in the US definitions are a bit different…) and is seasonal, coming in waves every winter
It is the most common cause of hospitalisation of children, usually for breathing support, extra oxygen, or help feeding
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I've seen some completely incorrect comments about the current situation with kids cases and hospitalisations in England, so let's clear up where we're at!
1. Cases in children started falling well before schools closed for summer
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Cases acquired in the last week of school would not become symptomatic and get tested until the following week
Any changes in trends due to schools closing should show up the week AFTER schools closed, not the week before (obviously)
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2. Cases are not falling in children due to summer holidays
Cases are actually relatively flat (or rising) in most age groups, although there was a small uplift in young adults before others
Possibly a new rise coming in older teens secondary to a large surfing festival 🏄
Something I think we’ve been very bad at separating when trying to help people understand risk during the pandemic, especially for kids, is:
1. Risk of getting covid 2. Risk of being seriously ill IF you get covid
When we talk about risk, these things are very different
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The first is a product of:
-Prevalence (how many people are infected)
-Exposure (where are you that’s likely to get you infected)
-Variant (per exposure, more by Delta than others)
-Immunity (best by vax, or else infection)
These things change over time, so risk does too
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The latter is really a product of:
-Age (risk increases exponentially)
-Comorbidities (e.g. for children, neurodisability or cardiac diseases)
-Immunity
It is not clear whether variants significantly impact this risk - they may somewhat, but it is very uncertain
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