I see 15% correction from here from trading point of view
Long term view (2 yrs) is super bullish (just to avoid confusion)
Unless some short covering comes in last hour, I will go with simple Buy PE in both indices
As said above, going home with simple ATM weekly Put buy on both the indices
expecting a good gap down tomorrow
Squared off all index positions. Will wait for day low to be broken. Then will take a call. Today short covering might not come, it's going to be sell on rise for intraday
I have bought plain vanilla ATM PUT for both #nifty and #banknifty
This week i am avoiding selling any option as when VIX is expanding, it has higher chances of loss,
Option selling is all about saving yourself from few biggest losses in a year
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China’s credit market: as crisis unfolds #Evergrande
From 2008 onwards, to match projected GDP numbers of 10%,
china made 300 cities which are loosely called ghost cities of china
Video of Al Jazeera Is from 2009,
This growth of GDP was fuelled buy Chinese PSUs and state govts taking loans to complete these projects
These loans were short tenor loans with frequent refinancing. This was done to keep a tight control over their finances and operations without letting the credit risk spread
Later majority of these corporations floated bonds which also had implicit (important word) guarantee by the CCP (party)
Most such investments in a command economy are not productive, but who cares till GDP numbers look good and outside investors are in awe.
The speed with which big Banks adapt to change in environment is commendable
Smaller banks and NBFCs either cant do that (because of regulation or lack of strategy)
#HDFCBank had a retail heavy book for last 20 yrs, now corporate book is bigger and expanding fast (53% now)
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as HDFC Bank sees that, fintech riding on ponzi scheme of valuation and VC money, will eat away CASA, will eat away fee income related to retail
but regulation will not allow fintech to even look at corporate loans, so not only hedged, but double down with AT1 of USD 1 billion
#AXISBank has closed all foreign subsidiaries except UK, these subsidiaries are not easy, as in china you have to have 5 yrs of Rep office then only you can apply for a licence and once surrendered, you cant re-apply , so big shift in strategy