This is a key point because it helps define what Haugen's testimony has done today. She is launching what might be called the third phase of Facebook vs. democracy. Just some thoughts. . 1/
The first phase, pre-2016, was defined by Zuckerberg's defense of a platform filled with hate. He would always claim "FB (or "I", as he liked to say) shouldn't be in the business of deciding what is true or not." This seemed conceptually pleasing 2/
and had the benefit of making Zuck seem the reluctant power player. He didn't want that kind of power! We didn't want him to have that power! After 2016 -- election, hate, radicalization, foreign influence, security -- that was a hard defense to sustain. 3/
During the second phase, it became clear that FB's claim that it didn't want to decide what should be on the platform was, in fact, a decision. By "deciding not to decide," the platform was giving equal footing to the lies, hate, radicalization, anti-science, ickiness. 4/
Our public policy and national security debates became about getting this stuff off the platform then. But that was wrong. Haugen introduces this essential 3rd phase: in fact, Zuck and FB had decided at the start. The original defense -- deciding not to decide -- was a lie. 5/
The decision was affirmatively made to favor the hate, violence, radicalization, anti-democracy, anti-science elements through the algorithm. Folks on the outside knew this, understood this. But now it is clear FB embraced it. Zuck was an eager power player. He had decided. 6/6
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I wrote another book. I've been thinking of these ideas for years. This is a '21 plug for '22 publication @publicaffairs. It is called "The Devil Never Sleeps" and it rethinks disaster management for an era when disasters are no longer random or rare. 1/ publicaffairsbooks.com/titles/juliett…
The title comes from words I heard from a survivor of the 2011 Joplin, Missouri tornado tragedy. Her faith helped her reimagine Joplin after so much death. But her faith wasn't a mere belief, hope; it was quite operational, tactical. 2/
"The devil never sleeps. But he only wins if we don't do better next time," she told me. Yes. Once we can all accept this lived reality - that the devil never sleeps -- then we can better prepare for when the next one comes, b/c it will come as will all the ones after that. 3/
THREAD ON MANDATE DEADLINES THIS WEEK: Today, September 30th, was a major vaccine mandate deadline for a lot of institutions. The numbers are good. A few quick takeaways from my work about what was good, what could get better, and what to expect. 1/
1. FDA approval of Pfizer in August changed everything. It provided cover to push for mandates as it took away any slightly rational reason to oppose vaccines. It launched the tidal wave. It came (too) late in the pandemic. 1/
2. The polling about potential for walkouts was horrible and let MAGA/FOX etc manipulate it. Generally if you ask someone would they like to do what they are doing, they will say yes. The better polling was to ask the unvaccinated what would move them. 2/
For people worried about #HurricaneIda and family and friends there, much like having early judgments about the scope of an evacuation after a war is lost, it is hard to assess a storm in real time. It just is. 1/
Systems go out, but generators go on, systems reconnect. Bridges sway. Barges come unmoored. It is bad, but extent of bad can’t be assessed yet. The only thing that matters is human life. Many couldn’t evacuate. 2/
There were 50 levee failures in Katrina, some of them took a lot of time to identify. Do they hold this time? How many? And if they don’t, once winds pass, can more people be evacuated (Katrina deaths were mostly drownings after storm passed). 3/
Biden sticks to 8/31 but with caveat. Today Burns meets Taliban. Evacuations scale. Taliban says 8/31 again to assert control b/c to concede it would be bad for them. Doesn’t mention Burns. Biden repeats deadline, but states huge caveat, the best for both sides. 1/
Put the other way, if Biden announced extension, the likely result is more danger for troops who will be seen as under no requirement to leave by elements of uncontrolled Taliban and ISIS. The mission, not the date, matters. And which decision protects mission today? 2/
ironically by not extending, we’ve actually bought more time because we haven’t changed a thing. Another day. More planes. Keep moving. It is not our country. The victor has a say. Extend the reckoning. Yes, everything bad. This could be the less bad option? 3/
As the 9/11 anniversary approaches and we focus on terrorism from Afghanistan, it is an easy talking point (and clickbait) to simply say we are back to where we started or at risk the same as 9/11. Our exit does change our capacity against terror. That is obvious. But 1/
it is not simply a dynamic that the risk has increased so therefore we are doomed. So passive. 6 variables to consider, all dynamic. Certitude is unhelpful: a)Taliban capacity and motivation to keep Al Qaeda in check; b)Al Qaeda's real capacity to train and launch attacks; 2/
c)Taliban competition with ISISK; d)Pakistan, Russia and China influence on Taliban to control terror; e)international focus and non military ("over the horizon") tactics for counterterror efforts since 2001; f)homeland defense capacity since 2001. 3/
What does Afghanistan's fall mean for US counterterrorism efforts, original purpose of our involvement? Lots of takes, filled with certainty, but the answer is not clear yet. As someone whose lane is homeland security, these are questions that might be helpful. Questions only. 1/
#1: Does this increase, decrease, or neither our efforts against transnational terror threats? Bin Laden gone, we destroyed AQD, and related groups have not been able to set up shop in another failed state. This will go to whether the Taliban is the same as it was in 2001. 2/
#2: What (covert) capabilities do we still have to prevent, mitigate, disrupt terrorism from Afghanistan? There are sources of terror around the world where US doesn’t have combat troops on the ground. We need to retain over the horizon counter-terrorism abilities. How? 3/