That feeling when you email the authors of a paper to get their code and, unlike what so often happens, they just email it to you right away instead of feeding you some bullshit excuse about why they can't 😊
Once I emailed a French economist to get his code and he openly told me that he didn't want to because it was his work and it had taken him a long time to write it 😮
To be honest, he was right not to send it to me, because his model was pure garbage and I intended to trash it by showing that a simple change would totally alter the results.
I guess eventually I will still do it, except that since I'm going to have to replicate his results from scratch, it will piss me off and I will be even nastier, which in my defense would have been fully warranted even if he'd sent me his code.
For the record, and in case the guy who just sent me his code reads this and starts worrying, this is *not* the case of his paper, which is actually good and that I just want to extend 😄

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More from @phl43

16 Oct
As promised a few weeks ago, @VC31415 and his colleagues wrote a reply to my critique of their paper. Gelman has a post on his blog with a summary of their main points. I'll probably write a reply later, but I still want to make a few points quickly 🧵 statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/10/16/cau…
If you want to read the full response, it’s available on arXiv. I have only skimmed it so far, and I don’t have time for a detailed reply at the moment, but it seems to me that I already addressed most of their points in my original post. arxiv.org/abs/2110.06136
For instance, they claim that both mask policies should have been included in the model and that when they are, the effect is significantly negative for both policies in the original data. The implication seems to be that I didn’t try a model with both policies.
Read 24 tweets
11 Oct
Outre le fait que nos dirigeants se sont assis sur les résultats du dernier référendum, cet argument est stupide parce que le débat porte justement sur l'interprétation des règles, qui comme beaucoup de débats en apparence juridique est surtout une question de rapport de forces.
Ce qui se passe depuis que la cour constitutionnelle polonaise a rendu sa décision, c'est que le camp fédéraliste prétend que son interprétation des règles est un fait objectif indiscutable, ce qui en définitive n'est qu'un exemple de la façon dont ce rapport de force s'établit.
L'UE repose depuis le début sur une ambiguïté au sujet de l'articulation des normes européennes et nationales. Il n'y a pas de fait objectif sous-jacent, l'équilibre à un moment donné dépend du rapport de forces à ce moment-là, donc il peut dans une certaine mesure changer.
Read 6 tweets
6 Oct
J'ai entendu plusieurs gens défendre cette thèse et, quand j'entends ça, je me dis que ce n'est pas étonnant que la gauche soit en lambeaux si les gens de gauche sont à ce point déconnectés de la réalité.
Ce n'est évidemment pas ce que je dis. Il est évident que Zemmour monte parce qu'il est constamment invité par les medias, mais ça ne veut pas dire que ça marcherait aussi avec Poutou, ce qui est bien sûr absurde.
Si Zemmour monte dans les sondages à une vitesse ahurissante, c'est pour la même raison qu'il avait du succès comme polémiste : parce qu'il tient un discours qui répond aux attentes d'une grande partie de la population mais est sous-représenté dans les médias.
Read 19 tweets
4 Oct
To be fair, along with China, New Zealand may be the only #ZeroCovid country where this policy may prove to have been the right choice. (I guess it will depend on how they manage the exit.) I just don't think it could have been replicated in Europe or the US.
What's crazy is that many people pushed for this #ZeroCovid nonsense in places where it probably could never have worked and at a time when, even if it could have worked earlier, that boat had already sailed a long time ago.
Read 5 tweets
1 Oct
My new crazy idea that will definitely not go wrong and destroy most of life on earth is that we should genetically engineer plankton to make them resistant to infection by viruses that break them down and results in the release of CO2 in the atmosphere. researchgate.net/publication/76…
Note that if we did that and it worked, not only could we continue to use fossil fuel that release CO2, but we'd *have* to continue to release CO2 in the atmosphere even if we no longer need to for energy since otherwise it would eventually deplete CO2 from the atmosphere.
So we'd basically go from worrying about how we are burning too much fossil fuel to worrying about we might cause a new ice age if we don't burn enough of it. We'd come up with schemes to subsidize carbon instead of taxing it. Imagine how it would fuck with people's brains 😂
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
Mdr, Mélenchon qui passe de la créolisation à Christine de Pisan, qu'est-ce que c'est que ce débat ?
Ça me fait rire de les entendre se vouvoyer alors que tout le monde sait très bien qu'ils sont copains comme cochons.
Il fout décidément cette histoire de créolisation à toutes les sauces. Il doit vraiment avoir envie de faire 6%.
Read 10 tweets

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