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Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
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16 Oct, 4 tweets, 1 min read
What is happening with the vaccine mandate in Chicago is important to follow tonight. Union bravado. A mayor who is not caving, but flexible. A Governor who will help by deploying the Guard to replace police. Dual lawsuits and injunctions. 1/
chicagotribune.com/news/breaking/…
It's all horrible in sense of a society that comes to this, with unions and publicly paid officials so undermining the public good. (Through Covid, I have become more hostile and less supportive of unions (teacher/police) and I consider myself firmly left of center. Good job.) 2/
But this is bigger than Chicago. Lightfoot will sway a little (give some time, start enforcing unpaid leave in waves so that subsequent rounds will get shot), but not likely to fold. It is not clear the numbers of unvaccinated cops; unions lie, remember. 3/
This is also about authority by elected officials in a democracy. The public pays for police. The Chicago police department needs to be checked in a million ways, but to lose this battle and allow this kind of obstruction is a loss for public health and, I fear, public safety.4/4

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More from @juliettekayyem

Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
5 Oct
This is a key point because it helps define what Haugen's testimony has done today. She is launching what might be called the third phase of Facebook vs. democracy. Just some thoughts. . 1/
The first phase, pre-2016, was defined by Zuckerberg's defense of a platform filled with hate. He would always claim "FB (or "I", as he liked to say) shouldn't be in the business of deciding what is true or not." This seemed conceptually pleasing 2/
and had the benefit of making Zuck seem the reluctant power player. He didn't want that kind of power! We didn't want him to have that power! After 2016 -- election, hate, radicalization, foreign influence, security -- that was a hard defense to sustain. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
4 Oct
I wrote another book. I've been thinking of these ideas for years. This is a '21 plug for '22 publication @publicaffairs. It is called "The Devil Never Sleeps" and it rethinks disaster management for an era when disasters are no longer random or rare. 1/
publicaffairsbooks.com/titles/juliett…
The title comes from words I heard from a survivor of the 2011 Joplin, Missouri tornado tragedy. Her faith helped her reimagine Joplin after so much death. But her faith wasn't a mere belief, hope; it was quite operational, tactical. 2/
"The devil never sleeps. But he only wins if we don't do better next time," she told me. Yes. Once we can all accept this lived reality - that the devil never sleeps -- then we can better prepare for when the next one comes, b/c it will come as will all the ones after that. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
30 Sep
THREAD ON MANDATE DEADLINES THIS WEEK: Today, September 30th, was a major vaccine mandate deadline for a lot of institutions. The numbers are good. A few quick takeaways from my work about what was good, what could get better, and what to expect. 1/
1. FDA approval of Pfizer in August changed everything. It provided cover to push for mandates as it took away any slightly rational reason to oppose vaccines. It launched the tidal wave. It came (too) late in the pandemic. 1/

2. The polling about potential for walkouts was horrible and let MAGA/FOX etc manipulate it. Generally if you ask someone would they like to do what they are doing, they will say yes. The better polling was to ask the unvaccinated what would move them. 2/
Read 14 tweets
Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
30 Aug
For people worried about #HurricaneIda and family and friends there, much like having early judgments about the scope of an evacuation after a war is lost, it is hard to assess a storm in real time. It just is. 1/
Systems go out, but generators go on, systems reconnect. Bridges sway. Barges come unmoored. It is bad, but extent of bad can’t be assessed yet. The only thing that matters is human life. Many couldn’t evacuate. 2/
There were 50 levee failures in Katrina, some of them took a lot of time to identify. Do they hold this time? How many? And if they don’t, once winds pass, can more people be evacuated (Katrina deaths were mostly drownings after storm passed). 3/
Read 7 tweets
Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
24 Aug
Biden sticks to 8/31 but with caveat. Today Burns meets Taliban. Evacuations scale. Taliban says 8/31 again to assert control b/c to concede it would be bad for them. Doesn’t mention Burns. Biden repeats deadline, but states huge caveat, the best for both sides. 1/
Put the other way, if Biden announced extension, the likely result is more danger for troops who will be seen as under no requirement to leave by elements of uncontrolled Taliban and ISIS. The mission, not the date, matters. And which decision protects mission today? 2/
ironically by not extending, we’ve actually bought more time because we haven’t changed a thing. Another day. More planes. Keep moving. It is not our country. The victor has a say. Extend the reckoning. Yes, everything bad. This could be the less bad option? 3/
Read 5 tweets
Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
18 Aug
As the 9/11 anniversary approaches and we focus on terrorism from Afghanistan, it is an easy talking point (and clickbait) to simply say we are back to where we started or at risk the same as 9/11. Our exit does change our capacity against terror. That is obvious. But 1/
it is not simply a dynamic that the risk has increased so therefore we are doomed. So passive. 6 variables to consider, all dynamic. Certitude is unhelpful: a)Taliban capacity and motivation to keep Al Qaeda in check; b)Al Qaeda's real capacity to train and launch attacks; 2/
c)Taliban competition with ISISK; d)Pakistan, Russia and China influence on Taliban to control terror; e)international focus and non military ("over the horizon") tactics for counterterror efforts since 2001; f)homeland defense capacity since 2001. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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