The @Dominic2306 brain dump about Starmer/Nandy contains some interesting stuff, herewith translated into Labourese ... 1/ Labour has no strategy because it has no surveillance function and a flawed decision making process. He's right. That's been said to every LOTO since Ed M...
2/ Labour fails because it cannot act/decide at speed; it understands the importance of mass but not energy - there is no instinct to get opponents offbalance...as per Boyd/OODA loops etc etc...
3/ In Dom's brain, where 500k Labour members are just cannon fodder, the leadership would focus relentlessly on crime, anti-trans stuff and go relentlessly for swing voters. That's exactly what Labour's own focus groups also say...
4/ But the reason this cannot happen has nothing to do with Starmer being "dud" etc... it is because the party is an active coalition of social forces that do obsess with various aspects of the social liberal agenda....
5/ He is also right that a female leader from a working class area would probably wipe the floor with Johnson (in a way Starmer is failing to), forcing the Tories themselves to swap leaders...
6/ He is also probably right that if the Tories move first, ditching Johnson while Labour keeps Starmer, the chances of a big Tory victory next time rise >80%... BUT...
7/ ... he completely underestimates to potential power of Labour as a social coalition; the inescapability of its slow, lumbering, bureaucratic modus operandi is inseparable from its power to enact change....
8/ ... because ultimately, for Cummings - and here's the sad part - the reality of class struggle does not exist. It's dynamics remain mysterious, as they can't be MRP polled...
9/ ... and so the huge and dramatic shifts that are possible once people get on the streets, irrespective of what the bureaucracy does, are not in his playbook...
10/ Cummings, for example, thinks it's really cool that Johnson won by proroguing parliament and lying to the Queen; he looks through the mass, active resistance movement we built simply because it lost....
11/ ... and thus sees BLM, MeToo, Gaza etc as "threats" to Labour's narrative rather than opportunities -
12/ ... that said, he is boringly correct on the dysfunctions of Starmer's leadership: AWOL at crucial moments, no verve, no laser-focused comms, no intuition for the main story, no economic story...
13/ The main takeaway is that the Tories are beatable if Johnson stays - but "bash criminals, kill terrorists and diss trans people" is just not gonna happen, even with any of the centrist figures who could plausibly replace KS... because this is Labour.

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More from @paulmasonnews

21 Oct
The Govt Net Zero Strategy is a pile of 💩 1/ Because there is no project plan to achieve ZNC - only "scenarios" and "ambitions" - so it's not a strategy ... and here's why ... newstatesman.com/comment/2021/1…
2/ HMT treats carbon as if it was merely "pollution" inside a stable system, which a market can price... but it is the destabilisation of a complex ecosystem *by the market itself* (aka capitalism) newstatesman.com/comment/2021/1…
3/ Treasury understands ZNC cannot be achieved through a market system without high inequality, energy insecurity and fiscal instability... so it's at war with the commitment... newstatesman.com/comment/2021/1…
Read 7 tweets
19 Oct
UK government's "net zero" plan is a pathetic, criminal evasion of responsibility. By rejecting borrowing and placing the whole burden of investment on private sector, @RishiSunak guarantees failure...
... there is no radical modal change in energy consumption. The investment figure is way less than promised by @RachelReevesMP - this is the planet being destroyed by public school-to-Oxbridge-to-HMT assholes right before your eyes...
... Sunak's plan issued in the knowledge that the Tory voting base don't give a **** about future generations, the planet, global south weather catastrophes... but a progressive majority in the UK does...
Read 4 tweets
3 Oct
Johnson's pitch to workers is crystal clear: your wages will rise because we've kept the migrants out. But there'll be no care workers, no petrol, not enough gas, so prices will rise faster than wages, but nothing I can do about that, it's the market, see...
... there is no chance whatsoever of "uncontrolled migration" - not even under Free Movement was the rest of migration "uncontrolled". It's fear-stoking culture war and as the polls show it is working...
... but Tory support is fragile. There's rising discontent among C2DE voters over transport, energy, government performance and even Brexit... but it doesn't translate into Labour support. Why?...
Read 9 tweets
28 Sep
#Lab21 balance sheet. 1/ 80% of the members voted for PR after a long left+right campaign, substantially led by @labourlewis. A few union delegates had power to squash it - but when the time comes to form a Labour-led coalition, if consulted, the members will back it...
2/ So this is a major change in British politics, and driven from below. Defying the bureaucracy the members signalled to other parties they understand: we cannot govern alone, and need urgent constitutional change...
3/ @RachelReevesMP commitment to a £224bn climate investment spend also strategic win - a direct response to the consistent Green polling around 6%. This too is the building block for a governing coalition with Greens/PC/SNP...
Read 15 tweets
26 Sep
Starmer's rule changes, already watered down, pass by just 53/47... can't see the breakdown but I assume that means constituency vote was even closer or went the other way... huge bonfire of political capital that will only benefit a right-wing challenger ...
2/ ... and given the branch shutdowns, union backroom deals needed to achieve even this, I can see this being reversed fairly easily if the left advances in Unison...
3/ Added to this the Green New Deal motion ruled out of order a week ago just passed. The left needs to create a single Labour entity that new people can join up to and participate in...
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep
Starmer #Marr interview leaves a random selection of Labour faces here in Brighton pretty dour... energy nationalisation is the only possible solution: you can't run the National Grid as a co-op... 1/
2/ Rayner's "scum" comment reflects exactly how working class people talk - and how many voters want to see the super-rich crooks characterised ... yet Keir couldn't bring himself to endorse it...
3/ There's already quite a bit of disquiet over the rule change SNAFU - even among the Labour right... who are rightly obsessed with speaking outside the bubble ...
Read 6 tweets

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