This is the sound of a thousand home grown kubernetes or other private clouds for reasons of "security" and protecting critical data such as the executive scores on the last golf round or the new recipe for "Mr Tasty's Cheese and Onion Crisps" going pop ->
X : Alternative headline: "GCHQ bow to the inevitable."
Me : Yes, it was inevitable and it's all three agencies -
X : Will there be a reaction?
Me : Do you mean from legacy vendors? Inevitable. Expect lots of lobbying of politicians etc to try and change this. It's going to be hard to continue to spread the FUD of cloud and sell yesterday's tech to corporate laggards if this stands.
X : What are the main obstacles?
Me : To adopting cloud? Well there's the change of practices, re-architecting but that's just mechanics. The real obstacle is inertia caused by past capital expenditure and political captial.
X : Political capital?
Me : Loss of empire etc.
X : They still have years if not decades of inertia to feed of.
Me : Yep. If the average "would be CIO" is late 40s then for some organisations you've probably got a good two decades of inertia to feed off before they retire. Here's a handy table for you, a bit old but ok.
X : 2031 to 2046? For cloud?
Me : Yep. We still have punchcard systems in the wild. Expect some of the laggards to hold out to moving to the cloud for quite some time. Decades beyond the time which cloud is considered the new norm.
X : When is that happening?
Me : Already has.
X : What about the staff?
Me : Lol. In 15 years of being involved in cloud, I can't think of a case where those moving to cloud haven't ended up doing more stuff or needing new skills. You reassign and retrain. The old "you will lose your job" is vendorspeak for "buy our tin".
Me : But yes, you need to give your staff a path to the future. It's 101 stuff but surprising how many people forget this, so it's worth raising. The tricky space is normally the management.
X : Management?
Me : Yep. Loss of political capital i.e. empire, past promises made.
X : Vendorspeak?
Me : Gosh, this graphic is so old I had to go and dig it up. Bit of a fossil like some of the companies still playing these games.
X : Have you seen this? theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/o…
Me : Did I not mention -"Expect lots of lobbying of politicians etc to try and change this" - earlier in the thread?
Me : There will be hordes of lobbyists out there trying to change the decision, not for reasons of interest of citizens / tax payers (though it will be dressed up as this) but purely for reasons of commercial self interest and greed. Did I not mention ...
Me ... the "sound of a thousand home grown kubernetes" going "pop"?
X : Yes
Me : Well, it's more of a fading "brnmm, brmmm, tick, tock, clink, fizz" as those vendor expectations of Aston Martins, Rolexes and Champagne disappear into the night. They won't like it.
Me : So yes, expect oodles and oodles of lobbyng. However, ignoring that ... well done MI5/MI6/GCHQ on making the right moves. You're doing Britain proud. Hopefully the rest of Government will follow suit quick enough.

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More from @swardley

25 Oct
Hmmm ... saved up, bought a piano for my partner's birthday ... doesn't sound quite right. Need to return it. Oh god, I didn't buy from Amazon. Already anticipating lots of weasel words, deceptive behaviour and attempts by slippery retailers to avoid refunding ...
... when am I going to learn, never buy from anyone other than Amazon. It just works with Amazon, no fuss, they always come out fighting on your side etc. Every other retailer I've ever dealt with always seems to be trying to shiv you ... so here goes ...
... 5 minutes into the call, I'm already having to argue the case, now pointing to their own T&C's on the website, now they want to call me back ... tomorrow. Prepare for another round. FFS why oh why did I not buy from Amazon? It's always the same crap when I don't.
Read 9 tweets
23 Oct
X : When are you going to write some papers on strategy?
Me : No rush. People are still learning to map and most have never seen a map. More than enough value in communication, challenge, basic anticipation and applying doctrine (principles) for most for a decade or two.
X : But we need a strategy.
Me : Ok. The strategy is to stop punching yourself in the face as a company. For that most will need communication, challenge, situational awareness, applying doctrine etc ... for a decade or two.
X : I need more.
Me : I'm in no rush. Never have been.
X : I don't get you.
Me : Hmmm. Did you ever see my map of mapping?
X : Yes
Me : You understand where I am in conflict, where I am co-operating / collaborating with others and building an "army" of mappers?
X : Sort of, but ...
Read 10 tweets
22 Oct
X : Why such a fan of Lambda?
Me : You have serverless i.e. the runtime as a utility (focus on code, price per function etc) plus its event driven plus a mass of services to consume and events to create in your serverless architecture. Why wouldn't I be a fan?
X : Kubernetes?
Me : I could argue about how Kubernetes misses the point, wins a battle that is irrelevant and loses the war but ..
X : Yes?
Me : ... can't we just wait? The war on serverless is over next year, spoiler AWS won and it's only a few more years until it's recognised as the new norm.
X : The war hasn't started in serverless,
Me : It started in 2014. It takes 5-8 years for the winners / losers to be decided (2019-2022) and 10-15 years (2024-2029) to become the "new norm".
X : How do you know this?
Me : You don't. But it's the same timings I used for cloud.
Read 7 tweets
22 Oct
Taking the wee lad to the dentist, thought I'd check in myself. Apparently I'm no longer registered with the NHS because I haven't been for six years ... whoops ... oh well. I'm told I can go private ... maybe ... or maybe I'll just wait until I need to use a pair of pliers.
Quick search using the excellent NHS Dentist Finder- nhs.uk/service-search… ... and not an NHS dentist within 20 miles taking patients and that's where the list ran out.

Hmmm, private or pliers? private or pliers? Good thing there's nothing wrong at the mo. Modern Britain eh.
Talking to the dentist ... do you have a waiting list for the NHS? Aparrently they do, a total of 572 people are on the list. Asked how many make it off the list and become NHS patients per year ... apparently none in the last five years.

Wow.
Read 12 tweets
20 Oct
X : Thoughts on cloud repatriation?
Me : Zynga? Good luck.
X : No, Dropbox.
Me : Ok, in extremely rare, specialised and massive scale cases there could be an argument for it. However, the jury is still out on this. Are you the scale of dropbox with their specialist needs?
X : No.
Me : Fine. Well, in which case the same economics won't be at play. The positive argument won't exist.
X : No argument for in-house then?
Me : No. Inertia due to pre-existing capital or unwillingness of executive to change the system (i.e. too close to retirement) etc.
X : Not very positive.
Me : No, those reasons aren't but they exist and so you have to be mindful of it. In some cases you have to compromise to an enormous extent just to get some change happening. This is ok, as long as you are honest about it and don't hoodwink yourself.
Read 4 tweets
20 Oct
X : Can you have feedback loops on maps?
Me : Sure. Why not?
X : Example?
Me : Ok, a completely made up example just for you - onlinewardleymaps.com/#RKlCASwJsBMdP…
X : Climate change is a model, solar power is a thing ... how do you mix the two.
Me : Remember this table. The x-axis are labels for stage I to IV ...
Me : So, for example ... I can pick a different axis. In this case, the axis of knowledge - onlinewardleymaps.com/#RKlCASwJsBMdP… ... it's the same thing. All stage I to IV, just different labels.
Read 16 tweets

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