The cause of the rain is an atmospheric river coming from the mid Atlantic, followed by some storms. This 10 day precipitable water/energy animation shows airborne water flows.
This animation shows the atmospheric river in context over 94 hours through to Saturday, the eve of #Cop26. The rain moves south from Thursday onwards. Following that you can see it has the Ibrerian Peninsula in it's sights.
Here we see a full long range forecast through to Friday in the final week of #COP26. This forecast simulation also shows significant rain across Western Europe, Sudan Ethiopia and possibly in the Eastern Sahara.
And another wet storm in the North West Atlantic at the close.
Here we see the same simulated data run plotted as accumulated rain through Friday 11th November, with accumulated rain in Scotland over that period reaching 5-6 inches.
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A @nytimes Columnist is concerned that America’s FP is being mismanaged - a general conclusion with which I concur. But his analysis is excessively simplistic and leaves out both Ethiopia and Climate Change, and therefore also shallow.
@nytimes Biden is about to arrive in Scotland - and in his delegation are (as I understand it) Al Gore, Barack Obama, John Kerry and most probably Hillary Clinton - credited by some with saving Paris in 2009 also as she is already in the UK it seems.
Arrived this evening on the last train in to Glasgow from London tonight for #cop26. Will be here for the next three weeks covering the shebang for Scoop.co.nz.
My @AvantiWestCoast train departed Euston Station in London at 5pm….
All up the terrestrial trip from Bretagne took 2 days, beginning in St Malo, crossing the channel with Brittany Ferries featuring a stopover in Portsmouth.