We have a red alert suburban coalition crisis on our hards. As @danpfeiffer notes, without Trump on the ballot, Republicans are winning back Romney-Clinton voters faster than Democrats are winning back Obama-Trump voters or finding new voters. messagebox.substack.com/p/early-though…
We don't have a complacency problem. Turnout was high last night on both sides. Youngkin won because he convinced enough Biden and Northam voters to switch sides. Job 1 for Democrats must be getting these voters back without depressing the base.
https://twitter.com/HawaiiDelilah/status/1456030854300545029?s=20
As @danpfeiffer warns, there is no math that gives Democrats the House, Senate, or WH without winning these voters back AND holding our base intact. Furthermore, "this goal doesn’t rely on turnout or persuasion. It relies on both."
https://twitter.com/HawaiiDelilah/status/1456031754620444676?s=20
As we head into the midterms: "Trump is absent from the conversation for all but the most engaged voters...Dems need a message that warns about the looming danger of Trumpism without looking like we are obsessed with re-litigating the past"- @danpfeiffer
messagebox.substack.com/p/early-though…
messagebox.substack.com/p/early-though…
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