#Nellore to #Karaikkal coast to be on high alert as the system is consolidating and the cloud bands are getting organized- slowly and steadily.
This would mean that rains will be more as the system nears the coast
Many asked me that there is not as much rainfall as anticipated. This would be primarily because the system is getting organized slowly and building a strong convective outer band. You can clearly see in the below image
The more it is getting delayed- the dangerous it gets.
Also- unlike earlier systems- this system might cross land over the coast of #Chennai - Ennore to Mahabalipuram is where models have suggested.
This is not a cyclone. So the damage would be more from rains - not winds
Please stay home and stay safe.
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I am still seeing messages where people are asking whether it would rain as it is being "hyped". Please note that if it doesn't happen we would be the happiest.
But unfortunately - the blogging community on the whole is of the same opinion that there would be heavy rains
Now that the #rain has stopped for a while in #Chennai, it is time that we get to know what we can expect this week.
1. A Low-pressure area will likely form in the next 2 days in the Southeast #BayofBengal region.
2. Owing to favourable conditions this will further intensify.
3. Preliminary analysis suggests that this system will likely intensify as deep depression and would move towards Coastal #TamilNadu
4. Possibility of this system intensifying into a cyclone exists. Which means a named #cyclone is a possibility
5. Assuming that it becomes a named cyclone, this would be named "#Jawad" named by #SaudiArabia
6. The track that it is likely to take is that it will climb up Northwest - intensify near the coast and move lateral west in between #Chennai and #Pondicherry