A while back, I received a note from a Manager in the executive office of @BillGates, asking if they could send me a copy of his new book “How To Avoid A Climate Disaster: The Solutions We Have and the Breakthroughs We Need.” I was happy to say yes.
She wrote: “Our aim is to get the book into the hands of as many people working to prevent a #climatecrisis as possible. It’s an issue that affects us all; the more conversations we can help start about the way we work together to get to zero, the better.”
I couldn’t agree more.
I generally respect Bill Gates’ intentions in putting his energies into trying to make things better in the world. Putting aside the usual (& completely correct) comments about how billionaires should be taxed more, it’s a lot more than most billionaires are doing.
However…
As you might expect, I jumped immediately to the chapter in the book called “How We Get Around.” As a city planning generalist, I’m not ONLY interested in transportation, but it’s usually a pretty good indication of whether the thing I’m reading is on the right track.
So…
What I saw was that the chapter, like #COP26, was almost all about alternative (“better”) energy sources for cars.
Nothing about the fact that EVs, even if they could arrive fast enough, won’t get us far enough. Or how #JevonsParadox can mean more EV driving & bigger vehicles.
I found ONE short paragraph in the chapter that gets into the huge need for ALTERNATIVES to car manufacturing, ownership & use. Here it is below.
It was a start, even though it strangely omitted public transit in the list of alternative modes.
But then the rest was about cars.
Should I have expected it? Well, I let myself think “his office is sending it to me, so maybe I’ll be pleasantly surprised.”
Maybe it will share the truth, that “better car” strategies at most must come 2nd to “fewer car, less driving” strategies to get us where we need to be.
But then I read something worse later in the chapter. I read this short paragraph below:
So definitively stated. A “single sentence solution” to such a complex subject, how to solve the transportation part of the #ClimateCrisis
I’m still optimistic that @BillGates, everyone at #COP26, & all leaders everywhere will embrace the truth that all analysis shows the REAL solution has to PRIMARILY be fewer cars, less driving & much better alternatives; & yes, also lower emission vehicles. Both, but not equally.
And those claiming “sure we need more alternatives to the car, but that would take too long, so we should focus on EVs since they can be realized faster”— I’m working with cities on the big challenges of EV infrastructure growth, & without a doubt alternatives can be MUCH faster.
“It’s crazy cycling isn’t on the main agenda here at #COP26.”
“Instead, today’s main agenda on COP26 Transport Day focussed primarily on electric vehicles. Cycling, walking, trains, & buses were all excluded from the high-level discussions.” @carltonreid forbes.com/sites/carltonr…
“#COP26 has ignored bicycles as one of the cheapest & most efficient tools to reduce carbon emissions & fight #ClimateChange by focusing almost entirely on promoting a global shift to electric cars.” Canada should make them a priority in its climate plan. cbc.ca/news/science/c…
“The promise of electric & driverless cars is that vehicles can be better for the planet & safer for us.” But “devoting our attention to tech marvels may give us a pass from confronting a deeper question: How can we make our lives less dependent on cars?” smh.com.au/business/marke…
“It lets Toronto Mayor John Tory pour a billion dollars of concrete into the Gardiner Expressway or Ontario Premier Doug Ford push a highway through the greenbelt because “don’t worry, we will have electric cars.” — @lloydalter in @corporateknight corporateknights.com/perspectives/b…
One more key quote below from Bill Gates’ book, that climate scientist @MichaelEMann called “dangerously misguided.” We DO have the “tech” to address the #ClimateEmergency TODAY, including bikes, transit & better communities.
What we need is political will & fewer distractions.
Those arguing against what I’m saying often cite that THEIR city is designed to be car-dependent & that transit, walking & biking are inconvenient. That’s the point. The solution is to change that. In my experience its not nearly as hard as u think IF YOUR CITY ACTUALLY WANTS TO.
I’ve seen & worked with cities making decisive changes that shatter the barriers to better cities almost overnight (by planning standards). I’ve also had mayors tell me they needn’t make ANY changes because “cars will all be electric in 10 years” (they wont & it won’t be enough).
A big problem is that anything other than car-only solutions is framed as “who wants to be that person in power who has to tell people to get out of their cars?” (reply I got today)
False narrative. Prioritizing alternatives for those who WANT them makes driving easier for all.
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One of the biggest municipal public policy mistakes I see happening in many cities is a political tendency to focus almost entirely on the construction of below-market housing when trying to tackle “affordability.” Affordability is complex, & solutions need to be equally complex.
For example, if local politicians send the message that they don’t want to see new ownership housing, or even market rental housing, because “what we REALLY need are below-market homes,” the resulting supply slowdown means ownership & rental housing will get even MORE expensive.
“In America, housing is a commodity to be bought and sold like a car. The result is that those with means have a place to live, and those without means do not. We must change this paradigm.” — former San Francisco chief planner John Rahaim. @HarvardGSD gsd.harvard.edu/2021/06/john-r…
One of the KEY conversations in city-building we too often avoid because we’re accused of “pointing fingers:”
Who REALLY creates single-use, car-dependent suburban sprawl? Is it developers (& their consultants) who build it, or the local governments who allow & even mandate it?
And let’s get this out of the way RIGHT away — It’s NOT “the market” that creates suburban sprawl. It won’t be built if no one builds it, and it won’t be built if no government allows it (and SUBSIDIZES it). And surveys have always shown the “market” wants other, better choices.
So is it developers or local governments that create suburban sprawl?
It’s easy to say “both,” & I’ve seen plenty of examples where this is true. Developers propose it & aggressively lobby for it, & then municipalities lock it into the rules so it’s the only thing that’s legal.
Last night I reached 100k Tweeps, a number I wouldn’t have thought possible when I decided to try this platform. I’ll say it again — it speaks to how inherently interesting and important cities are! Thank you to all of you for every read, retweet and constructive interaction.
I was thinking that the best thing I could do to respect this milestone is to again try to support the voice of others who are working hard to make cities better every day. I hope you’ll follow & engage (constructively) with these passionate people! #UrbanistShoutOut
NEW: Interested in a BETTER conversation on parking, & a VERY different approach to municipal parking strategy, for much better city-building outcomes? Our game-changing new @cityofkingston Parking doc is a must-read. See our preamble: #ThePowerOfParkingcityofkingston.ca/documents/1018…
MEDIA RELEASE: “There are few things we could do as a city that would have a bigger effect on whether we achieve Council’s strategic priorities than reconsidering how we do parking.” Kingston #YGK launches #ThePowerOfParking bold city-wide conversation: cityofkingston.ca/-/-the-power-o…
“When it comes to the many benefits of rethinking parking, it’s clear that the biggest public interests come from less parking, lower personal vehicle ownership & fewer/shorter driving trips.”
If you’re still wondering what a “15-Minute City” really means, at least as proposed by Paris Mayor @Anne_Hidalgo, it’s really simple.
Everything you need is available within a 15 minute walk, wheel chair or bike-ride from home.
Everything.
NOT by car trip.
Not even transit.
By Comparison, a “City of 20-Minute Neighbourhoods” (a core of Melbourne’s city plan) sets a different definition of success — MOST (not all) things needed for a good life within a 20-minute walk, bike OR TRANSIT RIDE. 3 important differences that affect/reflect a different city.
Altho details vary, this idea of communities where “everything we need is close by” is far from a new concept. Just look up...
- complete communities
- city of short distances
- “the power of nearness” (I used this one while at Vancouver City Hall)
- MANY more
Trucks have been getting bigger, more energy & space consuming, more polluting, and much deadlier to everyone around them, including kids. Not because most of us actually need bigger vehicles, but as ego boosts, status symbols & “indicators of male virility.” HT @PickledEntropy
Over the last decade, global SUV ownership has doubled. If it keeps growing at its current rate, increased SUV ownership will offset the entire emissions reduction from electric vehicles. Plus they’re much more likely than smaller cars to kill pedestrians. fastcompany.com/90420280/shoul…
Have trucks gotten more fuel efficient? Of course, thanks largely to government regulations. However they have also gotten larger on average, & as #JevonsParadox explains, improved fuel efficiency has helped us justify larger vehicles & more driving, causing emissions to go up.