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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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30 Nov, 4 tweets, 2 min read
📊QUESTION—If certain scientists out there have data on the vaccine efficacy of #Omicron—it’s preliminary but solid enough that some world leaders have just been briefed about it… ➡️ should the scientists share it immediately with the public? #B11529

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Leaving this here…

“Existing #COVID19 jabs will struggle against the #Omicron variant & it will take months to develop a new shot that works, the head of US vaccine manufacturer Moderna, Stephane Bancel, has told FT. Solid data coming in 2 weeks.
france24.com/en/live-news/2…
3) also leaving this here.
4) But boosters maybe helpful. Especially against severe.

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Dec
FASTEST SURGE TO DATE—The #OmicronVarient is up swinging much faster in both new daily cases and positivity, than all previous waves in South Africa 🇿🇦, according to @nicd_sa data illustrated by @jburnmurdoch. This supports the faster transmission theory of #Omicron. 🧵 Image
2) and the upswing in South Africa is not just localized to one area. It’s seen across most provinces together. That a bad sign too.
3) a small early upswing of probable #Omicron is likely happening in England too.
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Dec
A rise in possible #Omicron in England—tripling (0.1 to 0.3) of S-Gene dropout PCR signal, which is a proxy for Omicron (before 🧬 sequencing confirms). @_nickdavies estimates this represents around ~60 cases in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. Still early—but it displacing #DeltaVariant is not good sign. 🧵 Image
2) I again stress it’s early, but it’s a signal to watch. @_nickdavies notes these PCR signals all in the last 5 days.
3) to be clear, the “60” number is a excess number of SGTF beyond random lab error background levels.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
1 Dec
BREAKING—the @CDCgov has identified first case of the #Omicron variant in the US in California, via CNN source. #COVID19
2) we need initiate INTERNATIONAL arrivals testing + followup testing ASAP.
3) THIS. IS. DE. JA. VU. … feels like the the US is back in February 2020 all over again. Image
Read 9 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
1 Dec
So we now learn that this wise guy who mocked Joe Biden at the 2020 presidential debate for wearing a mask… first tested positive for #COVID19... 3 days before the debate. Can’t make this up.
2) Seriously. How will history ever remember Trump for anything other than a madman?
3) just leaving this here for history.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
1 Dec
EXPLOSIVE—We now learn Trump had tested positive for #COVID19 **3 days** before his first debate against Joe Biden, says former chief of staff Mark Meadows—positive test on Sept 26th, same day as this WH’s infamous superspreading SCOTUS nominating event:👇
theguardian.com/us-news/2021/d…
2) The list of infected that day at the WH were long…. But now Trump maybe could have been possibly the INDEX case?
3) Meadows says the positive test had been done with an old model kit. He told Trump the test would be repeated with “the Binax system, and that we were hoping the first test was a false positive”.
Read 16 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
1 Dec
Preliminary report of #Omicron says Omicron is 1.3x more transmissible than Delta, & unvaccinated have 2.4x greater risk of severe. Those with BOOSTERS: 90% lower risk of severe outcome. But it’s only early ➡️main worry is if 2 doses enough—data is coming.
jpost.com/health-and-wel…
2) there are potentially data on Omicron and vaccines out there for 2 shots. But it hasn’t been shared yet… 👇 vote in the poll.
3) this 90% was just for 3 shots & severe. Things we still need to know:

📌Case mix of elderly / sick / immunocompromised?

📌3 dose efficacy for infection?

📌2 dose efficacy for hospitalization?

📌2 dose efficacy for infection?

📌2 dose efficacy by duration since 2nd shot?
Read 7 tweets

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