• 6,168 new cases today, 7-day avg up 424% week-on-week 📈
• Case incidence up to 25% of previous peak, doubling every 3.5 days
• Test positivity = 15.9% 🚩
• 1035 currently in hospital 🚑
We need to wait for and see a sustained decrease in cases for 7 days to confirm a peak has been reached, i.e. 7-day rolling average showing <= 0% change week-on-week 📉
But rate of increase of cases has certainly slowed passing an inflection point... 🤞
This graph shows a 7-day rolling average, so what we are seeing is not the "weekend effect" as the 7-day average takes that into account. This dip gives some hope!
However, it's too early to say if Gauteng has actually peaked - need to wait a few more days to confirm that..
Of course, we're not out of the woods either; the curve can turn upwards again at any time if there are any further spikes due to cluster outbreaks and possible superspreader events...
Also, the infection rate is still very high and risk remains high so need to remain vigilant...
The 3rd wave of hospitalisations is here! #COVID19 numbers are about to exceed previous peaks. We're entering uncharted territory. How high we go is still up to us,and our collective behaviour! #Rid1TweetsonCovid
Gauteng is currently the epicentre of South Africa's 3rd wave, and the most populous province in SA 🇿🇦
There have been over 35000 new cases reported in Gauteng over the past 7 days, i.e. an average of over 5000 per day, up 88% compared to the previous week 📈
Reported deaths are always high on Tuesdays (post-weekend), but this is significantly higher and this is highest reported in months. Trend is clearly going up again 👇