⚠️KIDS HOSPITALIZATIONS—The “highly transmissible” #Omicron variant is putting disproportionately large numbers of children under the age of 5 years old in hospitals, a top South African government medical adviser said Friday. #COVID19 🧵 thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian…
2) “for example, that in the city of Tshwane Metro, more than 100 children under the age of 5 were admitted to hospitals with COVID in the first two weeks of the new fourth wave (Nov. 14 to 27). In the first two weeks in May 2021 wave, <20 children were admitted to hospitals.”
3) She said that with adults increasingly vaccinated, children are the ones who are “getting sick and need to be admitted.”
3) She added that pediatricians at the Tshwane hospital had told them, anecdotally, that “all” of the children ages 12-18 who were admitted were not vaccinated, even though they were eligible. thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian…
4) “And the younger children, younger than 12, who were not eligible for vaccination, none of their parents, except for three, were vaccinated.”
She said this showed “the value of vaccination in the adult protecting the children in the homes.” thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian…
5) this hospital surge is also interesting because the positivity rate of cases is not even the highest for kids age <5. Highest positivity is in teens 10-19.
6) Let’s compare old May wave (blue) versus the new #Omicron wave (in orange) of hospitalizations by age group. Notice how disproportionately it’s now sending over 📍 6x more kids age 0-4 to hospital in the first two weeks of each wave. 👀
7) both cases (blue) and hospital admissions (orange) overall is soaring in Gauteng 🇿🇦
8) 6x rise at least in 2 weeks. But week 48 still being added and backfilled with more. It will likely be even worse soon. Mild my ass.
9) well, this escalated quickly — look at the new Omicron wave (black) vs past waves in Gauteng 🇿🇦. #Omicron
10) key reminder that kids are “critical hidden superspreaders” according to research …. And that was even before #Omicron. Omicron now seems 4-6x more transmissible (from combination of contagiousness and evasiveness). Kids outbreaks at schools happen often… see 👇
REINFECTION RISK—New #Omicron study finds huge surge in #COVID19 **reinfections**. Worse, relative to old waves—➡️ huge numbers of infections in new Omicron wave are reinfections. How much? 📍2.4x higher reinfection risk with Omicron. 🧵 HT @SACEMAdirector medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2) Not just merely a 2nd infection — is possible to also get a **THIRD INFECTION** with #COVID19. Let’s look at this graph - many people got a third infection recently too in the #omicron wave. 👇
3) There has been 332 people in South Africa 🇿🇦 documented with a 3rd infection (aka a two reinfections). And 35k with one reinfection.
BREAKING—New domestic-travel only #Omicron case identified in Minnesota of a travelers who visited New York City and attended an anime convention at the Javits Center Nov 19-21, and got symptoms on Nov 22nd. ➡️With such timeline, it could be now across US. content.govdelivery.com/accounts/MNMDH…
2) This one is more significant than the SF case yesterday because SF #Omicron had South Africa travel. This MN case had only domestic travel. And Nov 19-21 in NYC dates it before the variant was discovered and reported for the first time by South African authorities! 👀
FASTEST SURGE TO DATE—The #OmicronVarient is up swinging much faster in both new daily cases and positivity, than all previous waves in South Africa 🇿🇦, according to @nicd_sa data illustrated by @jburnmurdoch. This supports the faster transmission theory of #Omicron. 🧵
2) and the upswing in South Africa is not just localized to one area. It’s seen across most provinces together. That a bad sign too.
A rise in possible #Omicron in England—tripling (0.1 to 0.3) of S-Gene dropout PCR signal, which is a proxy for Omicron (before 🧬 sequencing confirms). @_nickdavies estimates this represents around ~60 cases in 🏴. Still early—but it displacing #DeltaVariant is not good sign. 🧵
2) I again stress it’s early, but it’s a signal to watch. @_nickdavies notes these PCR signals all in the last 5 days.