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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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2 Dec, 12 tweets, 5 min read
BREAKING—New domestic-travel only #Omicron case identified in Minnesota of a travelers who visited New York City and attended an anime convention at the Javits Center Nov 19-21, and got symptoms on Nov 22nd. ➡️With such timeline, it could be now across US. content.govdelivery.com/accounts/MNMDH…
2) This one is more significant than the SF case yesterday because SF #Omicron had South Africa travel. This MN case had only domestic travel. And Nov 19-21 in NYC dates it before the variant was discovered and reported for the first time by South African authorities! 👀
3) Only a matter of time for more cases.
4) Let this sink in — MN has among the best #COVID19 surveillance of variants. It sequences 20% of all cases!! Yet it still took 8 days to identify #Omicron after the Nov 24th test. Other states? I worry.
5) Meanwhile in New York….
6) #Omicron appears to surge much much faster than before.
7) Omicron has huge risks of reinfections. See new SA study below 👇
8) Don’t let this happen in the US. Learn from South Africa 🇿🇦. #OmicronVariant
9) New #Omicron case in Colorado confirmed too. Awaiting details.
10) This is what I warn everyday. Haters can call me a “scaremonger” but that won’t change this trajectory. Working together can. cnbc.com/2021/12/02/omi…
11) the MN case had a booster shot too. But glad his case like the others are mild. This is why we need boosters.
12) the NYC cluster did have 1 person with travel to South Africa 🇿🇦— but I wonder if they are screening people with SA travel to begin with.

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
3 Dec
⚠️KIDS HOSPITALIZATIONS—The “highly transmissible” #Omicron variant is putting disproportionately large numbers of children under the age of 5 years old in hospitals, a top South African government medical adviser said Friday. #COVID19 🧵
thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian… Image
2) “for example, that in the city of Tshwane Metro, more than 100 children under the age of 5 were admitted to hospitals with COVID in the first two weeks of the new fourth wave (Nov. 14 to 27). In the first two weeks in May 2021 wave, <20 children were admitted to hospitals.”
3) She said that with adults increasingly vaccinated, children are the ones who are “getting sick and need to be admitted.”

thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian…
Read 10 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Dec
BREAKING—Five cases of the #Omicron variant have been confirmed in New York, Gov. Kathy Hochul says. This follows MN cases today that traveled to NYC recently. #COVID19
newyork.cbslocal.com/2021/12/02/5-c…
2) One case in MN— it took a long time over the holidays to find it.
3) NY meanwhile…. Stats not good regardless of variant.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Dec
REINFECTION RISK—New #Omicron study finds huge surge in #COVID19 **reinfections**. Worse, relative to old waves—➡️ huge numbers of infections in new Omicron wave are reinfections. How much? 📍2.4x higher reinfection risk with Omicron. 🧵 HT @SACEMAdirector
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2) Not just merely a 2nd infection — is possible to also get a **THIRD INFECTION** with #COVID19. Let’s look at this graph - many people got a third infection recently too in the #omicron wave. 👇
3) There has been 332 people in South Africa 🇿🇦 documented with a 3rd infection (aka a two reinfections). And 35k with one reinfection.
Read 10 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Dec
FASTEST SURGE TO DATE—The #OmicronVarient is up swinging much faster in both new daily cases and positivity, than all previous waves in South Africa 🇿🇦, according to @nicd_sa data illustrated by @jburnmurdoch. This supports the faster transmission theory of #Omicron. 🧵
2) and the upswing in South Africa is not just localized to one area. It’s seen across most provinces together. That a bad sign too.
3) a small early upswing of probable #Omicron is likely happening in England too.
Read 16 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Dec
A rise in possible #Omicron in England—tripling (0.1 to 0.3) of S-Gene dropout PCR signal, which is a proxy for Omicron (before 🧬 sequencing confirms). @_nickdavies estimates this represents around ~60 cases in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. Still early—but it displacing #DeltaVariant is not good sign. 🧵
2) I again stress it’s early, but it’s a signal to watch. @_nickdavies notes these PCR signals all in the last 5 days.
3) to be clear, the “60” number is a excess number of SGTF beyond random lab error background levels.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
1 Dec
BREAKING—the @CDCgov has identified first case of the #Omicron variant in the US in California, via CNN source. #COVID19
2) we need initiate INTERNATIONAL arrivals testing + followup testing ASAP.
3) THIS. IS. DE. JA. VU. … feels like the the US is back in February 2020 all over again.
Read 9 tweets

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