REINFECTION RISK—New #Omicron study finds huge surge in #COVID19 **reinfections**. Worse, relative to old waves—➡️ huge numbers of infections in new Omicron wave are reinfections. How much? 📍2.4x higher reinfection risk with Omicron. 🧵 HT @SACEMAdirector
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2) Not just merely a 2nd infection — is possible to also get a **THIRD INFECTION** with #COVID19. Let’s look at this graph - many people got a third infection recently too in the #omicron wave. 👇
3) There has been 332 people in South Africa 🇿🇦 documented with a 3rd infection (aka a two reinfections). And 35k with one reinfection.
4) Reinfections (suspected) are also higher in YOUNG ADULTS! (South Africa).
5) as result, this also further aids the growth of #OmicronVariant in South Africa. Much faster relative growth compared with older waves.

Figure by @rid1tweets
6) thus #Omicron wave now by far the fastest variant surge to date. See thread 🧵 below
7) We could soon have “twin simultaneous outbreaks” of both #Omicron and #DeltaVariant together says @PeterHotez — read this 👇 thedailybeast.com/omicron-and-de…
8) This figure is such bad news. I can’t tell you how worried sick I am looking at this. And the hospitalization curves are getting revised upwards ⬆️ day by day as they backfill more hospitalizations from last week.

Thx for the log graph @jburnmurdoch
9) I’m not kidding about the delayed hospitalization backfill reporting… look what happens:

👀 OBJECTS IN THE REARVIEW MIRROR MAY APPEAR SMALLER THAN THEY ARE!!! 👀

⚠️Bottomline hospitalizations are surging. Almost 10x rise in 2 weeks!
10) A good #Omicron variant summary from my Twitter friend @DataDrivenMD - he’s a good follow.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Eric Feigl-Ding

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DrEricDing

3 Dec
⚠️KIDS HOSPITALIZATIONS—The “highly transmissible” #Omicron variant is putting disproportionately large numbers of children under the age of 5 years old in hospitals, a top South African government medical adviser said Friday. #COVID19 🧵
thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian… Image
2) “for example, that in the city of Tshwane Metro, more than 100 children under the age of 5 were admitted to hospitals with COVID in the first two weeks of the new fourth wave (Nov. 14 to 27). In the first two weeks in May 2021 wave, <20 children were admitted to hospitals.”
3) She said that with adults increasingly vaccinated, children are the ones who are “getting sick and need to be admitted.”

thedailybeast.com/omicron-varian…
Read 10 tweets
2 Dec
BREAKING—Five cases of the #Omicron variant have been confirmed in New York, Gov. Kathy Hochul says. This follows MN cases today that traveled to NYC recently. #COVID19
newyork.cbslocal.com/2021/12/02/5-c…
2) One case in MN— it took a long time over the holidays to find it.
3) NY meanwhile…. Stats not good regardless of variant.
Read 4 tweets
2 Dec
BREAKING—New domestic-travel only #Omicron case identified in Minnesota of a travelers who visited New York City and attended an anime convention at the Javits Center Nov 19-21, and got symptoms on Nov 22nd. ➡️With such timeline, it could be now across US. content.govdelivery.com/accounts/MNMDH…
2) This one is more significant than the SF case yesterday because SF #Omicron had South Africa travel. This MN case had only domestic travel. And Nov 19-21 in NYC dates it before the variant was discovered and reported for the first time by South African authorities! 👀
3) Only a matter of time for more cases.
Read 12 tweets
2 Dec
FASTEST SURGE TO DATE—The #OmicronVarient is up swinging much faster in both new daily cases and positivity, than all previous waves in South Africa 🇿🇦, according to @nicd_sa data illustrated by @jburnmurdoch. This supports the faster transmission theory of #Omicron. 🧵
2) and the upswing in South Africa is not just localized to one area. It’s seen across most provinces together. That a bad sign too.
3) a small early upswing of probable #Omicron is likely happening in England too.
Read 16 tweets
2 Dec
A rise in possible #Omicron in England—tripling (0.1 to 0.3) of S-Gene dropout PCR signal, which is a proxy for Omicron (before 🧬 sequencing confirms). @_nickdavies estimates this represents around ~60 cases in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. Still early—but it displacing #DeltaVariant is not good sign. 🧵
2) I again stress it’s early, but it’s a signal to watch. @_nickdavies notes these PCR signals all in the last 5 days.
3) to be clear, the “60” number is a excess number of SGTF beyond random lab error background levels.
Read 4 tweets
1 Dec
BREAKING—the @CDCgov has identified first case of the #Omicron variant in the US in California, via CNN source. #COVID19
2) we need initiate INTERNATIONAL arrivals testing + followup testing ASAP.
3) THIS. IS. DE. JA. VU. … feels like the the US is back in February 2020 all over again.
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(