From the google sheet (link in bio) written 27-Nov
Indexes: "Expecting lower for most of the week, especially 29&30-Nov and then 3-Dec"
Missed 29-Nov, did not peg 1-Dec but got 30-Nov and 3-Dec
Can I get a 5 for this?
Cryptos: "Down maybe big into 30-Nov & 1-Dec, also weaker 3-Dec"
They held up for a while but eventually caved
Not down huge though for the week yet, so 4
Safe havens: "UP especially into 30-Nov and again into next week"
5
Really nailed this move in VIX & TLT
Tweet summary (selected comments)
So basic idea is move that started in earnest Friday for all assets more likely beginning of a big move that goes into mid-December...at least, than false alarm that quickly reverses
Indexes seem heavy but context: SPX down only -5.2% from high to low tick (maybe not coincidence near 5%); NDX -7.3%, RUT already -12.8%
Basic idea is timing (astro) conditions negative enough, along with recent major sentiment extreme reached early Nov...
... that I think markets on tap for -10% SPX, roughly
A LOT of negatives in play this week, hence my crash call 3-Dec to 13-Dec but given drops that have already happened, market may not go straight down every day
Thinking bounce chances best Tuesday session after 10:00 AM ET
And overnight Weds into early pre-market Thurs
But I'm not really pushing buying the bounces (maybe ETH & NQ?), I'm looking to get out of the way & re-short
Crypto has better chance of lows being in with those wicks but indexes I will be shocked, SHOCKED, if Friday 3-Dec is it
Astro (for the fluent, no lingo forecast will follow)
Pluto, Neptune, Uranus - no change
Venus cnj Pluto very important judgment call because in play so long
Contrary to what you might expect not all Pluto events have been down for stocks
Still this 'should be' uncomfortable
Saturn
Has been direct in Aqu-Venus for several weeks but here condition of term ruler could be adding to nastiness
Sqr to Uranus fully in play now, just over 2'
Keep in mind that in Feb this was UP for stocks & cryptos major high for some assets
I've looked at all these...
And a tricky series with major turns but often both ways within the same aspect
But relying on planet condition
Saturn direct, with nasty term ruler
Uranus Rx (more benefic planet, but Rx means not much help) this is more likely to play out negative
I understand that people read "there's only one Marsilio" to mean that I was the only person who made the crash call
I'm a pretty data driven guy & don't know the wide variety of opinions out there, so this isn't how I meant it
It is a phrase I use sometimes...
Referring to fact that I am putting my market predictions out there very publicly, in a transparent manner with a reasonable attempt at tracking results for this sort of thing, every week
If you got it, then kudos
If you want to claim credit, how about a Tweet or screenshot?
Calling down on some minor cap coin - sorry
Calling if this breaks then bad but if holds then good - OK that's not awful but not what I'm talking about
High chance of crash in this exact period, public, ahead, and reiterated