Astro (for the fluent, no lingo forecast will follow)
Pluto, Neptune, Uranus - no change
Venus cnj Pluto very important judgment call because in play so long
Contrary to what you might expect not all Pluto events have been down for stocks
Still this 'should be' uncomfortable
Saturn
Has been direct in Aqu-Venus for several weeks but here condition of term ruler could be adding to nastiness
Sqr to Uranus fully in play now, just over 2'
Keep in mind that in Feb this was UP for stocks & cryptos major high for some assets
I've looked at all these...
And a tricky series with major turns but often both ways within the same aspect
But relying on planet condition
Saturn direct, with nasty term ruler
Uranus Rx (more benefic planet, but Rx means not much help) this is more likely to play out negative
Again huge judgment call because so much Saturn right now
Pluto in sign & term of Saturn
Saturn itself in sign of Saturn
Jupiter in sign & term of Saturn
Mars in term of Saturn
Venus in sign & term of Saturn
So whether Saturn is being benign, up for risk, weak down or nasty..
.. is really the deciding factor
So far, everything pointing to further risk off with Venus slowing in Cap with stocks & cryptos lower, safe havens very strong
And same with Jupiter in sign & term of Saturn
So basically think more to go
Fine tuning short term events
Mars in term Saturn from 4-Dec, weaker
Venus in term of Saturn from Friday midday - quite nasty so far, though eclipse also involved
Mercury in own term may help crypto bounce Sun-Tues
But Sun in term Venus not a + this time with Venus condition
Sun into term Merc 8-Dec midday also may be improvement
Moon Q1 in Cap, Aqu, Pis
Again Cap & Aqu pretty strong for cryptos and may help some bounce move mid week
But this would be a sell especially with Moon in Pisces & Aries to follow, both of those really should be weaker
Aspects
Mars sqr Jup in play 7-Dec, exact early 8-Dec
Hmm
Terms of Saturn for both planets
Is this just purely down or will it help Tuesday turnaround bounce? I'm thinking latter.
Merc sqr Neptune down especially cryptos, early 7-Dec
Basic idea is risk-off continues, with some bounces this week for stocks & cryptos
Best bounce shot Tuesday AFTER 10:00 am ET
& Maybe early Thurs (more like overnight Weds into pre-market Thurs)
Otherwise MAIN moves are...
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Indexes seem heavy but context: SPX down only -5.2% from high to low tick (maybe not coincidence near 5%); NDX -7.3%, RUT already -12.8%
Basic idea is timing (astro) conditions negative enough, along with recent major sentiment extreme reached early Nov...
... that I think markets on tap for -10% SPX, roughly
A LOT of negatives in play this week, hence my crash call 3-Dec to 13-Dec but given drops that have already happened, market may not go straight down every day
Thinking bounce chances best Tuesday session after 10:00 AM ET
And overnight Weds into early pre-market Thurs
But I'm not really pushing buying the bounces (maybe ETH & NQ?), I'm looking to get out of the way & re-short
Crypto has better chance of lows being in with those wicks but indexes I will be shocked, SHOCKED, if Friday 3-Dec is it
I understand that people read "there's only one Marsilio" to mean that I was the only person who made the crash call
I'm a pretty data driven guy & don't know the wide variety of opinions out there, so this isn't how I meant it
It is a phrase I use sometimes...
Referring to fact that I am putting my market predictions out there very publicly, in a transparent manner with a reasonable attempt at tracking results for this sort of thing, every week
If you got it, then kudos
If you want to claim credit, how about a Tweet or screenshot?
Calling down on some minor cap coin - sorry
Calling if this breaks then bad but if holds then good - OK that's not awful but not what I'm talking about
High chance of crash in this exact period, public, ahead, and reiterated