Hey folks

I understand that people read "there's only one Marsilio" to mean that I was the only person who made the crash call

I'm a pretty data driven guy & don't know the wide variety of opinions out there, so this isn't how I meant it

It is a phrase I use sometimes...
Referring to fact that I am putting my market predictions out there very publicly, in a transparent manner with a reasonable attempt at tracking results for this sort of thing, every week

If you got it, then kudos

If you want to claim credit, how about a Tweet or screenshot?
Calling down on some minor cap coin - sorry

Calling if this breaks then bad but if holds then good - OK that's not awful but not what I'm talking about

High chance of crash in this exact period, public, ahead, and reiterated
Anyway I got booster yday so back to bed and I'll check all the questions later.

Thanks for all the likes and shout-outs I do appreciate it!

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More from @MarsiliosMM

5 Dec
Forecast thread

Indexes seem heavy but context: SPX down only -5.2% from high to low tick (maybe not coincidence near 5%); NDX -7.3%, RUT already -12.8%

Basic idea is timing (astro) conditions negative enough, along with recent major sentiment extreme reached early Nov...
... that I think markets on tap for -10% SPX, roughly

A LOT of negatives in play this week, hence my crash call 3-Dec to 13-Dec but given drops that have already happened, market may not go straight down every day

Thinking bounce chances best Tuesday session after 10:00 AM ET
And overnight Weds into early pre-market Thurs

But I'm not really pushing buying the bounces (maybe ETH & NQ?), I'm looking to get out of the way & re-short

Crypto has better chance of lows being in with those wicks but indexes I will be shocked, SHOCKED, if Friday 3-Dec is it
Read 7 tweets
5 Dec
Astro (for the fluent, no lingo forecast will follow)

Pluto, Neptune, Uranus - no change
Venus cnj Pluto very important judgment call because in play so long
Contrary to what you might expect not all Pluto events have been down for stocks
Still this 'should be' uncomfortable
Saturn
Has been direct in Aqu-Venus for several weeks but here condition of term ruler could be adding to nastiness

Sqr to Uranus fully in play now, just over 2'

Keep in mind that in Feb this was UP for stocks & cryptos major high for some assets

I've looked at all these...
And a tricky series with major turns but often both ways within the same aspect



But relying on planet condition
Saturn direct, with nasty term ruler
Uranus Rx (more benefic planet, but Rx means not much help) this is more likely to play out negative
Read 10 tweets
4 Dec
Quick crypto TA

BTC first (still more than double ETH market cap)

Orange lines are pivots, 2nd half & Q4 and those were bought
Back above D200 (black line)
And we can add Fibs as well

Point is a lot of support holding on the spike

But like May, doesn't mean straight up
Looks like big bounce BUT

really just ranging on the 30m open & close of the plunge bar shown in red lines

My take right now is sure big low and may even hold
Doesn't mean straight up
Astro is too tough to just be off to the races

More like May choppy vol & test or lower
ETH

Pretty much entire crypto world sees how ETH is doing vs BTC

Obv first choice for long plays

Actual low DecS2 and near 61% of last major daily swing
Read 4 tweets
4 Dec
#Ethereum #Bitcoin #BTC #Cryptos

Unique view of planetary motion & price

ETH on top, BTC below, showing planets in tropical zodiac signs with color

Weekly visual update Saturdays
Detailed astro & markets Sundays

I combine technicals & timing to understand markets

Thread >
This is just something I always post 1x per week to show the simplest level of astro impact on markets, planet in signs (tropical)

If not familiar then see color legend to right

Saturn
Jupiter
Read 13 tweets
3 Dec
Since I've done my share of gloating here is something you can use (indexes & safe havens, not really cryptos)

New highs vs new lows NYSE

1st new highs
thin line raw daily data
thick line 10MA

if I were quant would research raw data < 10MA but let's save that for another day
Now new lows same idea

thin line raw daily data
thick line 10MA

Per new lows, this is the most threatening correction since covid crash - very easy to see
My idea from watching this for a while

If 10MA new highs > new lows, then you need to be invested

If 10MA new highs < new lows, then hedge or exit is probably late, but you don't have to be invested
Read 4 tweets
3 Dec
REVIEW

From the google sheet (link in bio) written 27-Nov

Indexes: "Expecting lower for most of the week, especially 29&30-Nov and then 3-Dec"

Missed 29-Nov, did not peg 1-Dec but got 30-Nov and 3-Dec

Can I get a 5 for this?
Cryptos: "Down maybe big into 30-Nov & 1-Dec, also weaker 3-Dec"

They held up for a while but eventually caved

Not down huge though for the week yet, so 4
Safe havens: "UP especially into 30-Nov and again into next week"

5

Really nailed this move in VIX & TLT
Read 6 tweets

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