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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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12 Dec, 8 tweets, 5 min read
Doctors & nurses in UK 🇬🇧 are too traumatized and refusing to be redeployed to #COVID19 hospital wards with the looming #Omicron surge approaching. If & when the hospitalizations rise… I pray everyone listening is #vaccinated & #boosted, or else the 🏥 may not have enough beds.
2) it’s not a matter of “if” hospitalizations for #Omicron will rise, it’s a matter of “when” and how much…
3) don’t forget, it’s the more contagious transmission of a virus that will ultimately kill more people than the individual severity of a virus. The hospitalizations will inevitably go up, albeit slower at first if mild (not proven yet), but catch up with a vengeance later. 👇
4) How UK 🇬🇧 will show the world how it will lead the first #Omicron wave outside of South Africa… BoJo exceptionalism.
5) To be clear, the US is in just as bad of a shape in many parts of the country without enough shots in arms. Case in point… 👇

William Sydney Porter can’t even make up tragic ironies like this.
6) Bad news is the UK 🇬🇧 is facing a substantial wave of #Omicron infections in January without further restrictions, according to scientists. The researchers said tougher restrictions may be needed to prevent Omicron overwhelming hospitals. #COVID19 bbc.com/news/uk-596210…
7) UK 🇬🇧 has just raised its alert level to 4. Up 1239 new #Omicron cases… a surge of over 53%!
8) the US will face a similar if not worse crisis. The Us may actually battle a “TWIN EPIDEMIC” of both #Omicron and #DeltaVariant together this winter. I pray you are all vaccinated and boosted and masking with KN95 / KF94/ FFP2 masks or better. Ventilate too if you can.

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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
14 Dec
BREAKING—Largest study of 2-shot Pfizer vaccine effectiveness against #Omicron from largest health insurer in 🇿🇦:

📌33% VE against #Omicron (symptomatic?) infection

📌70% VE against #Omicron hospitalization (93% against #DeltaVariant before in 🇿🇦)

➡️Urgently need boosters.🧵 Image
2) the new study also mentions 20% greater risk of hospitalization among kids with #Omicron compared to an older strain last year. Image
3) Also, the protective effects of prior infection has waned and further erode by #Omicron. ➡️ Bottomline: don’t rely on past infection immunity! Image
Read 8 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
14 Dec
“You can’t chase an exponential virus” with a govt rollout of boosters alone. You need to do more IMMEDIATELY to stop the exponential growth. #Omicron doubling in 🇬🇧 every 1.7 days ➡️ BoJo’s booster-only plan cannot stop fast enough. The political willpower to save lives matters. ImageImage
2) UK’s growth also isn’t even the fastest anymore. Denmark has now topped it at 1.6 days per doubling of #Omicron.
3) BoJo is right that we need to set aside whether it’s “mild” or not (it’s no proven, and many epidemiologists doubt it). The acceleration of #Omicron is what will kill more.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
13 Dec
NEW—Norway will ban the serving of alcohol in bars & restaurants, impose stricter rules in schools & speed up vaccinations to limit an expected surge of the #Omicron variant. 🇳🇴 just set record highs in both #COVID19 cases & hospitalizations. abc.net.au/news/2021-12-1…
2) Norway is setting record highs both in terms of new COVID-19 infections and hospitalisations, partly due to the spread of Omicron, which is expected to become the dominant variant in the coming days.
3) "A lack of action now could lead to large negative consequences for society, not just for health services and municipalities," the Norwegian Institute of Public Health (FHI) said.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
13 Dec
📍NEW RECORD holder: Denmark🇩🇰 has now surpassed UK🇬🇧 in #Omicron growth rate—🇩🇰 now doubling every **1.6 days**, while 🇬🇧 doubling every 1.7 days. Meanwhile, 🇿🇦 is doubling every 3 days—still fast. But we may have to revise how fast Omicron truly is.

HT @DrWilliamKu #COVID19
2) To be clear, Denmark & UK are world leaders in genome 🧬 sequencing to confirm #Omicron. Hence their rates stand above the rest of the 🌍 in Omicron tracking. But their number numbers are indeed more accurate because of high sequencing—thus gives true Omicron speed. Forecast—
3) KEEP IN MIND— Speed of spread is >> importance than severity in a pandemic—a lower severity won’t prevent mass hospitalization deaths if the virus is more contagious / evasive against past immunity. Exponential math will catch up ultimately much faster in the end. See 🧵 below
Read 11 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
13 Dec
NEW—“Omicron is producing hospitalizations & sadly at least 1 patient has now died with #Omicron. The idea that this is somehow a milder version of virus—we need to set [aside] & recognize the sheer pace at which it accelerates.” @BorisJohnson #COVID19
2) #Omicron is now 49% of all London cases. thedailybeast.com/britain-report…
3) U.K. Health Secretary Sajid Javid said the number of Omicron infections “is doubling every two to three days,” and warned, “we’re in a new race, whether we like it or not, between the virus and the vaccine.”
Read 13 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
13 Dec
⚠️OMICRON “EVADES” NEUTRALIZATION—1st ever #Omicron variant study of blood from Moderna, Oxford-AstraZeneca, Pfizer vaccinated, vs survivors of Alpha, Beta, Delta variants. Omicron #B11529 evasive—but 2x Pfizer/mixed stronger>> convalescent; 3x hit best.🧵 medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2) “We found that sera from vaccinated individuals neutralized the B.1.1.529 variant to a much lesser extent than any other variant analyzed. Neutralization capacity against #Omicron was maintained best against sera of “infected + 2x vaccinated” or “2x vaccinated + infected”
3) it’s clear vaccine neutralization of #Omicron is much harder than any other variants tested - Alpha, Beta, or Delta. Though 2 doses of Pfizer or Pfizer+AstraZeneca mixed vaccination had somewhat better performance against #Omicron. But 2x AstraZeneca not good enough.
Read 10 tweets

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