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Ben M.

23 Dec, 9 tweets, 4 min read

Weekly US All-cause Excess Mortality UPDATE!
> Up to week 49/2021
> 2021 Excess Deaths: +437,146 deaths (+15.6%)
> vs 318k in 2020! 37% higher!!!
🧵 Thread ⬇️⬇️⬇️
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Time series:

Age-Adjusted Mortality by year, up to current week

If the last 3 weeks would turn out as in 2020...

Time series of Excess Mortality:

Excess by age group:

Excess by age group - z-score:

Find all charts on USMortality.com

Don't forget to follow me on Telegram: t.me/USMortality

Forgot this one! Excess by quarter!

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More from @USMortality

Ben M.

@USMortality

22 Dec

All-Cause Mortality by Age Group [Germany]
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #coronavirus
Thread ⬇️⬇️⬇️

30-50

50-70

Read 5 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

21 Dec

Age-Adjusted Mortality [Germany] until week 49/2021.

> +0.4% Excess mortality so far!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Full year, if the last 3 weeks match 2020:

Time series:

Read 5 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

19 Dec

BIG Age-Adjusted Mortality USA Thread!

> Deaths are given per 100k inhabitants, therefore acct. for pop. growth.
> Age-adjusted rates are calculated based on 6 age bins, acct. for aging!

Up to current week (48):
> 2020: +11.0%
> 2021: +14.2%

1/n #Covid #Covid19 #Covid_19

Full years, 2015-2020.

> 2020: +14.4% above 5y baseline
> 2020, adjusted for 5 extra days. (Week 53)

If the last 4 weeks of 2021 will turn out the same as 2020, 2021 will see 18.4% excess mortality.

That'd another +4% higher than 2020!
Not a great record, considering V was supposed to end all this!

Read 8 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

15 Dec

All-cause Excess Mortality by Age Group [USA]

> There's currently about ~10k/+17% per week dying more than usual!
> If it's due to COVID-19, we must know vaccine status to asses the situation.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

6 age bands:

<25 years:

Read 5 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

15 Dec

JUST IN: US all-cause age adjusted excess mortality has now surpassed 2020 toll! There are still 4 more weeks to go!

> 2020 Total: 411,926
> 2021 incl. week 48: 421,166

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus