2022: a possibly overly optimistic scenario… 🧵

1. Johnson presides over more chaos, more scandal/ dodgy behaviour comes to light. There will be more PR disasters where barely sentient backbenchers defend the impossible under orders before he u- turns. They get more furious/
2. Polls get worse and worse, especially in Red Wall and other marginal areas as the pandemic drags on, and, more importantly, the utter calamity that is #Brexit starts to really bite. Tory members continue to wake from their clown obsessed coma /
3. No one finds the PM amusing anymore. No one believes a word he says. There is a trigger event that proves the last straw. A leadership contest begins, Johnson resigns. Sunak, Truss, Hunt, Patel, Gove and one ERG backbencher enter?
4. Truss needs to get through the MP vote to win, as the membership love her (yes, I know big LOLs). She probably makes it through by going all right wing and silly and gets some ERG votes as they think she is like Thatcher because she poses with tanks. /
5. Truss wins. There is a brief honeymoon of selfies in various states of being PM. But she isn’t a leader or a serious person. Meanwhile pandemic is still a mess and #Brexit is a progressive disease, so cannot be fixed. She becomes a laughing stock; like Edith Cresson in 90s 🇫🇷
6. Labour is now grown up and capable, and making some noises about more strategic and clever deals with Lib Dems and others. They build their machine back up, attract new talent, purge the dying embers of Corbyn cult, and are ready for power.
7. Liz struggles on to 2024, when she has no choice but to call an election.

The Tories are booted out for a generation, like in 1997. Labour majority.

Nearly all my political predictions are wrong, but I like to dream. And it’s technically possible, I think. 🧵 Ends.

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More from @bmay

1 Jan
By the 2024 election #TonyBlair will be the only person to have won an election for @UKLabour in half a century.

If you don’t think his 10 year term and record below merit a knighthood when the Lords is stuffed full of Tory donors, Claire Fox & and Ian Botham, I can’t help you.
This doesn't even include additional achievements like the 2008 Climate Change Act.
“But Blair and Brown were just Tory-lite!”

Er, bollocks.
Read 5 tweets
18 Dec 21
The funniest WhatsApp exchange of all time, in which some carpet-bitingly mad Tory MPs froth at the mouth, before committed Christian Steve Baker deletes cabinet minister Nadine Dorries, who is also mad, from the group, declaring ‘enough is enough’. There is no happier Xmas.
If there is any lockdown I want to spend it in a Tory MP WhatsApp group. So much love for these messages.
Baker then did an emoji. ❤️
Read 8 tweets
18 Dec 21
Because it’s undeliverable, and always was. Especially by someone of such jingoistic mediocrity.

Bye then. 👋
#torybrexitdisaster #brexitshambles
Like every Brexit negotiator we’ve had, he leaves behind a trail of mess and distrust, and bewildered allies across the channel. It remains the stupidest thing a country has ever done to itself. #BrexitReality #BrexitHasFailed
At least the Tories will be able to have Lord Frost’s leaving party during a lockdown, the way they like it.
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec 21
I see the lockdown fan club is full of Christmas cheer.
#covidiots #londonprotest
Normal, decent folk.
Mayor of London has said the vast, vast majority of hospital cases are unvaccinated. I'm so done with these rabid, stupid, foul people. They're the reason for all this panic about strain on health services. They are literally what is causing the restrictions to which they object.
Read 6 tweets
17 Dec 21
We are all from Shropshire now.

Oh my goodness. 🎉
#NorthShropshire #ThePartyIsOver #ToriesOut
Now imagine what could happen if Labour and the Lib Dems built a proper strategic partnership across the country (unlike last night). The Tories would be out for a generation, probably more. #NorthShropshire #ThePartyIsOver
I mean, this was proper, solid right wing Tory Brexit country just two years ago. None of this mess is irreversible. None of it. #ToryBrexitDisaster #ToryShambles #ThePartyIsOver
Read 4 tweets
15 Dec 21
If this was the Blitz the PM would be saying “basically keep lights on if you have to read, maybe you’ll read a bit less, perhaps you won’t. If you’re going to have a fireworks party it’s sort of up to you if you get bombed, buy a gas mask though, if you can”.

Utterly hopeless.
Dr David Nabarro of the @WHO is absolutely raising the alarm on @SkyNews right now. Quite terrifying actually. Feel quite sick.
I think Britain is about to find out the true cost of voting in populist nationalists who think individual responsibility is an appropriate policy remedy during a global pandemic.

At least they won’t want to vote in any more of them ever again, there is that.

This is madness.
Read 6 tweets

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