@DrEricDing I love it when so-called 'experts' comment on matters they know nothing about.
So here are some facts:
//thread
@DrEricDing#Omicron IS a mild virus. Data from South Africa (and now England) PROVES that and is confirmed by Chief Medical Officers. To suggest otherwise is medically illiterate and unscientific #conspiracytheory
@DrEricDing Staff shortages in the #NHS are arising due to excessive testing amongst asymptomatic staff & the policy of self-isolation in the event of a +ve test result, using a test that according to the CDC does not distinguish between CV & the flu.
@DrEricDing The UK has also seen public health policy greatly impact hospitals. Many care homes are unable to reopen due to staff shortages resulting from the @GOVUK’s mandatory vaccine policy, leading to the hospitalisation of many elderly people requiring care.
@DrEricDing@GOVUK This same policy will also deeply impact NHS staffing levels from April onwards when they come into effect, if not sooner.
@DrEricDing@GOVUK On the impact of Omicron, in the UK, we have seen testing numbers far exceeding that of anywhere in the world, having reached 1.5-1.6m PER DAY.
@DrEricDing@GOVUK This explains why ‘cases’ (+ve test results) in the UK are so high. However, it’s important to note that these figures do not reflect how many are asymptomatic or mild cases.
@DrEricDing@GOVUK One way to establish severity of cases is to look at hospitalisation numbers. Whilst there has been a slight increase towards the end of December, as we see every year, those numbers are nowhere near to the numbers we saw this time last year.
@DrEricDing@GOVUK UK hospitalisation data also shows that a third of Covid hospital cases are patients being treated for something other than Covid (‘incidental admissions’)
@DrEricDing@GOVUK In fact, official data shows two-thirds of new CV hospital patients in ENG only tested +ve (several days) AFTER being admitted for a different illness; mounting evidence Omicron is milder and most ‘cases’ are nosocomial (spread in hospitals)
@DrEricDing@GOVUK To summarise, YES #Omicron is a mild variant that largely produces symptoms akin to the common cold/flu & there is a clear incidental disconnect to hospitalisations + deaths.
Thus, any threat to the #NHS is the result of political decision-making & NOT directly from of the virus
Testing is mandatory for hospital admission yet +ve tests appear to have risen in the community, not in hospitals where they seem fairly flatlined. You wouldn't expect that in a #NHS crisis.
But +ve P2 Cases (no hospitalisation needed) have risen hugely
The data seems to call into serious question the severity of the new SARS-CoV-2 strand & whether #COVID19#lockdown2021 measures are justified
But Cases have risen hugely. Why?
Well, testing has risen substantially in the same period. As SARS-CoV-2 is endemic, the more testing you do, the more +ve cases you'll get
@SadiqKhan@Keir_Starmer This strategy is politically cynical beyond belief. I'll explain why (thread):
1. Fix the NHS: NHS hospitals are currently operating under capacity, some wards remain virtually empty, and all because the NHS has prioritised Covid over all other treatments.
@SadiqKhan@Keir_Starmer Meanwhile, several Nightingale hospitals have been torn down (having remained unused), and now we hear of some hospitals closing down vital medical service departments as part of their Covid-response strategy (UCLH & Royal Free closing children’s A&E).
@SadiqKhan@Keir_Starmer 2. Fix test, track & trace: Testing sits at approx. 250k per day, far higher than in other countries. There have been some issues that need fixing but a shutdown does nothing to aid that process.
RT: The latest ONS figures are now in, and prepare yourselves, the figures paint a concerning picture, one that begs a lot of serious questions over political policy
According to ONS statistics, the total mortality rate this year is somewhat higher than in 2018 when the UK faced a significant influenza (flu) outbreak. Compared to 2020, the UK has suffered in the area of 27k excess deaths
The impact on the total no. of deaths is best shown in the chart below where the incline in excess deaths is clearly visible from Wk15 (27 Mar-3 Apr) onwards. The peak seems to have hit at Wk17 (11–17 Apr) & plateauing downwards the following week (18–24 Apr) before declining