Thread by @therealarod1984

1/3 Texas C19 Update: Everyone is getting it

THREAD:

* Shocking number of cases reported the past 3 days, shattering Covid case records
* Severe cases rising but nothing like cases
* Should be a steep but short wave
* Vaccine mandates LOL. Yeah OK.

1/n

https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1476620218478862338

1/3 Testing

Tests filed by date of specimen collection, < 8 days old is incomplete

As of 12/24, in a steep wave:
* Pos rate @ 18.94%, more growth to come
* Testing ~ 125K day
* Conversion of positives indicates still early in wave on 12/24, but that may change soon...

2/n
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1/3 - Cases

* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Records numbers of cases reported, starting to catch up from all the unreported positive tests
* Brand new records for daily reported and 7DMA. With 72% of the eligible pop and 77% of adults vaxxed

3/n
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1/3 Hospitalizations - Part 1

* % of beds tagged as Covid 11.89%, census at 7015.
* Admits 7DMA rising sharply to 1236, indicating increased census coming. But growth rate increase has topped out
* Still 99% an East/South part of Texas, Texas Triangle wave

4/n
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1/3 Hospitalizations - Part 2

* Severe cases in a much more shallow rise & still a ways to go to catch 2020 Winter wave
* ICU portion of the bed census 1454
* New chart for Vent usage 2021 vs 2020
* The ratio of cases to severe hospitalization/vent at an all-time low

5/n
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1/3 Conclusion

* Positive Tests/Cases have blown the doors off of any previous comparison during this pandemic
* General hospitalizations nearing 2020 Winter pace
* ICU/Vent a long ways off vs 2020
* May start looking at fatalities & CFR, which has to be at a record low

6/end