A few thoughts on @EmmanuelMacron aggressive language towards anti-vaxxers & the non-vaccinated generally in a Q & A session with readers of Le Parisien. He said his “strategy” was to “piss them off” (“les emmerder”) and he would do that “to the end” 1/
A mistake? Maybe but not a stumble or a lapse. The reply went on for quite a while and gave every impression of being pre-planned. Opposition politicians and April presidential election rivals are wallowing in fake indignation - which may be just what Macron wanted 2/
“They are gesticulating, we are governing,” Macron’s people are in effect saying today. Making the lives of the non-vaccinated a misery has been Macron's policy since the health pass was announced in July – and a very successful one at that 3/
The rules are to be tightend from 15 Jan. Almost 92% of French adults are vaccinated but almost 90% of those in acute care are unvaxxed. Macron’s words will delight many people. The remaining unvaxxed would never vote for him anyway 4/
Macron said in the same Q & A that he had the “desire” to run in April but would not formally enter the race until the health sitation was clearer. But he is obviously now clearly campaigning from within the Elysee Palace without declaring – a potentially dangerous strategy?
ENDS
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This is a deeply misleading and wrongheaded piece on Islam and @EmmanuelMacron. Shada Islam is a very experienced and usually fair commentator on EU affairs. Think this piece is unworthy of her 1/
She suggests that the 6-months French presidency of the EU is a source of concern for European Muslims. She produces no evidence - just a catalogue of misleading statements 2/
She conflates the xenophobic & frankly anti-Islam statements of far-right candidate @ZemmourEric with @EmmanuelMacron law last year to protect the secular French state AND a muslim right to worship free from political influence (a law shaped partly by French Muslim leaders) 3/
A quick analysis of #flaggate#DrapeauEuropéen. @EmmanuelMacron has been accused of “betrayal” and “provocation” by far right politicians for replacing the huge French tricolor flag under the Arc de Triomphe with the EU flag for the start of France's six month EU Presidency 1/
Interestingly, the centre-right Presidential candidate @vpecresse - supposedly as Europhile as Macron - has joined in the far right chorus of protest. This is the most obvious example so far of magnetic pull of hard right, Eurosceptic wing of centre-right on Pécresse campaign 2/
Was this a deliberate trap set by Macron’s people? Maybe not. But Macron evidently intends to use the coincidence of the EU Presidency to make a distinction between the vague European credentials of Pécresse & his own ambitions & ideas for the EU 3/
A brief thread on a few key questions that will likely define EU politics & issues in 2022 1/
Will Draghi transition from Italian PM to President? If he does, will it precipitate early elections & if so, will @GiorgiaMeloni of far-right Brothers lead the next Govt? What will be the implications for Italy's Recovery Plan - & relations with the EU? 2/
Could @vpecresse enter the Presidential election runoff against @EmmanuelMacron on 24 April? If so, will she beat him? If she did, Pécresse would then be the strongest centre-right leader in the EU: What would be the implications for the EU & Europe's centre-right? 3/
Emmanuel Macron is taking an each-way bet on Omicron not being too much of a health calamity just before the French election in April. No new lockdowns or curfews but restrictions on the size of large indoor and outdoor gatherings and mandatory home working three days a week 1/
After emergency cabinet & health defence councils today, PM Castex warned that number of cases in Fr could more than double to 250K a day in a week or so. All the same, the Govt is rejecting – for now- the kind of draconian new restrictions imposed by some of its neighbours 2/
Instead, the waiting period for third booster jabs will again be reduced from 4 months to 3. 3 days home working will be mandatory for office jobs. New, relaxed rules on isolation by contacts will be introduced to prevent the avalanche of new cases from closing country down 3/
Although she's a future leadership contender with a strong incentive to tack right on Europe & go in hard, after chats with both sides I think @trussliz assuming EU brief *could* actually be quite positive for UK-EU relations 1/
It's not obvious she'll be beholden to Right if PM is ditched next year. Of all credible runners & riders, only @pritipatel will adopt a more hardline EU stance. But her stock has fallen as Tories think she's failed on migration. @RishiSunak@Jeremy_Hunt would be pragmatic 2/
.@nadhimzahawi wd focus on vaccines; @sajidjavid on Covid. This isn't an exhaustive list, but it begs the question: who would the €sceptics vote for, if not Truss? If she's too extreme, she'll also alienate MPs she needs to get into runoff, who basically want Protocol sorted 3/
Regardless of what Mail on Sun says, the fact is as political situation around @BorisJohnson disintegrates, the EU dropped down PMs list of priorities - now it's about survival, Covid, inflation/cost of living etc. EU/Protocol/ECJ/Art 16 are a very long way down list 2/
This left Frost exposed - as he was pursuing hardline approach in Bxl - the domestic ground shifted under his feet. Lack of progress on divergence agenda - & therefore tax - were also issues. Frost didn't think Global Britain could succeed unless UK broke out from EU's orbit 3/