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Mia Malan Profile picture
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6 Jan, 4 tweets, 5 min read
JUST IN #VaccineRollOutSA stats: Thu, 6 Jan
1/4
1. Jabs, past 24 hrs: 65,204
18+: 49,307
12-17: 15,897

2. All doses (since the start of the roll-out in May 2021): 28,233,512

3. SA population = fully vaccinated:
15,783,311 (26.2%)

(SA pop = 60.14 mil, Stats SA, 2021)
2/4
ADULTS
1. How many adults (18+) have been fully vaccinated (1 dose #JnJ/2 doses #Pfizer)?
15,737,760 (39.2%)

2. How many adults (18+) have been vaccinated (1 dose of JnJ/1 dose Pfizer)
17,957,898 (44.8%)

(18+ pop = 40.12 mil, Stats SA, 2021)
3/4
TEENS
1. 12-17, #Pfizer (teens can only get Pfizer so far)
All doses: 963,184
1st dose: 917,633
(So 14.1% of the 12-17 population = vaccinated)

2nd dose: 45,551
(So 0,7% of the 12-17 population = fully vaccinated)

(12-17 pop = 6.5 million, Stats SA, 2021)
4/4
SISONKE BOOSTERS + EXTRA DOSES
1. #Sisonke #JnJ boosters (a 2nd shot of JnJ): 234,162 (46.9% of trial volunteers)

2. Additional doses 4 immunocompromised people with specific conditions (1 extra shot 1-3 months after a 1st #JnJ/2nd #Pfizer shot): 11,900

Source: @HealthZA

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More from @miamalan

Mia Malan Profile picture
8 Jan
[Thread] 1. When will SA's #Omicron wave end?

@ProfAbdoolKarim:
1. If cases continue 2 decline @ the current rate, the wave will end in +/- 10-11 days
2. How will we know it's the end?
@nicd_sa uses 30 cases/100,000 in the past 7 days for the beginning/end of a wave Image
2. If the #Omicron wave does end in +/-10-11 days, it will have been just over half the length of previous waves:
1. Wave 1, 2, 3: About 75 days long
2. Wave 4 (Omicron) likely to be 40-50 days long Image
3. Can SA expect a next #COVID19 wave?
@ProfAbdoolKarim:
1. Given the consistent 3 month gap we get in SA between waves, the 5th wave can be expected, if it is going to occur, in May this year
2. Of course, a new variant may throw this estimation out the window
Read 20 tweets
Mia Malan Profile picture
5 Jan
LATEST 2022 #VaccineRollOutSA stats: We, 5 Jan
1/4
1. Jabs, past 24 hrs: 64,724
18+: 49,784
12-17: 14,940

2. All doses (since the start of the roll-out in May 2021): 28,164,339

3. SA population = fully vaccinated:
15,744,496 (26.2%)

(SA pop = 60.14 mil, Stats SA, 2021)
2/4
ADULTS
1. How many adults (18+) have been fully vaccinated (1 dose #JnJ/2 doses #Pfizer)?
15,702,030 (39.1%)

2. How many adults (18+) have been vaccinated (1 dose of JnJ/1 dose Pfizer)
17,926,267 (44.7%)

(18+ pop = 40.12 mil, Stats SA, 2021)
3/4
TEENS
1. 12-17, #Pfizer (teens can only get Pfizer so far)
All doses: 947,167
1st dose: 904,701
(So 13.9% of the 12-17 population = vaccinated)

2nd dose: 42,466
(So 0,65% of the 2-17 population = fully vaccinated)

(12-17 pop = 6.5 million, Stats SA 2021)
Read 4 tweets
Mia Malan Profile picture
31 Dec 21
[Thread] 1. Will @HealthZA achieve its latest #VaccineRollOutSA goal by the end of 2021 (today)?

No.

What's the goal?
Vaccinating 70% of people of 50+ with 1 shot of #Pfizer or #JnJ by midnight, 31 Dec 2021.

Where are we at? 64.08% (so 5.92% short of the 70% goal)
2. Is 64.08% of people of 50+ vaccinated the final figure for 2021?

No, we'll get the vax figures for today (31 Dec) tonight.

But it's unlikely to make much of a difference to the overall %, as we're currently doing fewer than 50,000 doses per day.
3. What's the breakdown for the different 50+ age groups (for 1 jab per person)?

60+: 66.08% (we've covered 3.6 mil out of a 60+) population of 5.5 mil)
50-59: 61.78% (we've covered 2.9 mil out of a 50-59 population of 4.8 mil)
Read 10 tweets
Mia Malan Profile picture
30 Dec 21
[Thread] JUST IN:

How sick did #COVID19 patients in SA get during Gauteng's #Omicron wave?

NEW @TheLancet preprint: bit.ly/3FJj6mA (via Waasila Jasat, @ProfAbdoolKarim et al.)
2. Why did study authors look @ Gauteng + not the entire SA?
1. SA's #Omicron outbreak started in Gauteng, so there's data 4 a longer period than other provinces
2. They looked @ the 1st 4 weeks of #Omicron + compared it to the same periods for Wave 2 (Beta), Wave 3 (#Delta)
3. From when to when were the 1 month periods of the waves?
- Wave 2 (Beta): 29 Nov-26 Dec 2020
- Wave 3 (#Delta): 2 May-29 May 2021
- Wave 4 (#Omicron): 14 Nov-11 Dec 2021
Read 16 tweets
Mia Malan Profile picture
24 Dec 21
[Thread]. 1. What does @HealthZA's circular about stopping all contact tracing and quarantining for #COVID19 mean and WHY was it issued?

Here we go (with lots of help from @hivepi).
2. What is contract tracing?

It’s when health workers try to trace the people 1 infected person could potentially have infected by asking the infected person who they have been in contact with and getting those people to then test or isolate if they test positive.
3. Why is @HealthZA stopping contract tracing?

In short: It’s too expensive for what we get out of it, so we spend a lot of money 4 very little gain (gain = picking up infected people + stopping them from infecting others). We could use the money better on other stuff/diseases.
Read 20 tweets
Mia Malan Profile picture
24 Dec 21
JUST IN [Thread]:
1. @HealthZA disagrees with the US government's CDC's decision to recommend #mRNA jabs above #JnJ (because of rare side effects) - we'll continue using JnJ
2. The US = abundance of jabs (100 mil + ready for use), so they can afford 2 be choosy.
2. How safe is #JnJ?
1. @MRCza analysed safety data from the #Sisonke study (which uses #JnJ)
2. Serious side effects were rare and occurred in only 129 out of about 500 000 #HealthWorkers in the study
3. What does #Sisonke data tell us about mild #JnJ side effects?
1. The commonest side effects = headache, body aches, pain @ injection site, fever
2. Most side effects = occurred within 48 hours of vaccination
Read 6 tweets

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