No amount of media training can fix bad messaging, @CDCDirector. The root of this problem, the problem of back and forth messaging coming out of the @CDC_gov, cannot be fixed by one individual working on their personal communication skills. 1/
cnn.com/2022/01/07/pol…
It worries me that @CDCDirector told @CNN: "We actually don't know how our rapid tests perform and how well they predict whether you're transmissible during the end of disease." We need to know how well rapid tests perform at this point in the pandemic. 2/
Is it 5 days or 10 days of isolation after you test positive for #COVID19? Americans shouldn't be making their best guess because of waffling guidance. end/
After considering our current situation as Americans and my past experiences @CDCgov, I want to share some additional thoughts. 1/
On Oct 5, 2004, @CDCgov ACIP recommended that influenza vaccine be reserved for persons in certain priority groups and asked others to defer or forego vaccination due to a shortage of available influenza vaccine for the 2004/5 influenza season. 2/
cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/m…
However, my branch with the help of state health departments and contractors added questions to @BRFSS to monitor vaccine uptake. We were able to generate daily reports on who is getting the vaccine and where. 3/
cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/m…
Through surveillance data, we were able to tell when vaccines could be distributed to the general public. 4/
cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/m…
In response, @CDCgov changed the recommendation mid-season and people got vaccinated. This effort ensured that vaccines were not wasted. 5/
stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/25131
@CDCgov has the most dedicated and capable public health professionals, I had the privilege to work and learn from them for many years. Take the politics out and let scientists do their job. For everyone’s sake. end/

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More from @AliHMokdad

9 Jan
@IHME_UW new projections show that daily estimated #COVID19 infections has peaked at 6.2 million on 1/6 in the US, but daily cases will rise to nearly 1.2 million by 1/19, 2022. The infection-detection rate has declined to 22% on January 3. 1/
covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-…
Our model projects 905,000 cumulative reported deaths due to #COVID19 on 5/1, this represents 79,000 additional deaths from 1/3 to 5/1. Daily reported deaths will rise to 1,930 by 1/24, 2022. 2/ Image
Daily hospital census including incidental admissions with #COVID19 will rise to 273,000 by January 25, 2022. We estimate that 57% of people in United States of America have been infected at least once as of January 3. 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets
19 Nov 21
Wishing a very warm happy holidays to all – we deserve to celebrate even amid immense hardship. I have been asked frequently about safe travel and gatherings for the holidays amid #COVID19 lately. Here are my thoughts. 1/
🔑 Being vaccinated against #COVID19 and getting a booster as soon as its available to you is absolutely key to gather safely this holiday season.

Also get a flu vaccine to further protect yourself and your family. 2/
🚘✈️ Before traveling, get tested at a free site or get a home test. If your test comes back positive for #COVID19, follow current @CDCgov guidelines and stay at home. 3/
Read 9 tweets
5 Nov 21
There are early indications that the decline in the Delta surge at the national level in the US has ended. 19 states have increasing transmission, including a number of states such as AZ, CA, and NM that had previously appeared to have been declining. 1/
It is clear that the notion that #COVID19 is over is very unlikely to be true. 2/
covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-…
We expect that cases will begin to increase, with daily deaths increasing towards the end of November. The increases are expected based on winter seasonality, waning immunity, and declining protective behaviors such as mask use. 3/
Read 6 tweets
17 Sep 21
.@IHME_UW extended its forecast to Jan 1, 2022 and now predicts 777,000 cumulative reported #COVID19 deaths by the end of the year. 1/
.@IHME_UW predicts that the US will see a #COVID19 death toll of 423,000 in 2021. That number far surpasses the 354,000 reported #COVID19 deaths in 2020, despite vaccination campaigns and a better understanding of the virus. 2/
The Delta variant was a major factor in 2021. .@IHME_UW models suggest that the decline off the Delta peak will continue to mid-October, with daily deaths reaching below 1,000. 3/
Read 11 tweets
15 Sep 21
الحالات المبلغ عنها ، والاستشفاء ، والوفيات من #كوفيد١٩ آخذة في الانخفاض في منطقة الشرق الاوسط. 1/ @IHME_UW @WHOEMRO ImageImage
يجب الانتباه والتذكير ان #كوفيد١٩ هو السبب الاول للوفيات في المنطقة الاسبوع السابق وما زال يشكل خطر كبير على الصحة والجهاز الطبي. هذا الفيروس خطير وانتهازي اذا سمحنا له بالانتشار. 2/ Image
طبعا يخفي هذا الانخفاض الإقليمي فروقات مميزة بين الدول مع وصل الى قمة الاصابات والتراجع الواضح في العديد من البلدان (إيران والعراق ، على سبيل المثال) ، واحتمال الوصول الى القمة في لبنان والإمارات والأردن. 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
22 Aug 21
In a small number of @europeanunion countries, the Delta surges seem to have peaked and are declining, including Cyprus, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, and many regions of Spain. 1/
In the rest of @europeanunion, transmission is intensifying, with Delta waves finally emerging clearly in many countries in Central Europe, with the exception of Czechia. 2/
.@IHME_UW estimates that about half the population is susceptible to Delta infection, taking into account past infection and vaccination, providing plenty of opportunities for continued transmission. 3/
Read 4 tweets

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