Wishing a very warm happy holidays to all – we deserve to celebrate even amid immense hardship. I have been asked frequently about safe travel and gatherings for the holidays amid #COVID19 lately. Here are my thoughts. 1/
🔑 Being vaccinated against #COVID19 and getting a booster as soon as its available to you is absolutely key to gather safely this holiday season.
Also get a flu vaccine to further protect yourself and your family. 2/
🚘✈️ Before traveling, get tested at a free site or get a home test. If your test comes back positive for #COVID19, follow current @CDCgov guidelines and stay at home. 3/
While traveling, follow current @CDCgov#COVID19 guidance and take steps to protect yourself like:
-Wearing a mask indoors.
-Frequently washing your hands.
-Keeping a safe distance from others. 4/
While at your travel destination:
-Wear a mask in public indoor settings, regardless of your vaccination status.
-Avoid crowded, poorly ventilated spaces.
-Gather outdoors whenever possible. 5/
If you are gathering inside unmasked with different groups of people, get tested before gathering and again 5–7 days after the gathering event. #COVID19#TravelAdvice#Thanksgiving 6/
Returning home after travel:
-Get tested for #COVID19 after your return.
-If positive follow all current @CDCgov guidelines and stay home. 7/
Always stay home if you feel sick or have #COVID19 symptoms.
Always get tested if you have #COVID19 symptoms or have been in close contact with someone who has #COVID19. 8/
Do your part to contain this virus and do not bring #COVID19 to your loved ones while traveling. Always remember that the best gift during these holidays is the gift of life. Do your best to encourage others to get a vaccine and wear a mask while inside public spaces. end/
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There are early indications that the decline in the Delta surge at the national level in the US has ended. 19 states have increasing transmission, including a number of states such as AZ, CA, and NM that had previously appeared to have been declining. 1/
We expect that cases will begin to increase, with daily deaths increasing towards the end of November. The increases are expected based on winter seasonality, waning immunity, and declining protective behaviors such as mask use. 3/
.@IHME_UW extended its forecast to Jan 1, 2022 and now predicts 777,000 cumulative reported #COVID19 deaths by the end of the year. 1/
.@IHME_UW predicts that the US will see a #COVID19 death toll of 423,000 in 2021. That number far surpasses the 354,000 reported #COVID19 deaths in 2020, despite vaccination campaigns and a better understanding of the virus. 2/
The Delta variant was a major factor in 2021. .@IHME_UW models suggest that the decline off the Delta peak will continue to mid-October, with daily deaths reaching below 1,000. 3/
الحالات المبلغ عنها ، والاستشفاء ، والوفيات من #كوفيد١٩ آخذة في الانخفاض في منطقة الشرق الاوسط. 1/ @IHME_UW@WHOEMRO
يجب الانتباه والتذكير ان #كوفيد١٩ هو السبب الاول للوفيات في المنطقة الاسبوع السابق وما زال يشكل خطر كبير على الصحة والجهاز الطبي. هذا الفيروس خطير وانتهازي اذا سمحنا له بالانتشار. 2/
طبعا يخفي هذا الانخفاض الإقليمي فروقات مميزة بين الدول مع وصل الى قمة الاصابات والتراجع الواضح في العديد من البلدان (إيران والعراق ، على سبيل المثال) ، واحتمال الوصول الى القمة في لبنان والإمارات والأردن. 3/
In a small number of @europeanunion countries, the Delta surges seem to have peaked and are declining, including Cyprus, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, and many regions of Spain. 1/
In the rest of @europeanunion, transmission is intensifying, with Delta waves finally emerging clearly in many countries in Central Europe, with the exception of Czechia. 2/
.@IHME_UW estimates that about half the population is susceptible to Delta infection, taking into account past infection and vaccination, providing plenty of opportunities for continued transmission. 3/
But first, my daughter just graduated from college. If she was in school this year, I will not send her with the current planned precautions. 2/
In the US, over 17,000 children have been hospitalized, over 4,000 have suffered from Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (MIS-C) and more than 400 have died due to #COVID19. 3/ sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
.@IHME_UW projects that daily infections will begin increasing in late August, and daily deaths corrected for under-reporting, will drop below 250 by mid-August, but then begin to increase slowly. 1/8
Despite increasing vaccination and declining seasonality, five states have increasing transmission, based on hospitalization data. 2/8
Given over one third of the population has been previously infected with COVID-19, vaccination with two doses is nearing 55% of adults, and seasonality is declining, the increases in transmission in these states is surprising. 3/8