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Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
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8 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Liz Truss: "I will not sign up to anything which sees goods moving within our own country being subject to checks."

But @BorisJohnson did - when he opted for a hard Brexit
telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/01/0…
NB: EU has fiscal & regulatory border. Can eliminate former via CU & latter via SM. May prioritised integrity of UK opting for defacto CU (backstop) & deep reg alignment = no Irish Sea border. Johnson prioritised trade/reg autonomy over UK integrity. That IS what Truss voted for
NB1: Of course Truss' top line in Telegraph is *totally predictable* given paper & her need to virtue signal to ERG

So it doesn't tell us anything new/unexpected. A door in this process she was always going to have to walk through

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More from @Mij_Europe

Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
7 Jan
As @trussliz & @chhcalling take over EU/NIP brief, 85 officials are moving from Cabinet Office to FCDO. Senior UK officials say this bc PM now keen to emphasise UK relationship w/EU no longer a "whole of Govt" affair. Now considered just a foreign/trading relationship, like US 1/
This is a big move - & includes senior UK officials that led on things like EU strategy & institutions. The "Brexit opportunities" team will, however, remain in Cab Office (considered a domestic issue). There's quite some mourning in this regard for @DavidGHFrost 2/
Despite his many critics, he's seen by many sensible people in Whitehall as a heavyweight who had a clear strategic vision & view of Brexit. Many officials I've spoken to think the elusive opportunities of Brexit will now prove even more elusive given Frost has left 3/
Read 10 tweets
Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
5 Jan
A few thoughts on @EmmanuelMacron aggressive language towards anti-vaxxers & the non-vaccinated generally in a Q & A session with readers of Le Parisien. He said his “strategy” was to “piss them off” (“les emmerder”) and he would do that “to the end” 1/

leparisien.fr/politique/euro…
A mistake? Maybe but not a stumble or a lapse. The reply went on for quite a while and gave every impression of being pre-planned. Opposition politicians and April presidential election rivals are wallowing in fake indignation - which may be just what Macron wanted 2/
“They are gesticulating, we are governing,” Macron’s people are in effect saying today. Making the lives of the non-vaccinated a misery has been Macron's policy since the health pass was announced in July – and a very successful one at that 3/
Read 5 tweets
Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
4 Jan
This is a deeply misleading and wrongheaded piece on Islam and @EmmanuelMacron. Shada Islam is a very experienced and usually fair commentator on EU affairs. Think this piece is unworthy of her 1/
She suggests that the 6-months French presidency of the EU is a source of concern for European Muslims. She produces no evidence - just a catalogue of misleading statements 2/
She conflates the xenophobic & frankly anti-Islam statements of far-right candidate @ZemmourEric with @EmmanuelMacron law last year to protect the secular French state AND a muslim right to worship free from political influence (a law shaped partly by French Muslim leaders) 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
2 Jan
A quick analysis of #flaggate #DrapeauEuropéen. @EmmanuelMacron has been  accused of “betrayal” and “provocation” by far right politicians for replacing the huge French tricolor flag under the Arc de Triomphe with the EU flag for the start of France's six month EU Presidency 1/
Interestingly, the centre-right Presidential candidate @vpecresse  - supposedly as Europhile as Macron - has joined in the far right chorus of protest. This is the most obvious example so far of magnetic pull of hard right, Eurosceptic wing of centre-right on Pécresse campaign 2/
Was this a deliberate trap set by Macron’s people? Maybe not. But Macron evidently intends to use the coincidence of the EU Presidency to make a distinction between the vague European credentials of Pécresse & his own ambitions & ideas for the EU 3/

Read 4 tweets
Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
31 Dec 21
A brief thread on a few key questions that will likely define EU politics & issues in 2022 1/
Will Draghi transition from Italian PM to President? If he does, will it precipitate early elections & if so, will @GiorgiaMeloni of far-right Brothers lead the next Govt? What will be the implications for Italy's Recovery Plan - & relations with the EU? 2/
Could @vpecresse enter the Presidential election runoff against @EmmanuelMacron on 24 April? If so, will she beat him? If she did, Pécresse would then be the strongest centre-right leader in the EU: What would be the implications for the EU & Europe's centre-right? 3/
Read 10 tweets
Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman Profile picture
27 Dec 21
Emmanuel Macron is taking an each-way bet on Omicron not being too much of a health calamity just before the French election in April. No new lockdowns or curfews but restrictions on the size of large indoor and outdoor gatherings and mandatory home working three days a week 1/
After emergency cabinet & health defence councils today, PM Castex warned that number of cases in Fr could more than double to 250K a day in a week or so. All the same,  the Govt is rejecting – for now-  the kind of draconian new restrictions imposed by some of its neighbours 2/
Instead, the waiting period for third booster jabs will again be reduced from 4 months to 3. 3 days home working will be mandatory for office jobs. New, relaxed rules on isolation by contacts will be introduced to prevent the avalanche of new cases from closing country down 3/
Read 5 tweets

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