1) As Quebec is now in the grip of an Omicron-driven wave — with #COVID19 hospitalizations up by 140 to 2,436 — it’s worth noting how the #pandemic is worsening elsewhere, too. In this thread, I will examine the impact in other parts of the world, and the implications for Quebec.
2) First, #COVID19 infections are now rising in 132 countries around the world, up by two since yesterday alone, according to a reliable tally by Reuters. As you can see from the chart below, it’s proliferating again in Italy and India, among other nations.
3) Lest skeptics dismiss this latest wave as a “casedemic,” I would like to point out that #COVID deaths are tragically once again climbing all over the world. The chart below by the Washington Post shows such deaths now surging on every continent.
4) As several astute observers on this thread have already noted, focusing only on #COVID cases, hospitalizations and deaths doesn’t tell the whole story. What about the phenomenon of long COVID? The Quebec government is not compiling or reporting long COVID data.
5) But in Finland, the Minister of Family Affairs warned on Friday that long COVID could become that country’s largest chronic disease. Krista Kiuru added that “many adults will suffer...long-term COVID-19, but at worst also children.”
6) This latest wave is harming children as never before. An average of 824 American children up the age of 17 were admitted to hospital for #COVID every day during the week up to Jan. 7. The previous seven-day average was 563, according to the chart below.
7) In Quebec, hospitalizations in this age group have jumped 10-fold since the Omicron wave hit last month. Radio-Canada reported Saturday that fortunately such hospital stays are relatively short and hospitals have so far been managing well.
8) But this spike in pediatric #COVID hospitalizations has implications for Quebec’s plan to return students to in-person learning on Jan. 17, and raises questions as to whether the government is doing enough to protect our children and to prevent future school outbreaks.
9) Omicron arose in South Africa, while Delta emerged in India. This suggests that until the entire world is vaccinated, new variants will continue posing a threat in the #pandemic. Canada must now contribute a lot more to the global vaccination effort. montrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
10) The vaccination implications in Quebec are clear, too. In Greece, anyone over the age of 60 not yet vaccinated now risks a monthly fine of 100 Euros. Austria is considering fines as high as 7,000 Euros for the unvaxxed. What will Quebec do? End of thread. Go get your shot.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

7 Jan
1) Despite the fact #COVID hospitalizations, ICU stays and deaths are surging once again in Quebec, several hospital mangers have told me that they’re cautiously optimistic this fifth wave will soon start subsiding. In this thread, I'll assess whether such optimism is justified.
2) Much of this optimism is based on the experience in South Africa, where #Omicron emerged in November. On Dec. 30, the South African government released a statement saying that “all indicators suggest the country may have passed the peak of a fourth wave at a national level."
3) What’s more, South African doctors were declaring less severe illness among those who contracted Omicron. Here, front-line doctors have been observing a similar trend in Quebec’s Omicron-driven wave.
Read 11 tweets
19 Dec 21
1) Happy Holidays, everyone! Although I will be returning to work on Jan. 4, I wanted to underscore the seriousness of this, the 5th wave of the #COVID19 pandemic in Quebec. In this thread, I will focus on rising hospitalizations among the doubly-vaccinated.
2) First, I can’t emphasize enough the importance of getting vaccinated against #COVID19. The non-vaccinated are nearly 15 times more likely to be hospitalized with #COVID in Quebec than those who have received two shots. But it’s become clear even two shots may not be enough.
3) As the chart below shows, on Nov. 18, the province recorded 17 new #COVID19 hospitalizations. Of that number, a dozen were among the non-vaccinated or those who got a first dose. But five individuals were hospitalized despite two doses. Who were those five?
Read 12 tweets
24 Jun 21
1) Quebec on Wednesday fell from second to third place in its #COVID19 vaccination rate among provinces, behind British Columbia. Surprisingly, Ontario is now in first place among provinces, as the chart below indicates.
2) What’s more, nearly 24% of Ontario’s population is fully vaccinated compared with 18.86% in Quebec. Clearly, Quebec has a lot more to do to find ways for younger adults to get vaccinated, including the possibility of paid leave to workers seeking second shots.
3) Despite lower-than-expected vaccinations and #COVID19 testing, Montreal continues to report reassuring numbers under the direction of its apolitical head of public health, Dr. Mylène Drouin. The chart below shows a decrease of 30 #COVID19 outbreaks in the city since last week.
Read 11 tweets
23 Jun 21
1) Quebec on Tuesday fell from first to second place in its #COVID19 vaccination rate among provinces, ceding the coveted spot to British Columbia. This reflects the fact that Quebec has been struggling to encourage younger adults to go get their shots. Image
2) On Tuesday, Quebec Premier François Legault again suggested a vaccine lottery for those who have been immunized fully, but there are other incentives that might be more effective, like giving workers a paid time off to get their shots, as other provinces are doing.
3) As things now stand, at least 17.79% of Quebec’s population has been fully immunized and 70.3% partially. At the current rate of 600,000 vaccination a week, it would probably take another nine weeks to fully vaccinate most of the province’s population.
Read 8 tweets
22 Jun 21
1) Quebec Premier François Legault floated the idea on Monday of a vaccine lottery to encourage younger adults to get their #COVID19 shots, this after a relatively low 57,000 doses were administered in the province on Saturday. montrealgazette.com/news/quebec/qu…
2) Although Quebec is facing a delay in a Pfizer shipment that was supposed to be delivered over the weekend (and will arrive instead on June 24 or June 25), the latest stats show that Quebecers aged 18 to 29 still trail other demographics, including 12 to 17-year-olds.
3) With the province opening up this summer and #COVID19 variants circulating, full vaccination is critical. But on Monday, just 16.87% of Quebec’s population was fully immunized, up from 16.25% the day before. Quebec can and should do much better.
Read 9 tweets
1 May 21
1) Quebec on Friday reported five more cases of the feared P.1 variant, including a single case for the first time in the Capitale-Nationale region. In this thread, I will provide an update on the more transmissible variants circulating in the province.
2) The P.1 variant has been responsible for the massive third wave in Brazil that has caused tens of thousands of #COVID19 deaths. But to date, Quebec has reported 30 confirmed cases of P.1. That compares with 645 in Ontario, 944 in Alberta and 2,063 in British Columbia.
3) The predominant variant by far in Quebec is B.1.1.7. Quebec’s public health institute reported 364 more sequenced cases of B.1.1.7., which was first detected in the U.K. Montreal continues to post the highest number of B.1.1.7 cases in the province.
Read 9 tweets

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