🚨🚨 Update: Our hourly whales ratio (1) maintains high, but lower than the days/weeks before. Also confirmed by our whales ratio 30D average. As you see, we had some hard dumps in whales ratio. That's usually a bullish signal. Happenend yesterday.
Since then I'm waiting for a pump or at least a lift up (2). Our netflow is indicating more outflows (bullish) than inflows (bearish), but since this morning more whales tokens arriving the exchanges. Anyway, the bullish signal is not strong yet, but the bearish signal not strong
enough either.
Our block view is showing also a dump (1) in whales ratio as announced yesterday. Also here our whales ratio 30D average (3) has declined. While our total netflow is showing big positive (2) moves since this morning, indicating bigger whales inflows to exchanges.
Futures showing a bearish sentiment confirmed with a declining funding (1) rate indicating more traders shorting. The leverage ratio keeps almost neutral (2) indicating no big high leverage positions involved in the new placed positions and no big liquidations (3).
Options also showing a bit more bearish sentiment since my last analysis yesterday. The 14Jan expiry has a total volume of almost $650m and has more calls than puts. That's bullish. We have still a max pain of 44k indicating we will reach this level at least friday.
The expiry 28Jan has declined in max pain from 50k to 48k indicating more bearish trades happenend since yesterday. Anyway, with a total volume of almost $1.9 billion its a good indicator. We have here much more calls ($1.3b) than puts ($600m). Interesting here, even if we have
a max pain of 48k yet, but the biggest strike is at 70k for this expiry with almost $170m in calls. I mean I'm flipping to bullish since yesterday, but 70k until 28Jan?! Is Nancy trading here? 😂
In 2.5 hours they will release the CPI. That could generate volatility. That would also explain the data, some bullish signals, but also dump preparations. So, expecting a big move at 2.30 pm (GMT+1). At the moment, I'm neutral. Still more bullish than bearish. But if the data
looks awful, we can dump heading 40k again. Otherwise 45k based on certain walls.
#FTX showing walls in 40k and 45.5k. #Kraken showing walls close below our current level. No walls in upper ranges. #Bitfinex showing walls at 46.6k (no big one) and lower ranges, the same like in
the last weeks at 39.2k (a small one) and at 38.5k a mid size one.
#Binance showing a tiny wall at 45k and a mid size wall at 40k.
And finally #Coinbase with a wall at 50k and a lower one at 40k
That's it. The first since weeks where I couldn't really create a solid trade
strategy based on the data. No trend is solid short-term. Bullish after this week. So, my trade strategy is keep my spots I bought yesterday, but thinking in stay away related to future trading atm. If we dump, that would be a nice opportunity to long the local bottom. To long
from here is risky imo. Low leverage is required to prevent a quick bad end 😜
Be careful and don't rush to risky trades. Max your risk management! Stay safe folks!
Recent inflows. Another 5,500 #BTC to #Binance. I have checked the transaction. Is valid, from personal wallet to exchange it seems.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
We all remember the big announcement DOJ did just few days ago. We all were expecting a huge result, also because CZ has teasered a big FUD against Binance will happen soon
before. Something that could bring the crypto space in trouble. Instead they announced the arrest of someone nobody in the space knew before, Anatoly Legkodymov. The owner of Hydra Marketplace. Of what? Yes, right. Almost nobody knew him or his company before last tuesday night
before they arrested him in Miami.
The DOJ said about Hydra following:
“Bitzlato’s largest counterparty in cryptocurrency transactions was Hydra Market (Hydra), an anonymous, illicit online marketplace for narcotics, stolen financial information,
Binance already sent an announcement Exclusive: SWIFT payments network to cut access to crypto exchanges | Asia Markets asiamarkets.com/swift-network-…
What is driving the current rally? Spot or Derivatives?. Well, let us check. Derivative went up like hell while the price pushed up. As mentioned many times, you can't drive the spot price with futures.
It seems DOJ has a defined its next target. Even I don't agree with their approach. Because we know it's not Binance only. We remember the money laudering accusations related to FTX. What happened? Nichts, Nada. Nothing. 🤡 reuters.com/markets/us/us-…
Instead is the current CEO of FTX even thinking to revive FTX again. Coincidence? Anyway, it doesn't explain why the current buy pressure is coming from Binance. Or is someone there unloading with USDT? Because BTC/USDT showing big unloads related to spot CVD on Binance while
the opposite happening related to BUSD. While at the same time since 2 weeks we are seeing strange transactions related to $USDC. At the beginning was between Coinbase and Circle. But since last week also Binance is involved. Last night following happened. The same amunt went to
Instead what is happening?
"Oil firm executives, for their part, say the U.S. Administration’s policies and anti-oil rhetoric,
inflation, contractor time delays, and regulatory uncertainty are negatively impacting drilling and production planning."
Everything looks like, the oil production in US will decline more. While at the same time the U.S. Crude Oil Inventories has declined the first time in 3 yrs