A lot of #OpenInterest traders will look at the high #OI of today in Futures
The #Nifty F addition was 30458 contracts, a high for the series of Jan
The #Banknifty futures addition was 6265 contracts today, not a high but big.
A quick thread on why this is a half- truth.
The futures market of today is just a fraction of the Options market.
Any day the options market beats the Index Futures 100 times & easy.
So if you are only looking at Futures Open Interest , you are reading just 1/100 th of the market
The entire market is not just divided between 4 players
a) FII's
b) Pros's
c) Retail
d) DII's
but is also hedged completely
So a long F in NF is with a short call as a pair.
Another reason you should not focus only on Futures OI
Fii's trade a bigger time frame than Pros.
So if you are looking at next 1- 3 sessions look at what pros do.
The Above chart will show you that Pros are net long today at close whereas Fii's closed longs and added shorts, Retail is divided half and half almost and DII's don't trade much , but as mentioned previously that is just a half truth.
Stay with me will be clearer...
Here is a break-up of the options market of today
and as you can see Fii's added longs in calls
And Pros went short in calls
You see the hedge?
People extrapolate the data and justify all they want to see or like to see.
Truth is all these are super traders who trade a Friday to Thursday cycle. That's it . Nothing more
All these hedged and other positions are mostly closed on thursday.
How do we know?
See the reds every 5th day
That is settlement day
Notice there is a drop in Open Interest whch means previous positions are closing.
This happens every Thursday.
This is for Pros
This is for FII's
see the reds every thursday
and for retail
Long story short
The derivative market is fast & hedged
These people know what they do & trade in/ out quickly. You will never be able to guess what they do it by looking at data post 5 pm
Focus on your charts, It will tell you much much more about what the market can do next
My team works very hard to put all this data in place every evening.
You will find the charts I shared in the forum section of vtrender.com .
If you want a twitter alert when they are updated, follow @Vtrender on twitter
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I see a synergy in the 2, fully aware that there are radical and often polar opposite views for both trading and investing.
Most traders diss investors and most investors do not think kindly of traders.
Investors talk in terms of wealth creating and urge you to invest savings etc in investing. Those who do so end up with the "good life" at 65-70 with no friends to share the riches with.
Traders on the other hand are constantly working for that extra few percent every month.
You cannot be wealthy, till you can make money whilst you are sleeping also.