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To War, or Not to Be: Why #TPLF will ALWAYS choose war
1/TPLF backed by formidable western allies failed to deliver Addis and apparently lost their unqualified support. With thousands sacrificed with nothing show in return, TPLF is stuck between a rock & a hard place.
To War, or Not to Be: Why #TPLF will ALWAYS choose war
1/TPLF backed by formidable western allies failed to deliver Addis and apparently lost their unqualified support. With thousands sacrificed with nothing show in return, TPLF is stuck between a rock & a hard place.
2/ TPLF knows it can only survive if there is active conflict. Without war keeping the populace in a state of near constant fear and paranoia will be nigh impossible. This makes the prospect of ordinary Tigrayans showing their discontent, a very real possibility.
3/ With that in mind TPLF will do all it can to keep the war going. After another round of conscription TPLF has been getting ready to launch an all out attack against #Afar and #Amhara.
4/ This time the primary or at least the initial focus seems to be #Afar. After all Abala is very close to Mekele and their supply line will not be overstretched as it was in North Shoa.
5/ #TPLF knows that if Abala remains open, with aid flowing in freely, there will be little or no appetite for Tigrayns to join its ranks or not turn against it. By attacking Abala, TPLF is trying to maintain it's only remaining big fabrications [Phantom Blockade] alive.
6/ In short TPLF has NO intention of negotiating with GOE because there are no incentives for it to do so. Peace will be the death of TPLF!
7/ The leaders of TPLF have no compunction about sacrificing as many Tigrayan youth as needed. Their system is one that converts these sacrifices into more time for the TPLF system of oppression.
8/ It is only reasonable to expect that the attack on #Afar is only the beginning. It is very likely that TPLF will launch offensives on multiple fronts to try and force the ENDF into Tigray.
Once ENDF is in Tigray, TPLF would use it as an opportunity to stock the fire of resistance among ordinary Tigrayans and also smear GOE with the help of their friends in the media and HR and UN orgs.
9/ The MSM & @UN can shatter this web of deception by telling the truth that it's #TPLF that is blockading aid from #Tigray. If only @antonioguterres would suddenly grow a spine or the media a conscience! In the meantime thousands will die & thousands more will be displaced. SAD!
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