Ted Darling Profile picture
Jan 28 11 tweets 3 min read
Hello Friday!

WTD #dispersion

$CAC -0.65%
$COMPQ -3.0%
$AORD -5.0%
$NIKK -4.9%
$KOSPI -7.75%

$VXN +7.6%

$BTC +0.55%
$AUDUSD -1.95%
$GOLD -2.0%

$NATGAS +13.25%
$PALL +12.45%
$BRENT +2.5%
$CORN+1.45%
$CRB +1.0%
$COPPER -2.2%

$TLT -0.4%

Let's dig into the early morning 🧮!
🐻 held sway in Asia with indices ↔️

$NIKK 26717 +2.1% ⬅️
$SSEC 3361 -0.95%
$TWII 17674 -0.15%
$HSI 23550 -1.1%
$KOSPI 2663 +1.85% ⬅️
$IDX 6645 +0.5%

Australia 🦘↗️
$ASX 6998 +2.2%

India ↘️
$BSE 57197 -0.15%
Europe succumbing to the 🐻↘️

$DAX 15293 -1.5%
$FTSE 7486 -0.9%
$CAC 6843 -1.15%
$AEX 742 -1.45%
$IBEX 8602 -1.15%
$FTSE 26561 -1.2%
$SMI 12083 -0.75%
$MOEX 3504 +1.4% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 28.03
🇺🇸 futures ↔️ despite 🍎↗️

$ES 4327 unch
$NQ 14069 +0.45%
$RTY 1916 -0.85%

$VIX 30.53
#backwardation
GOLD remains under pressure with metals ↘️

$GOLD 1790 -0.15% with $GVZ 17.15 🔺

$SILVER 22.55 -0.55%
$COPPER 4.364 -1.35%
$PLAT 1004 -1.7%
$PALL 2270 -4.1% ⬅️
$ALI 3101 +0.1%
$ZINC 3636 +0.15%
Hydrocarbons remain bid ↗️♉️

$WTIC 86.92 +0.35% with $OVX 46.90

$BRENT 88.38 +0.2%
$GASO 2.539 +0.7%
$NATGAS 4.444 +3.75% ⬅️
Grains mostly ↗️♉️

$WHEAT 785 +1.05%
$CORN 639 +0.4%
$SOYB 1455 +0.45%
$SUGAR 18.38 -0.15%

$COFFEE ☕️ 232 +0.3%
$USD exploring new cycle highs ↗️

$USD 97.35 +0.12%
$EUR 1.114 -0.07%
$GBP 1.338 -0.04%
$AUD .6999 -0.46%
$USDJPY 115.64 +0.26%
$USDCHF 0.931 +0.08%
$USDCAD 1.278 +0.32%
$USDRUB 77.927 -0.1% ⬅️🪆
Cyrpto remains 🐻↘️

$BTC 36414 -0.3%
$ETH 2383 -2.4%
UST yields ↗️ across the curve
10/2s to 62.7 BPS 🔺

MOVE 85.62 🌊

2Y 1.212 +0.02
5Y 1.688 +0.025
10Y 1.839 +0.031
30Y 2.129 +0.039

Global 10Ys mostly ↗️
CAN 1.777 -0.063
VOL 🛗 across asset classes⚡️🌊

🐻 market rallies in equities are to be sold
#STFR

Commodities remain ♉️
#stagflation #BTFD

Be ⚠️ out there

Have a super profitable 💰 day and an awesome 😎 weekend!

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More from @tdarling1

Jan 30
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮

Global Macro Review - 01/30/2022

1/13

With Joe’s blessing (#inflation no good for re-election bid), JPOW is hell bent on ↗️ rates and draining 👊🥣

Backward 👀 🧮 shows 4Q21 GDP +7.0% with +7.0% price deflator and #PCE +4.8%, a 40-year high, but…
2/n

@AtlantaFed is nowcasting Q122 GPD estimate of +0.5% ↘️

With $CRB +15.9% 🚀 off December 1 lows, the evidence of #inflation ↘️ is thin.

That said, Fed WILL tighten into a GDP slow down as fiscal spend ↘️ markedly y/y 😱

Chart: $CRB at cycle highs. 🔝? Image
3/13

Hydrocarbons said 🖕to the Fed

$WTIC +1.97% (w) +15.44% (m)
$BRENT +3.0% (w) +16.41% (m)
$GASO +3.67% (w) +14.41% (m)
$NATGAS +22.75% (w) +24.4% (m)

(w = week, m = month = trade = t)

Chart: Natty ripped the face off the 🐻🐻 Image
Read 15 tweets
Jan 23
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮

Global Macro Review 01/23/2022

1/13

US equity distribution ↘️ continued with a vengeance into Friday’s #OPEX

VIX ↗️ to ~30 ahead of Wednesday’s #FOMC event risk, leading to vol backwardation - a SHORT-TERM ♉️ signal

Let’s dig into the week's 🧮!
2a/13

High correlation between the UST2Y crossing the 1.0% Rubicon on Tuesday night’s open and acceleration ↘️ in US equity markets

How pathetic is it that the equity market cannot tolerate a 1% 2Y?

2b/13

Nonetheless, $TNX turned on a dime Wednesday leading to a further flattering of the yield curve with 10/s to 75.5 BPS -36% over the past 3 months (T = Trend) and 30/5s to 51.3 BPS -41% over T duration.

Chart: TNX daily
Read 14 tweets
Jan 21
Hello Friday and the end to the 60 days of darkness in the Northern Hemisphere!

Week to date (C tickers):

$CAC +0.72%
$COMPQ -4.97%

$CNYUSD +0.19%

$COPPER +3.66%
$CORN +2.47%
$WTIC +2.06%
$COFFEE +1.67%
$CRB +1.86%

Let's dig into the pre #OPEX 🧮!
Some carnage 🩸 into the Asian market close ↘️

$NIKK 27522 -0.9%
$SSEC 3523 -0.9%
$TWII 17899 -1.75%
$HSI 24966 +0.05%
$KOSPI 2834 -1.0%
$IDX 6726 +1.5% ⬅️

Australia 🩸↘️
$ASX 7176 -2.25%

India 🩸↘️
$BSE 58712 -1.25%
Europe 🗡️🩸↘️

$DAX 15700 -1.35%
$FTSE 7521 -0.85%
$CAC 7112 -1.15%
$AEX 767 -1.4%
$IBEX 8685 -1.45%
$MIB 27243 -1.15%
$SMI 12458 -0.8%
$MOEX 3448 -1.95% 🪆

$VSTOXX 20.40 🔻
Read 11 tweets
Jan 20
Hello Thursday!

Big moves ↗️ yesterday in metals and grains

China cuts and $HSI 🚀

Some reprieve from the equity 🐻 with #OPEX on tap tomorrow

Let's dig into the 🧮!
$NIKK 🏀 and $HSI 🚀 as Asia closes ↔️

$NIKK 27773 +1.1%
$SSEC 3555 -0.1%
$TWII 18218 -0.05%
$HSI 24952 +3.4% ⬅️🚀
$KOSPI 2863 +0.7%
$IDX 6627 +0.55%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7342 +0.15%

India 🩸↘️
$BSE 59267 -1.4%
Europe unable to build on gains ↘️

$DAX 15790 -0.1%
$CAC 7138 -0.5%
$FTSE 7576 -0.15%
$AEX 773 +0.05%
$IBEX 8768 -0.1%
$MIB 27408 +0.1%
$SMI 12492 -0.3%
$MOEX 3461 +0.7% 🪆

$VSTOXX 22.36 🔺
Read 11 tweets
Jan 19
Hello 🐫 day!

Oil ↗️

Yields ↗️

Equities ⬆️⬇️

#VIXperation on tap

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asian equities ↘️🐫

$NIKK 27467 -2.8%
$SSEC 3558 -0.35%
$TWII 18227 -0.8%
$HSI 24128 +0.05%
$KOSPI 2842 -0.75%
$IDX 6592 -0.35%

Australia ↘️🐫
$ASX 73332 -1.05%

India ↘️🐫
$BSE 60139 -1.0%
European bourses open ↔️

$DAX 15751 -0.15%
$FTSE 7562 unch
$CAC 7160 +0.35%
$AEX 769 -0.05%
$IBEX 8801 +0.2%
$MIB 27274 -0.8%
$SMI 12520 -0.05%
$MOEX 3442 +3.4% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 21.96 🔺
Read 11 tweets
Jan 18
Hello Tuesday!

Yields are 📈 across the curve and the curve itself flattens. Futures indicated ↘️ with tech leading the way.

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asian indices closed mostly ↘️

$NIKK 28257 -0.25%
$SSEC 3570 +0.8% ⬅️
$TWII 18378 -0.8%
$HSI 24113 -0.45%
$KOSPI 2864 -0.45%
$IDX 6614 -0.45%

Australia ↘️ slightly
$ASX 7409 -0.1%

India ↘️
$BSE 60712 -0.95%
Europe ↘️ and giving back yesterday's gains - and then some - at the open

$DAX 15708 -1.4%
$FTSE 7544 -0.9%
$CAC 7115 -1.2%
$AEX 767 -1.75%
$IBEX 8778 -0.7%
$MIB 27378 -1.1%
$SMI 12500 -1.05%
$MOEX 3474 -2.45% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 20.04
Read 11 tweets

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