Ted Darling Profile picture
Jan 20 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello Thursday!

Big moves โ†—๏ธ yesterday in metals and grains

China cuts and $HSI ๐Ÿš€

Some reprieve from the equity ๐Ÿป with #OPEX on tap tomorrow

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
$NIKK ๐Ÿ€ and $HSI ๐Ÿš€ as Asia closes โ†”๏ธ

$NIKK 27773 +1.1%
$SSEC 3555 -0.1%
$TWII 18218 -0.05%
$HSI 24952 +3.4% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿš€
$KOSPI 2863 +0.7%
$IDX 6627 +0.55%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7342 +0.15%

India ๐Ÿฉธโ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 59267 -1.4%
Europe unable to build on gains โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15790 -0.1%
$CAC 7138 -0.5%
$FTSE 7576 -0.15%
$AEX 773 +0.05%
$IBEX 8768 -0.1%
$MIB 27408 +0.1%
$SMI 12492 -0.3%
$MOEX 3461 +0.7% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 22.36 ๐Ÿ”บ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ markets have broken โ†˜๏ธ badly with $SPX the last woman standing, key support at 4,500

$ES 4548 +0.35%
$NQ 15140 +0.6%
$RTY 2065 +0.1%

$VIX 23.42
Precious metals โ†”๏ธ digesting yesterday's ๐Ÿš€ while base metals are well bid โ†—๏ธ

$GOLD 1835 -0.3%
$SILVER 24.21 -0.1%
$COPPER 4.512 +0.95%
$PLAT 1040 +1.2%
$PALL 2045 +1.8%
$ALI 2059 +0.3%
$ZINC 3667 +2.4% โฌ…๏ธ

$GVZ 15.64 ๐Ÿ”บ
After putting in a nominal new cycle high, $WTIC โ†˜๏ธ with potential ๐Ÿ” in place

$WTIC 85.44 -0.4%
$BRENT 87.88 -9.6%
$NATGAS 4.007 -0.6%
$GASO 2.45 -0.4%

$OVX 42.75 ๐Ÿ”บ
Grains ripped โ†—๏ธ yesterday with $SOYB ready to put in a second leg higher

$WHEAT 797 unch
$CORN 610 unch
$SOYB 1396 +0.35%
$SUGAR 19.02 -0.35%
The Aussie ๐Ÿฆ˜๐Ÿฆ˜ in #FX

$AUD .7232 +0.32%
$USD 95.52 +0.02%
$EUR 1.135 +0.08%
$GBP 1.3626 +0.15%
$USDJPY 114.30 -0.02%
$USDCHF .915 -0.05%
$USDCAD 1.249 -0.18%
$USDRUB 76.531 +0.43% ๐Ÿช†
Cyrpto ๐Ÿ€โ†—๏ธ

$BTC 42105 +1.25%
$ETH 3148 +2.0%
After a rare โ†˜๏ธ day, UST yields โ†—๏ธacross the curve

10/2s to 79.1 BPS ๐Ÿ”ป with MOVE 80.14 ๐Ÿ”ป

2Y 1.043
5Y 1.622
10Y 1.834
30Y 2.15

Global 10Ys mostly โ†˜๏ธ
JPN 0.141 ๐Ÿ”บ
With #OPEX on tap, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ equity markets are breaking โ†˜๏ธ as Uncle Joe gives Jerome the nod. ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

No malarkey! $STFR

Asia, EM, and metals looking โ†—๏ธ #BTFD

Could take a flyer on $USO ๐Ÿฉณ with ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ๐Ÿ”

Vol ahead!

Have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ Thursday!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Jan 21
Hello Friday and the end to the 60 days of darkness in the Northern Hemisphere!

Week to date (C tickers):

$CAC +0.72%
$COMPQ -4.97%

$CNYUSD +0.19%

$COPPER +3.66%
$CORN +2.47%
$WTIC +2.06%
$COFFEE +1.67%
$CRB +1.86%

Let's dig into the pre #OPEX ๐Ÿงฎ!
Some carnage ๐Ÿฉธ into the Asian market close โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27522 -0.9%
$SSEC 3523 -0.9%
$TWII 17899 -1.75%
$HSI 24966 +0.05%
$KOSPI 2834 -1.0%
$IDX 6726 +1.5% โฌ…๏ธ

Australia ๐Ÿฉธโ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7176 -2.25%

India ๐Ÿฉธโ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 58712 -1.25%
Europe ๐Ÿ—ก๏ธ๐Ÿฉธโ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15700 -1.35%
$FTSE 7521 -0.85%
$CAC 7112 -1.15%
$AEX 767 -1.4%
$IBEX 8685 -1.45%
$MIB 27243 -1.15%
$SMI 12458 -0.8%
$MOEX 3448 -1.95% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 20.40 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Jan 19
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

Oil โ†—๏ธ

Yields โ†—๏ธ

Equities โฌ†๏ธโฌ‡๏ธ

#VIXperation on tap

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asian equities โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿซ

$NIKK 27467 -2.8%
$SSEC 3558 -0.35%
$TWII 18227 -0.8%
$HSI 24128 +0.05%
$KOSPI 2842 -0.75%
$IDX 6592 -0.35%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿซ
$ASX 73332 -1.05%

India โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿซ
$BSE 60139 -1.0%
European bourses open โ†”๏ธ

$DAX 15751 -0.15%
$FTSE 7562 unch
$CAC 7160 +0.35%
$AEX 769 -0.05%
$IBEX 8801 +0.2%
$MIB 27274 -0.8%
$SMI 12520 -0.05%
$MOEX 3442 +3.4% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 21.96 ๐Ÿ”บ
Read 11 tweets
Jan 18
Hello Tuesday!

Yields are ๐Ÿ“ˆ across the curve and the curve itself flattens. Futures indicated โ†˜๏ธ with tech leading the way.

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asian indices closed mostly โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28257 -0.25%
$SSEC 3570 +0.8% โฌ…๏ธ
$TWII 18378 -0.8%
$HSI 24113 -0.45%
$KOSPI 2864 -0.45%
$IDX 6614 -0.45%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ slightly
$ASX 7409 -0.1%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 60712 -0.95%
Europe โ†˜๏ธ and giving back yesterday's gains - and then some - at the open

$DAX 15708 -1.4%
$FTSE 7544 -0.9%
$CAC 7115 -1.2%
$AEX 767 -1.75%
$IBEX 8778 -0.7%
$MIB 27378 -1.1%
$SMI 12500 -1.05%
$MOEX 3474 -2.45% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 20.04
Read 11 tweets
Jan 16
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review
01/16/2022

1/13

With #CPI +7.0% and #PPI +9.7% y/y, #inflation is ๐Ÿ’ช both in the ๐Ÿ—ž and inthe ๐Ÿ“ˆ with $WTIC +5.6% (w) and +10.78% YTD, while ๐Ÿ› -1.9% and consumer sentiment โ†˜๏ธ to decade low.

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/13

Featured prominently on last weekโ€™s Barronโ€™s cover, the $CRB +3.17% obliged and put in a new cycle high.

Image: Barron's cover 01/10/2022
2a/13

Commodities inflation is a problem for the โ€œinflation rolling, #Quad4 comethโ€ narrative.

Chart: $CRB ๐Ÿ’ช
Read 19 tweets
Jan 14
Hello Friday!

Another โฌ†๏ธโฌ‡๏ธ week

$BTC +1.78%
$GOLD +1.34%
$USD -0.99%

$TLT +1.42%

$HSI +3.99%
$SPX -0.38%
$COMPQ -0.85%
$SKEW -4.32%

$WTIC +4.08%
$COPPER +3.08%
$WHEAT -1.55%
$CRB +2.10%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
More selling in Asia โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28124 -1.3%
$SSEC 3521 -0.95%
$TWII 18403 -0.2%
$HSI 24383 -0.2%
$KOSPI 2922 -1.35%
$IDX 6693 +0.55% โฌ…๏ธ

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$AORD 7394 -1.1%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 61183 -0.1%
European bourses under pressure โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15963 -0.45%
$FTSE 7560 -0.05%
$CAC 7160 -0.55%
$AEX 788 -0.45%
$IBEX 8765 -0.6%
$SMI 12580 -0.3%
$MOEX 3602 -2.0% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 18.46
Read 11 tweets
Jan 13
Hello Thursday!

Is #CPI 7% really ๐Ÿ”๏ธ inflation?

Only if the #FOMC really means action to drain the ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿฅฃ

And the $USD -0.7% yesterday does not believe it.
That's a problem, folks.

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed mostly โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28489 -0.95% ๐Ÿชš
$SSEC 3555 -1.15%
$TWII 18436 +0.35% โฌ…๏ธ
$HSI 24439 +0.1%
$KOSPI 2962 -0.35%
$IDX6658 +0.15%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7474 +0.5%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 61161 unch
Europe โ†”๏ธ at the open after $FEZ +1.05%

$DAX 15988 -0.15%
$FTSE 7547 -0.05%
$CAC 7206 -0.45%
$AEX 792 +0.25%
$MIB 27766 +0.2%
$SMI 12623 -0.35%
$MOEX 3805 -0.65% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 18.30 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets

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