1) In less than three weeks – 18 days to be precise – the total number of #COVID hospitalizations in Québec plummeted by 1,000 to 2,425, still high but more manageable. In this thread, I'll focus on this fragile progress while drawing attention to a new blind spot: vaccinations.
2) Jan. 18 had marked the highest number of #COVID hospitalizations at any point in the pandemic in Québec. It was at that juncture that the government considered activating its Plan B, which would have meant sending family members into hospitals to care for their loved ones.
3) Another reassuring trend appears to be a steady decrease in #COVID deaths. Québec has posted declining deaths in the past six days. Please see the red line in the chart below and compare the latest daily toll with the 98 deaths declared on Jan. 20.
4) Still, hospitals continue to be overwhelmed, and surgeons must clear a backlog of what is likely more than 150,000 surgeries. What’s more, #COVID hospitalizations ticked up by 14 on Sunday, confirming the government's projections last week that they would resume rising.
5) This progress in the past few days is likely the result of mask-wearing, #pandemic restrictions, plus the ramp-up in booster vaccinations. This came after a very slow start in Québec late last year, with seniors in their homes being denied the boosters in a timely fashion.
6) Today, 82% of Québec’s population above the age of 60 has been administered a 3rd dose – a factor in the blunting of the mortality wave. But in the past four days, the overall vaccination rate has not budged from 47% – a problem the government seems slow to recognize.
7) Many Québecers in two demographics – those aged 18 to 29 as well as those 40 to 59 – aren't getting their boosters for some reason. Efforts must be redoubled to encourage these adults to go get their 3rd shots, with the super-contagious #Omicron and BA.2 variants on the loose.
8) Another big problem or blind spot – a worldwide one, actually – is the drop-off in #COVID screening. The self-administered rapid home tests (of which 74.5% yielded positive results in Sunday’s tally in Québec) are not enough to adequately measure the spread of the contagion.
9) And in an unfortunate development that defies logic, the Montreal public health department discontinued #COVID screening in schools, the workplace, and daycares as of Jan. 7 – a decision that was never widely publicized. Please read the fine print below.
10) Thus, Québec is now riding partially blind in the #pandemic's 5th wave despite the proliferation of the most contagious #coronavirus strains to date, with booster vaccinations stalling and restrictions being lifted. Is Québec setting itself up for a 6th wave? End of thread.
11) ADDENDUM: The Québec government is poised to declare 56 #COVID deaths Tuesday, according to the ever-reliable @ThomasGerbet of Radio-Canada. This toll likely includes deaths from previous days. Hospitalizations are to drop by 45, but beware this could go back up.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1) As countries around the world rush to lift public health protections in the #pandemic, it’s instructive to check out what's happening now in areas that were first hit by the super contagious Omicron variant: South Africa and Denmark. Are they much better off? The answer is no.
2) On Dec. 30, the government of South Africa declared its #Omicron-fuelled wave officially over and proceeded to ease restrictions, including eliminating a nighttime curfew. The country was first buffeted by the supposedly mild variant in mid-November. How is it doing today?
3) It’s true #COVID deaths in South Africa peaked on Jan. 24 and then plunged soon afterward. But the mortality wave has since rebounded, as the chart below by Our World in Data reveals. Epidemiologically, the most reliable indicator of the severity of the pandemic are deaths.
1) In China’s version of “bread and circuses,” the Winter Olympics are in full swing, with journalists unable to report on what is going on outside the Games. Meanwhile, the nation of 1.4 billion declared just three #COVID deaths – on July 23, 2021.
2) On Jan. 31, the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of China issued a report warning that “as the number of journalists forced out by the Chinese state grows, covering China is increasingly becoming an exercise in remote reporting.”
3) “State-backed attacks against foreign journalists, particularly trolling campaigns online, have made it increasingly hard for journalists remaining in China to operate,” the report adds. You can read the full report here: fccchina.org/2022/01/31/med…
1) Countries and jurisdictions around the world are rushing to lift a wide range of public health restrictions despite the fact that #COVID hospitalizations remain high and testing has dropped off. In this thread, I will survey what I’m calling the Great Resignation.
2) In Germany, where #COVID ICU stays have been climbing for the past three weeks, several German states are loosening #pandemic requirements. Bavaria, for example, is opening up for sports and cultural events, while Brandenberg might allow the unvaccinated to shop with a mask.
3) In the United States in Connecticut, New Jersey and Delaware, schoolchildren will no longer have to wear masks. On Tuesday, New York State announced businesses won't have to ask for proof of full vaccination. Meanwhile, #COVID deaths are still rising in the U.S. See below.
1) Two years into the #pandemic, something odd is now occurring worldwide in the #COVID19 crisis, with the number of global deaths surging while cases seem to be falling. This has not happened quite this way previously. In this thread, I will try to explain why this is occurring.
2) During the first wave of the pandemic in the winter of 2020, #COVID testing wasn't widely conducted around the world. The best indicator at the time was the number of deaths, which quickly skyrocketed. Please see the chart below comparing global cases with deaths at that time.
3) But later on, as countries around the world started testing for #COVID intensively, another pattern emerged. Deaths started to track more closely with the number of new cases, with declared deaths appearing a few weeks after infections were recorded. See an example below.
1) Japan — generally lauded for its response to the #COVID crisis — is now in the grip of what it’s calling a 6th wave in the #pandemic. To be blunt, what the hell is now going wrong in Japan and what lessons can Québec draw from the Land of the Rising Sun?
2) As you can glimpse from the chart below, #COVID hospitalizations in Canada are now in decline, while they are climbing in Japan. Toyko’s metropolitan government has ordered hospitals to boost the number of emergency beds to accept patients at night.
3) In an alarming development reminiscent of what Quebec has been going through, the Japanese government is considering whether it should send low-risk #COVID patients back home to “prevent medical facilities from being overwhelmed.”
Alors que nous entrons dans la troisième année de la crise sanitaire, il est devenu évident que certains mots ou expressions ne sont plus utilisés au Québec pour parler de la pandémie. Dans cette enfilade pas si sérieuse, je discuterai de ces mots oubliés.
J'ai décidé de choisir des mots ou des expressions en français uniquement parce que, 1) je vis et travaille au Québec et 2), ces termes semblent plus colorés, même poétiques, dans la langue de Molière.
Je voudrais remercier tous ceux qui ont contribué à cette enfilade psycholinguistique avec leurs suggestions. Je me concentre sur les expressions ou les mots discontinus, pas sur ceux encore utilisés que nous détestons, comme « la lumière au bout du tunnel. »