Thread by @therealarod1984

2/15 Texas C19 Update - Omicron go Night Night...

THREAD

* Cases running north of 100% of positive tests, meaning we are seeing a lot of catch up and backlog being reported
* Despite this, Case 7DMA now below 9K
* Hospitalizations, including ICU/Vents continue freefall

1/n
.

https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1492606788901945349

2/15 -Test reporting is by date of specimen collection, you have to wait ~10 days for a date to be ~90-95% in.

As of 2/5:

* Pos rate 7DMA down to 18.78% & declining a point a day
* More cases being reported than there are positive tests, starting 2/3 & next several days

2/n

2/15 - Cases are simply reported as they are received by the counties.

Case 7DMA
* now down to 8.7K
* has been down 1/3rd to 1/2 from the previous week (WoW) for 17 straight days
* The decline is slowing because reporting per 2/n and there is little room to fall now.

3/n
.

2/15 - Hospitalizations

* Covid Admissions decline starts to accelerate again, now back to 29.2% week over week (WoW)
* Covid % of total beds down to 11.68%
* 2020 Winter still 28 more days of growth in the comparison
* Covid General Census 7DMA down 23.6% WoW

4/n
.

2/15 Severe Hospitalizations

* At this point, it goes without saying that Winter 2021 wasn't nearly as severe as previous waves.
* ICU & Vent numbers are in rapid decline
* The 2020 Comparison charts, 2020 has a ton of growth still to go.

5/n

2/15 - Conclusion

* Maybe have 3 or 4 of these reports left for this wave. Because there's not much left to report.
* After that, probably switch to 1X/week for this reporting, to keep on eye on things
* Severe/Fatality analysis continues - update tomorrow

6/end