What is Breakout ?
A breakout is a stock price moving outside a defined support or resistance level with increased volume.
Always trade breakouts in uptrend for high win ratios
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What to Look before entering a breakout ?
Look for Volume Spikes on Up days and Down Volume on down days.
Simply Volume Should Dry during Pullbacks
This is a sign of Accumulation by Bigger Sharks.
As they buy in huge quantities they have to buy in parts to avoid price spikes 2/n
They dont only buy on Uptrend but continue holding during pullbacks for bigger gains .
Important thing is pullbacks should always have less volumes . 3/n
Rules For entering a Breakout . 1. Never enter more than 50 % of quantity on Breakout Region . 2. Most of the time the stock Pulls back to Breakout Region Giving a Good Reward opportunity. 3. Use Alerts to buy exactly at Pivot Points / breakout Regions to avoid extended stocks 4/
4. Keeping Alerts is important and once can use
tradingview or zerodhaonline or other Platforms to keep alerts . 5. Stock That is extended more th 4% above BO region shouldnt be bought as they dont provide Good RR . 5/n
Entry Rules : 1. Enter 50% Qty on Breakout os stock
If Stoploss Hits Your Loss is only on 50% 2. Wait for Retest and add the next 30% 3. Add Further Qty on way up 4. Always add on Winners Rather than Loosers 5. Protecting Capital Is utmost imporant in this case 6/n
Retests Also Fail and no one can Avoid this scenarios and Loss has to be booked Definatley
Example : Radico
Look for Volume Breakouts with Price Breakouts the probability of Winning Increases
Stocks Breaking out in Uptrend have High winning Chances then in DownTrend 7/n
Range Breakouts VS Trendline Breakouts
Range Breakouts have Higher Winning % Compared to Traingle , Pennant Trend Breakouts due to over head Resistance .
As Buyers Are Trapped at Higher Prices they will Try to exit at every bounce at Min loss or Breakevens
Example :JindalSaw 8/n
Stoploss Rules :
Follow Maximum Stop of 8 to 10% in trades as Losses Work Against You .
If you are not getting Small Stop Trade move on to next trades as opportunities are endless .
Breakout Failures are common and hence Risk has to be managed 9/n
Target Rules :
Target Should Be arounf 15 to 20% when your risk is 8 to 10 %
You can reduce this risk by entering at correct buy points and keeping stops at 5% .
Risk Reward of 1:2 is Great with 50% win Ratio
Book Partially at 1st targets and Keep Stop at cost.
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SuperTrend :
It is TrendFollowing Indicator That generates Buy / Sell signals based on the ATR value or volatility of the stock
Supertrend also works as a trailing stop-loss for the existing trades Best on daily time frame 2/n
Supertrend Conditions
Works Best on 10 , 3 settings
One can try and backtest on 10 ,2 at own also !
Doesnt Work well in Sideways Zone as it is trend following indicator
Trend Analysis using moving averages !
A mega thread to understand the Use of 21 , 50 and 200 ema.
4 Effective uses of Exponential Moving Averages !
Which can Help you avoid Big Losses
Understanding STAGE ANALYSIS
I read one of the greatest Trading Books so that You dont have to !🧵
Secrets of Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets
by Stan Weinstien
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Comment Yes for another Book Summary :)
Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis offers traders a powerful methodology to identify trends in the markets while following strict risk management principles.
Stage Analysis is used to identify the longer-term trend of a stock or index. There are 4 different stages
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✅The Basing Area,
✅Advancing Phase
✅The Top Area
✅Declining Phase